Round of 16 - Germany v England
England are unbeaten in their past 9 games where they kept 8 clean sheets only Poland has scored a goal versus England. The German defense is brutal giving up 15 GA in the past 9 games including to the likes of Hungary, North Macedonia & Latvia. The game will be in London so I'm jumping on the home team value.
77. England ML @ 2.62/+162 (1u) Marathon
78. Team Total Goals ENG OVER 1.5 @ 2.50/+150 (1u) Bet365
Round of 16 - Sweden v Ukraine
I have no idea what to think of this Ukrainian side they looked decent in their first 2 games and really bad vs Austria. Sweden even though painful to watch has been more consistent. Sweden come into the match undefeated in their past 8 games. Ukraine single victory came vs North Macedonia. Decent odds here on backing the swedes & I also like the over in a card prop whenever 2 poor sides meet.
79. Sweden ML @ 2.56/+156 (1u) Bet365
80. Sweden/Ukraine Total Cards OVER 3.5 @ 1.70/-143 (2u) Bet365
Switzerland v Spain
Hard to find value on a side as the odds here are dead on. Spain wins this by a goal, I do not see the Swiss giant killing two consecutive teams especially missing their captain Granit Xhaka. The AH-1 also has no value. Looking at totals both sides are averaging 5.75 goals per match in their past 2 games. However the last 3 head to head meetings have all gone under the total with two 1-1 draws and a 1-0 win for Spain. Its basically a coin flip on the total of 2.5 but no value with prices of -110 for both sides. I will play a couple of props. In the Corner market The Swiss have had 27 corners in the past 4 games averaging 6.75 per game so I see value on the team corner prop. I'm also going to take an early goal prop as we have now had 10 straight games without an early goal perhaps we are due;
81. Switzerland Total Team Corners OVER 2.5 @ 1.80/-125 (2u) Bet365
82. Goal in the first 10 min YES @ 4.50/+350 (1/2 U) Bet365
Belgium v Italy
A match up worthy of a final. Two great teams in great form Italy undefeated in 31 & Belgium as well in the past 13. It is unfortunate that De Bruyne & E.Hazard are injured, even if they play they will not be at 100%. Italy are the fav's but I wont back them at these odds vs the number 1 ranked team in the world. I expect a tight game but the under also has no value. Italy finally conceded a goal after a record run. Belgium have scored in 34 straight games. I think that streak ends in this game, especially without De Bruyne in the lineup. Belgium have kept a clean sheet in 4 of the past 5 games & Italy 11 of past 12 have kept a clean sheet. Interestingly enough either side has given up or conceded a PK in this tournament. I'm thinking Belgium ageing defense could just do that so I'm playing 2 props, thinking 1-0 Italy.
83. PK in match YES @ 3.00/+200 (1u) Bet365
84. Italy Clean sheet YES @ 2.62/+162 (1u) Bet365
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Great call! 
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