slamspurs

I’ve been saying this repeatedly. With the prevalance of the apps, and social media allowing people to brag about their SGPs, the books actually clean up making $10-50 a million times on all these sgps than the straight bets.

And what do people like taking in SGPs? Overs of course. 

That’s why I rarely take overs anymore. I’ve only played unders these playoffs and I’ve won every time I did.

The only time I look at overs is when I think the game will be a blowout. Then the game can go over, but the SGPs all lose cuz the stars get benched. 

I would keep doing it but then probability comes into play. Every game can’t go under.

Claw any early thoughts on game 5? Prob gonna put in a wager tomorrow. 

Would like to know where ur at.

Most of your writeups for the past couple of weeks have said something like OKC efficiency is great. 

And you’re going with the clearly better team. Which everyone knows is OKC. But obviously you can’t bet the clearly better team every game. 

You guys complain too much. There's only been one commentator who I thought who I noticed was TERRIBLE, and that was Booger Mcfarland on MNF. 

Had mine last week. Golden State Valkyries +6.5. 

They were WINNING by 8 with 3:30 left and lost by 9. 2 turnovers with free throws in 4 seconds. Other team didn't miss a free throw.

18-1 run in 3:30. That's a fucking bad beat. 

Baltimore did nothing to add to the team from last season, and they lost Corbin Burnes and Anthony Santander. 

P.S. Baltimore has been a good team to bet after firing their manager and bottoming out in my opinion.

Brooklyn Capper, was expecting to see some picks on here. Where are the Sunday 10 unit plays like the title says? 

Pacers couldn’t make any 3s first half. They make a few this half to even out and the lead is 15. Reminds me of the warriors and rockets game. Except knicks were still losing with pacers missing everything.

If ur running across conspiracy that the nba wants the knicks in a game 7 or the finals that usually doesnt work though.

Tailing bro. Need this one. I bought a half just in case too . 

Thanks Claw. I'm actually looking for a reason to take the Knicks tonight. Doubt it gets to the +4.5. 

Was thinking Indiana ML all day, but having second thoughts again. Need to look into some stuff. 

You had Seattle +6 and they lost by 6. 

You're suppose to score a run in extras. You don't even need a hit to score one. 

The Knicks blew a 14 point lead with 2:51 left in the game on that same court, with the same -4.5 line 8 days ago. Every time KAT went off the floor, Indiana went on an 8 point run. He's staying in as long as he needs to. 

The Knicks were up 14 with 2:52 left tonight as well. That's a funny coincidence. 

Nice pick, but the majority of the board was on the Knicks. 

But whatever helps justify the play in your own mind. A winner is a winner 

Pacers ML -155. Grab it before it goes up. 

Thanks Claw.

I had pretty much decided to take the Pacers this morning. Then i saw your post and thought long and hard and ultimately changed my pick. 

Pacers made few runs, but they didn't cut it below 10 the entire second half.

The Knicks really need KAT to stay out of foul trouble though. Pacers went on runs every time KAT was taken out of the game. His +/- was plus 26. 

I think the Pacers close it out next game though. If not, good value on Pacers +150ish in game 7. Don't think it gets there though. 

I grabbed nats at +150 live. Seattle was -750 with 2 on not outs in the 8th. But Randy Azorozena is home run or bust. Luckily was bust. 

And if you were following the 10th inning, that was nuts. the pitcher almost gave up 4 home runs. One went to the track, the next one was a double off the wall, the next was a double off the wall, then he gave up a homer.

The pitcher shoulda had 2 outs, but he somehow threw it to the 2nd baseman instead of the shortstop and the runner was safe. 

Feel sorry for those that took under 7.5.

If you were following, both teams should have scored in the 8th. 

Nats had 2 outs and reeled off 3 straight hits, but the guy got tagged out at home.

Mariners had 2 on no outs and left them stranded on second and third (pop out, ground out (runners were both stealing), ground out).

Over never shoulda happened. But happy I took the Nats +150 live. 

Got +8.5 FG as well. GL bro. 

GL tonight Claw. OKC were big favorites against Minny in the regular season, and they blew leads and let them cover multiple times. Minnesota just can score fast. And despite being the most efficient team in the league as I think you've noted, OKC has been kinda crappy lately against the spread these playoffs. 

I'll take Minny plus the points and hope they backdoor it late. 

P.S. Maybe it was because OKC hadn't closed it out yet with Denver, but the Western Conference champion line was kinda low on Minny despite them struggling early and often against a crippled Golden State team. Wouldn't surprise me if Minny pulled a shocker tonight and made the series interesting going back to Minnesota. 

Just came back to say thanks for fixing the line movement page. Mine is correct at the moment.

You're going to have trouble if you're regulating it by location though. For example, if I was at work the IT comes from another state and it would mess me up.

Also, a lot of people use ad blockers and incognito things that hide location. They will get messed up too.

Then you have the opposite situation. People that have a lot of spyware and trackers on their computer. Covers may think they're in Russia or something. 

Why does it matter what state people are in? Just put all the majors up regardless of location. Fanduel, Draftkings, MGM, and Caesars are the majors.