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Might...But won't cover...
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cdubz34 | 13 |
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Quote Originally Posted by begginerboy: Thanks for the advice regarding the Saints. I'll tread lightly. Week 4 is when the real teams start to show up, or those that are serious about making a run (GB, SF, Indi, Giants, Det, etc...). Meanwhile the Saints laid an egg on national tv. Embarrassment can be a huge motivator (as we saw with Tampa today), and the Saints were embarrassed, so we will see. As for the Niners being better off with Smith, this is a topic of much debate among my bay area friends:) The way I see it, they'd be better off with Alex for the regular season but then would need Kap's explosiveness and big play potential for the playoffs. I can see Alex getting by most NFC teams but not Seattle. I think you're right on all account's amnd...I'm a Saint's follower since their first game in old Tulane Stadium..
You;re right that the Saint's are a bad team as of now. Our corner's are terrible & our defensive line look's like they are just out there to collect a paycheck...I'm looking really hard at taking the Buc's Sunday. Until some of these player's get off their behind's and start playing like they want to be out there...The Saint's will be on the outside looking in come post season... |
amd | 122 |
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Quote Originally Posted by inthetank:
I am a 66 year old guy and been on "both sides" of wagering for over 45 years.....So, I will speak from experience...And plenty of it.....Losing by half points at the end much, much more than u can ever imagine....I could go back and name you games, players, lines etc, that WERE ALL SHADY....You, Boston Celtic, are ahead of things already, but I don't know your age,,,,And indeed, IT IS CONTROLLED....If you owned a multi-billion dollar business,like the NFL is, would you not want to have control over it??.....OF COURSE!.....THAT is why things are the way they are....If anyone tells you differently, THEY BELIEVE IN THE TOOTH FAIRY.....I once bet game years ago taking "over" 35.5 as the total in a Sunday afternoon game....It was 35-0 at the half!....I was all smiles, butttttt, no score in the second half...Several drives inside the ten ended in fumbles....Hmmmm....Plus 4 missed field goals.....YOUR BEST BET IS TO DO WHAT YOU DO, AND IF IT'S TOO GOOD TO BE TRUE, GO OPPOSITE,,,,I have made and lost fortunes in the NFL.....If you took the gambling out of it, which is impossible, you would drop viewer watch by 70-80 percent....VEGAS is very, very smart.....IN THE LONG RUN, 94 PERCENT OF BETTORS LOSE AND "CHASE!".....I sort of do what you do, plus I have a guy who is a born loser, and I go opposite....Today, he LOVED N.O.....SEE!!!!!!!!.....I made 2 plays today, that one plus DENVER....Money dropped line way down on NYG at home....Many on forums, plus my pal, lovedddddddd the Giants.....I'm 2-0, and done till next week....I am not saying that every game etc, is controlled, buttttt, many, many are, and you're on the right track in what you see.....Best of luck.... I'm 61 and you're right... |
BostonCelticFTW | 2161 |
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replied to
You want a write-up??? You got a write-up!!! The BIGGEST ONE OF MINE OF 2013! Jaguars@Denver baby!
in NFL Betting Quote Originally Posted by scalabrine:
I've NEVER seen so many posters with their tail between their legs than I have due to this game and this spread.
https://www.covers.com/postingforum/POST01/showmessage.aspx?spt=21&sub=101706372
No Play!
How can you play that!
On what basis???!
I'll make this short and sweet because I don't have time for most of the dopes on this site.
I am on Jacksonville.....LARGE.
And why is that? Because it will be at least 30 years before we see this spread again. You DO NOT let a spread like this get away.
I am AMAZED that there are guys on here that will buy hooks to get a number to 3 or up to 3.5, paying for 1/2 point (that 90% of the time won't matter) and then when the books give them the BIGGEST NUMBER in the HISTORY of NFL SPORTS BETTING, they find every excuse NOT to the bet the game.
I haven't seen many Denver backers. That is a good thing. You'd be a fool to lay 4 TD's in any NFL game. But I haven't seen Jax backers either, and that is what is called, burning a bankroll .
Live by this mantra when it comes to betting: You see an edge? You take it!
Does this happen on covers? Of course not! You say you will take the record setting number of points and people go ballistic! "You're a fool!" they say. Jax is TERRIBLE.
You know these guys have a terrible argument when all they have to offer is "Denver is GREAT and Jax is THE WORST!"
At root of the word ignorant is the word IGNORE. So when all these posters laud Manning and company and shi* on Jax, let's see what they are ignoring. Here are SEVEN big reasons to back the Jags.
1) If you take the Jags, you are getting TWENTY EIGHT POINTS. How big a spread is that? The biggest ever. The awfulness of the Jaguars warrants such a line when a team like Denver has you coming to their home stadium.
So what about this spread. Is there history to it? Yes there is. Since 1985, favorites laying 20 or more points have gone a woeful ONE AND EIGHT ATS. That is quite significant. You'd think people would know such a thing since it was POSTED ON THE FRONT PAGE OF THIS VERY SITE:
https://www.covers.com/articles/articles.aspx?theArt=335815 (and that Seattle line closed at 19.5 at worst and was never a true 20 point spread for any significant period. And if you want to argue that the trend is 2-8 ATS in favor of the dogs with spreads of 20 and greater).
But who cares about that let's just IGNORE it right posters?
2) Denver just happens to have the 29th ranked Defense in the NFL. Yes, 29th. Look it up. Which is SEVEN SPOTS WORSE than Jax at 22. Which means Jax CAN put points up on them. And if they do, Denver may need another FIFTY-some points to cover this line. That is a hell of a tall task three weeks in a row, even if it is on Jacksonville.
But let's just IGNORE that right posters?
3) Henne is likely starting. That matters....A LOT. Henne doesn't turn the ball over like Gabbert does. Henne really should not be Gabbert's backup. Fewer turnovers and pick 6's matter when you are catching 28. And they have Jones-Drew behind him. Is he having a terrible season. YES! The whole team is. But Jones-Drew is a legitimate RB who can put up 100 and take pressure off the QB if he is motivated. And he'll be motivated. This is Jax's Super Bowl.
But let's just IGNORE that too while we're at it!
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scalabrine | 143 |
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Jet's...because my "MOMMA" told me...
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Gunna89 | 28 |
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Quote Originally Posted by eddygpt:
Just seems whenever a player goes through personal tragedy, the player does amazing and the team rallies around them. 2 situations come to mind, Tory Smith and Bret Favre . |
eddygpt | 4 |
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...He would'nt know his ASS from a hole in the ground!!!...
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ATLGettinPaper | 2 |
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amd | 61 |
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I agree...
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redsox5831 | 6 |
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TwinBranches | 4 |
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rush | 50 |
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SAINT'S 35 - 24 N.E 38 - 28 HOUST 28 - BALT 24 GIANT'S 35 - 31
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Kazual12 | 32 |
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My prayer's go out for him & his family...
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DoctorMorgano | 175 |
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What aspect was LSU better in... Leaving the field with a win !... |
mcwarner1 | 46 |
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chungnuoc | 58 |
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Quote Originally Posted by KScapping:
guys...please enlighten me, and show me the way..... but please do it with more than this: Season 1,352 wins - 10 losses + a gazzillion units
(and your Nostradamus like play here)
tell me why..... also, man up if I am right and comon back to admit it, as I will if I am wrong......
BoL 2 All...
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KScapping | 106 |
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I take it, you"re not from the South...Right???...
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Ice4Blood | 401 |
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Quote Originally Posted by PrimeTimeBoys:
Brees & company is 5-0 SU & ATS at home this season.............why do I feel like the Lions will go in there & win SU, because it can easily happen. Saints beat the Colts 62-7 & the following week lost as -13 point favorites to the 0-6 Rams..............same thing happens this week..............Lions outright imo.............
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Hummus | 19 |
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Quote Originally Posted by tmpeus78:
Giants will not beat the Packers. |
PrimeTimeBoys | 162 |
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[Quote: Originally Posted by Sparky10191] Now I'm not hating on him as a person. He's probably a great guy. But he's not a great player nor is he even a good player. End of Story. [/Quote
Lost money betting against him...But he's still wining... |
Sparky10191 | 2856 |
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