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    All Forums | Penalty Box

    PittVipers - 50 days - 100 plays - 60% winners?

    «First Previous 373839 ... 575859 Next Last»
    powerade
    kaponofor3
    pittviper
    MrTTL
    tigerw05
    ...
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    «First Previous 373839 ... 575859 Next Last»
     
    powerade
    powerade
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    Posted: Feb. 3, 2010 - 5:31 PM ET #901

    I love how people who basicanlly never post....are the one posting in this bums threads

    I could care less if he goes tout, which I'm sure he already is....

    my main grip is this ridiculous 37 page thread that he has just to create more attention for himself

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    I love how people who basicanlly never post....are the one posting in this bums threads

    I could care less if he goes tout, which I'm sure he already is....

    my main grip is this ridiculous 37 page thread that he has just to create more attention for himself

     
    kaponofor3
    kaponofor3
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    Posted: Feb. 3, 2010 - 5:33 PM ET #902

    PV, you got a problem with some of your math.

    For example, you say that going 1-1 gives you the following potential outcomes:

    (25% chance of winning both, 75% chance of breaking even or winning, 25% chance of losing)

    This statement about 75% chance of breaking even or winning is flat out incorrect unless you are playing nothing but positive juice plays.

    In actuality, assuming you are wagering -110 odds, going 2-0 would leave you +2 units, 1-1 would be -0.1 units, and 0-2 would be -2.2 units.

    I think you know this -- why are you not presenting it this way?

    Even if you average -103 odds, which would be pretty good, 1-1 would still result in a loss for the day.

    Thoughts?


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    PV, you got a problem with some of your math.

    For example, you say that going 1-1 gives you the following potential outcomes:

    (25% chance of winning both, 75% chance of breaking even or winning, 25% chance of losing)

    This statement about 75% chance of breaking even or winning is flat out incorrect unless you are playing nothing but positive juice plays.

    In actuality, assuming you are wagering -110 odds, going 2-0 would leave you +2 units, 1-1 would be -0.1 units, and 0-2 would be -2.2 units.

    I think you know this -- why are you not presenting it this way?

    Even if you average -103 odds, which would be pretty good, 1-1 would still result in a loss for the day.

    Thoughts?


     
    pittviper
    pittviper
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    Posted: Feb. 3, 2010 - 5:35 PM ET #903

    Powerade .. the main reason I kept the thread is to document my run and have one neutral place to come too each day since I am posting on a bunch of forums it would be annoying to have to post a new thread everyday.

    Get lost.
    This is my last post until after the games tonight. GL to all and to all a good night.

    BOL
    PV
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    Powerade .. the main reason I kept the thread is to document my run and have one neutral place to come too each day since I am posting on a bunch of forums it would be annoying to have to post a new thread everyday.

    Get lost.
    This is my last post until after the games tonight. GL to all and to all a good night.

    BOL
    PV
     
    pittviper
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    Posted: Feb. 3, 2010 - 5:36 PM ET #904

    I know that 1-1 day leaves you - money but like 5-10$ if your betting 100$ a game .. I look at 1-1 as the same category as drawing even. Nothing substantial won, nothing substantial lost.

    BOL
    PV
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    I know that 1-1 day leaves you - money but like 5-10$ if your betting 100$ a game .. I look at 1-1 as the same category as drawing even. Nothing substantial won, nothing substantial lost.

    BOL
    PV
     
    MrTTL
    MrTTL
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    Posted: Feb. 3, 2010 - 5:38 PM ET #905

    Good night PV and thank you.
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    Good night PV and thank you.
     
    tigerw05
    tigerw05
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    Posted: Feb. 3, 2010 - 5:38 PM ET #906

    pitt you are 80%...great.  People are not starting shit b/c jealousy.  people, at least me, are just stating that the sample size is too small.  fact of the matter is that there could be 5000 covers members (I actually have no idea).  And if every single person started this 2 posts a day at the same time you did, and started throwing darts at who to bet on, there would be about 300(guessing without doing the probability/std deviation calc) of you who are in the same group as you. 

    It reminds me of an old handicappers trick which is now illegal where someone gets 5000 emails and sends 2500 people to play chicago and 2500 people to play philly.  philly wins so he only sends his next play to those 2500 people but advises 1250 on team A and 1250 on team B.  you run this scenario 8 or 9 times and you will come to a handful people who have gotten 10 straight perfect winners.  now let me ask you, won't those people pay big monies for the 11th prediction?  and the scamster has not done anything of value.  i dont mean to insult you by insinuating that you are doing this, but rather to point out why people might be skeptical.  i'm not trying to suggest that you throw darts when choosing winners.  all i AM saying is that for me, the sample size is too small, and for ME the quality of posts that UNC and bator post are superior to yours.

    but hey, you are winning and grats to you, hope you can keep it up over the long run

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    pitt you are 80%...great.  People are not starting shit b/c jealousy.  people, at least me, are just stating that the sample size is too small.  fact of the matter is that there could be 5000 covers members (I actually have no idea).  And if every single person started this 2 posts a day at the same time you did, and started throwing darts at who to bet on, there would be about 300(guessing without doing the probability/std deviation calc) of you who are in the same group as you. 

    It reminds me of an old handicappers trick which is now illegal where someone gets 5000 emails and sends 2500 people to play chicago and 2500 people to play philly.  philly wins so he only sends his next play to those 2500 people but advises 1250 on team A and 1250 on team B.  you run this scenario 8 or 9 times and you will come to a handful people who have gotten 10 straight perfect winners.  now let me ask you, won't those people pay big monies for the 11th prediction?  and the scamster has not done anything of value.  i dont mean to insult you by insinuating that you are doing this, but rather to point out why people might be skeptical.  i'm not trying to suggest that you throw darts when choosing winners.  all i AM saying is that for me, the sample size is too small, and for ME the quality of posts that UNC and bator post are superior to yours.

    but hey, you are winning and grats to you, hope you can keep it up over the long run

     
    wchavanu
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    Posted: Feb. 3, 2010 - 5:39 PM ET #907

    Hey PV, don't even dignify yourself with a response to any of these idiots...what do you prove...there is no love in here...just a bunch of +unts and +ocksuckers...and oh yeah *ucking tailers...sorry almost forgot about you assholes...this FORUM has Moderators to keep that kind of tout shit from going on...if they don't like what you are doing they will get rid of you...POST or Don't POST...its all up to you...BTW you are using some sort of program made by you or some 3rd party program info to go by...pick the best 2 out of the pile...SheeZam 75% chance of being right...I know...its where you get your info helps a lot...but how you use it breaks us apart from the others...BOL whatever you do...if I was you I would polish my EGO and go silent for a while and run out the 50 days...then send me a friend e-mail and we'll talk...Bill

    BRING IT
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    Hey PV, don't even dignify yourself with a response to any of these idiots...what do you prove...there is no love in here...just a bunch of +unts and +ocksuckers...and oh yeah *ucking tailers...sorry almost forgot about you assholes...this FORUM has Moderators to keep that kind of tout shit from going on...if they don't like what you are doing they will get rid of you...POST or Don't POST...its all up to you...BTW you are using some sort of program made by you or some 3rd party program info to go by...pick the best 2 out of the pile...SheeZam 75% chance of being right...I know...its where you get your info helps a lot...but how you use it breaks us apart from the others...BOL whatever you do...if I was you I would polish my EGO and go silent for a while and run out the 50 days...then send me a friend e-mail and we'll talk...Bill

    BRING IT
     
    wchavanu
    wchavanu
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    Posted: Feb. 3, 2010 - 5:39 PM ET #908

    Look Out Forum Jail Here I Come
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    Look Out Forum Jail Here I Come
     
    kaponofor3
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    Posted: Feb. 3, 2010 - 5:40 PM ET #909

    PV -- for a dude who relies so heavily on ROI and money management, I find it a tad surprising that you would look at -0.1 units as drawing even?


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    PV -- for a dude who relies so heavily on ROI and money management, I find it a tad surprising that you would look at -0.1 units as drawing even?


     
    Borba21
    Borba21
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    Posted: Feb. 3, 2010 - 5:40 PM ET #910

    Pitt you are the Man! been following your picks the past 2 weeks and have made a small profit as I am a small player just 25-30 a game used to bet big $1,000 a game and got in a deep hole so I no longer can do that biggest I do now is $100-$200. Rice is -3.5 now is that a good to go pick even though now they must win by 4 for the cover? Thanks and keep up the good Work!!!
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    Pitt you are the Man! been following your picks the past 2 weeks and have made a small profit as I am a small player just 25-30 a game used to bet big $1,000 a game and got in a deep hole so I no longer can do that biggest I do now is $100-$200. Rice is -3.5 now is that a good to go pick even though now they must win by 4 for the cover? Thanks and keep up the good Work!!!
     
    Izzy-2020
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    Posted: Feb. 3, 2010 - 5:43 PM ET #911

    hey fellas, I think pitt nailed it when he said jealousy was the reason behind these people(unc) coming in his thread and fucking with him. He is absolutely correct,unc use to be the main dude on here and now pitts calls,hell I dont need to defend pitts work, it speaks for its self. Unc dont worry I still check out your thread,and actually like how you took it down to one pick a day. And if anyone has noticed Pitt has never been an asshole to anyone,if anything he has been a true gentleman. I think your out of line on this one.Tell me UNC have you bet on any of Pitts picks?Be honest now,ha ha,thats what I thought.
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    hey fellas, I think pitt nailed it when he said jealousy was the reason behind these people(unc) coming in his thread and fucking with him. He is absolutely correct,unc use to be the main dude on here and now pitts calls,hell I dont need to defend pitts work, it speaks for its self. Unc dont worry I still check out your thread,and actually like how you took it down to one pick a day. And if anyone has noticed Pitt has never been an asshole to anyone,if anything he has been a true gentleman. I think your out of line on this one.Tell me UNC have you bet on any of Pitts picks?Be honest now,ha ha,thats what I thought.
     
    Bruuuuce78
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    Posted: Feb. 3, 2010 - 5:45 PM ET #912

    Im just dying to know what website Pitt gets his picks from...............its killing me
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    Im just dying to know what website Pitt gets his picks from...............its killing me
     
    Bruuuuce78
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    Posted: Feb. 3, 2010 - 5:45 PM ET #913

    I guess we will find out after 50 days
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    I guess we will find out after 50 days
     
    ttt_982002
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    Posted: Feb. 3, 2010 - 5:47 PM ET #914

    "With two picks a day there four possibility's (not including pushes) -
    (2-0, 1-1, 1-1, 0-2). So there is a 75% chance of having an even day or better, and a 25% chance of having a losing day. You add this method to well researched picks, then you are off to a good start."

    your math is a little bit off there. or you are talking in positive way.   I'd say  25% chance of having a winning day -- and 75% of having a losing day:  1-1, 1-1 or 0-2 is a losing day.  1-1 and 1-1 you lose the juice.  (regular juice + tout ..service )

    we all know gambling long run is not the way,  bookie or tout will make money .  but we are all degenerate so ....
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    "With two picks a day there four possibility's (not including pushes) -
    (2-0, 1-1, 1-1, 0-2). So there is a 75% chance of having an even day or better, and a 25% chance of having a losing day. You add this method to well researched picks, then you are off to a good start."

    your math is a little bit off there. or you are talking in positive way.   I'd say  25% chance of having a winning day -- and 75% of having a losing day:  1-1, 1-1 or 0-2 is a losing day.  1-1 and 1-1 you lose the juice.  (regular juice + tout ..service )

    we all know gambling long run is not the way,  bookie or tout will make money .  but we are all degenerate so ....
     
    jms5417
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    Posted: Feb. 3, 2010 - 5:48 PM ET #915

    Hey PV, does 71% of the public being on Rice's side scare you at all? I always tend to stay away from those games but you seem to be on them every now and then.
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    Hey PV, does 71% of the public being on Rice's side scare you at all? I always tend to stay away from those games but you seem to be on them every now and then.
     
    Uconn34
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    Posted: Feb. 3, 2010 - 5:48 PM ET #916

    whatever your deal is BOL. i have enjoyed the insight you have provided thus far.
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    whatever your deal is BOL. i have enjoyed the insight you have provided thus far.
     
    jdj36
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    Posted: Feb. 3, 2010 - 5:49 PM ET #917

    Some of you guys act Like a bunch of Bitches Sometimes...  Its Like Hook'n Up with Some Hottie who is Just Doin It For ya< and Instaed of Just Havin Fun and Fuckin Her NOW and Enjoying the Ride Yer Asking Her "Where Is this Going?..  Do We Have a Future 2gther?..  Are You Gonna Leave Me?"... SHUT UUP Already and Lets Just Enjoy the Ride NOW!!.....

    Sorry PV!...  Didnt Mean to Insinuate "Fucking You" Hahahaha.. Just Tryin to Make a Point

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    Some of you guys act Like a bunch of Bitches Sometimes...  Its Like Hook'n Up with Some Hottie who is Just Doin It For ya< and Instaed of Just Havin Fun and Fuckin Her NOW and Enjoying the Ride Yer Asking Her "Where Is this Going?..  Do We Have a Future 2gther?..  Are You Gonna Leave Me?"... SHUT UUP Already and Lets Just Enjoy the Ride NOW!!.....

    Sorry PV!...  Didnt Mean to Insinuate "Fucking You" Hahahaha.. Just Tryin to Make a Point

     
    BHJohnny
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    Posted: Feb. 3, 2010 - 5:57 PM ET #918

    You might as well just drop the talk of him going tout or not.  He took the time to answer all of the accusations except the one about him going tout after 50 days.  Why didn't he answer that?That gives you your answer.  He would look like an idiot if he said "No I'm Not" and then he does.  Just accept it and quit talking about it.
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    You might as well just drop the talk of him going tout or not.  He took the time to answer all of the accusations except the one about him going tout after 50 days.  Why didn't he answer that?That gives you your answer.  He would look like an idiot if he said "No I'm Not" and then he does.  Just accept it and quit talking about it.
     
    callinan24
    callinan24
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    Posted: Feb. 3, 2010 - 5:57 PM ET #919

    All i care about is  who cares if he was a "tout"? there free now arent they?

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    All i care about is  who cares if he was a "tout"? there free now arent they?

     
    powerade
    powerade
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    Posted: Feb. 3, 2010 - 6:07 PM ET #920

    Quote Originally Posted by pittviper:

    Powerade .. the main reason I kept the thread is to document my run and have one neutral place to come too each day since I am posting on a bunch of forums it would be annoying to have to post a new thread everyday.
     
     
    exactly.....marketing to the most people you can...good for you
     
    Quote Originally Posted by pittviper:


    This is my last post until after the games tonight.

    promise?

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    Quote Originally Posted by pittviper:

    Powerade .. the main reason I kept the thread is to document my run and have one neutral place to come too each day since I am posting on a bunch of forums it would be annoying to have to post a new thread everyday.
     
     
    exactly.....marketing to the most people you can...good for you
     
    Quote Originally Posted by pittviper:


    This is my last post until after the games tonight.

    promise?

     
    sideJOBplay
    sideJOBplay
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    Posted: Feb. 3, 2010 - 6:11 PM ET #921

    fuck powerade,ur ava is sick,keep stop looking  once started,hahha
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    fuck powerade,ur ava is sick,keep stop looking  once started,hahha
     
    Kubrick
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    Posted: Feb. 3, 2010 - 6:17 PM ET #922

    Great job so far PV, just have fun and do your thing, it's exciting to watch this amazing run you've been on.
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    Great job so far PV, just have fun and do your thing, it's exciting to watch this amazing run you've been on.
     
    VietGambit
    VietGambit
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    Posts: 264
    Posted: Feb. 3, 2010 - 6:19 PM ET #923

    I can't believe these fucks don't have no shame. They continue to go about there stupid shit. He hasn't answer "what he's going to do after 50 days" "minus juice makes your math incorrect" blah blah blah...STFU already...you look like an ass in front of everyone. Only person you bashers are impressin is the other cock you tryin to suck....hint hint kaponas tryin to suck off UNC... Shit the point is if its the mans choice to later on sell his picks. So be it...If you are good enough...then do it yourself as well....If the advertisment was good enough, you will have buyers...Maybe you guys that are bashing about so and so has so many post, not enough sample like UNC and me...Maybe you guys aint confident enough in your picks to start selling. Or maybe if you not smart enough to start a business with your own talent and make some more money...Bottom line...if he aint committed a crime. I mean an illegal crime that affects any one... Why hate? It looks as if he has helped, saved, put more smiles on bettors face than burned anyone so why such the big deal...What is it to you? What benefit do you get if you got it right that he will charge after 50 days? Seriously man...You guys act like undercover cops trying to catch a big case and shit...wait did someone in the earlier thread say they used to be a detective oor whatever and noticed the dot.dot.dot.? Shit maybe we got an out of busniss detective that thinks by exposing PV he'll get a job again or something. lol Just stay out of his thread if you doubt his motives, integrity, etc...And DONT BUY his picks if he start sellin em...Leave the thread to those that admire, respect, cherish, and maybe wish to buy his picks in the future...enough on this shit cuz now your fucking up my valuable time reading and sorting through your comments to get to his.
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    I can't believe these fucks don't have no shame. They continue to go about there stupid shit. He hasn't answer "what he's going to do after 50 days" "minus juice makes your math incorrect" blah blah blah...STFU already...you look like an ass in front of everyone. Only person you bashers are impressin is the other cock you tryin to suck....hint hint kaponas tryin to suck off UNC... Shit the point is if its the mans choice to later on sell his picks. So be it...If you are good enough...then do it yourself as well....If the advertisment was good enough, you will have buyers...Maybe you guys that are bashing about so and so has so many post, not enough sample like UNC and me...Maybe you guys aint confident enough in your picks to start selling. Or maybe if you not smart enough to start a business with your own talent and make some more money...Bottom line...if he aint committed a crime. I mean an illegal crime that affects any one... Why hate? It looks as if he has helped, saved, put more smiles on bettors face than burned anyone so why such the big deal...What is it to you? What benefit do you get if you got it right that he will charge after 50 days? Seriously man...You guys act like undercover cops trying to catch a big case and shit...wait did someone in the earlier thread say they used to be a detective oor whatever and noticed the dot.dot.dot.? Shit maybe we got an out of busniss detective that thinks by exposing PV he'll get a job again or something. lol Just stay out of his thread if you doubt his motives, integrity, etc...And DONT BUY his picks if he start sellin em...Leave the thread to those that admire, respect, cherish, and maybe wish to buy his picks in the future...enough on this shit cuz now your fucking up my valuable time reading and sorting through your comments to get to his.
     
    VietGambit
    VietGambit
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    Posted: Feb. 3, 2010 - 6:22 PM ET #924

    you too powerade. want a threesome with UNC and kaponas or what? its none of your business so fuck dude
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    you too powerade. want a threesome with UNC and kaponas or what? its none of your business so fuck dude
     
     
    Bruuuuce78
    Bruuuuce78
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    Posts: 5365
    Posted: Feb. 3, 2010 - 6:32 PM ET #925

    Quote Originally Posted by VietGambit:

    you too powerade. want a threesome with UNC and kaponas or what? its none of your business so fuck dude

    what are you going to do after 50 days Viet?  Who's di*k will you jump on then?.....Will you jump back on UNC's?? Yes, I think so.....

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    Quote Originally Posted by VietGambit:

    you too powerade. want a threesome with UNC and kaponas or what? its none of your business so fuck dude

    what are you going to do after 50 days Viet?  Who's di*k will you jump on then?.....Will you jump back on UNC's?? Yes, I think so.....

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