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    phixer's night at the opera week 10 nfl

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    phixer
    pappadoc
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    phixer
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    Posted: Nov. 12, 2015 - 2:09 PM ET #1

    NFL Week 10: TNF  NY Jets vs BUF Bills  Totals

    (the table could not be uploaded here, sorry)

    Take a look at the table above. I know that the same strategy I'm going to use here, didn't exactly work with the game in Carolina when the Panthers and the Packers blasted each other with points. But the same strategy did work in Denver. What strategy? Simple one. On one hand we have the algorithm that calculates us a 24.4 - 23.2 score between the teams in Jets favor. On the other hand - looking at the offensive tools each team has makes it clear that the Bills have a great advantage running the ball (4th road offense rushing against the 10th home defense against the run) while the last thing the Jets want to do is pass the ball against the Bills (18th home passing offense against the 4th road defense against the passing offense). Now let us take a moment and decipher Vegas intentions here: they know that any kid making a simple calculation will figure that the totals in this game should be set around 47 to 48 points by simply adding each teams output point wise against each team allowing the points arithmetically . So, how come the line released was 44.5 luring in all the "sharps" and despite 8 out of every 10 bettors being on Over - the line has dropped as low as 41.5? I was actually thinking to take 42.5 yesterday for an under but wanted to be assured that the line will continue to drop attracting more bettors for over and now I am assured about that. I will advise to buy some points here to avoid being meddled by the wise guys, but in case you can't - it is still OK to take the bet with 41.5 but with lesser units (3).

    This is a 5 units play

    Under 43  -133  665$

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    NFL Week 10: TNF  NY Jets vs BUF Bills  Totals

    (the table could not be uploaded here, sorry)

    Take a look at the table above. I know that the same strategy I'm going to use here, didn't exactly work with the game in Carolina when the Panthers and the Packers blasted each other with points. But the same strategy did work in Denver. What strategy? Simple one. On one hand we have the algorithm that calculates us a 24.4 - 23.2 score between the teams in Jets favor. On the other hand - looking at the offensive tools each team has makes it clear that the Bills have a great advantage running the ball (4th road offense rushing against the 10th home defense against the run) while the last thing the Jets want to do is pass the ball against the Bills (18th home passing offense against the 4th road defense against the passing offense). Now let us take a moment and decipher Vegas intentions here: they know that any kid making a simple calculation will figure that the totals in this game should be set around 47 to 48 points by simply adding each teams output point wise against each team allowing the points arithmetically . So, how come the line released was 44.5 luring in all the "sharps" and despite 8 out of every 10 bettors being on Over - the line has dropped as low as 41.5? I was actually thinking to take 42.5 yesterday for an under but wanted to be assured that the line will continue to drop attracting more bettors for over and now I am assured about that. I will advise to buy some points here to avoid being meddled by the wise guys, but in case you can't - it is still OK to take the bet with 41.5 but with lesser units (3).

    This is a 5 units play

    Under 43  -133  665$

     
    pappadoc
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    Posted: Nov. 12, 2015 - 2:17 PM ET #2

    BOL PHIXER
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    BOL PHIXER
     
    lik122
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    Posted: Nov. 12, 2015 - 2:21 PM ET #3

    BOL
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    BOL
     
    TheForbes777
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    Posted: Nov. 12, 2015 - 2:28 PM ET #4

    Im on the under big time with the Jets new kicker being untested. Final score for me came in at Bills 27 vs Jets 10. I dont think Mangold wilk finish the game at C for them, and this defense will limit both passing and rush production for Jets. 

    GL man
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    Im on the under big time with the Jets new kicker being untested. Final score for me came in at Bills 27 vs Jets 10. I dont think Mangold wilk finish the game at C for them, and this defense will limit both passing and rush production for Jets. 

    GL man
     
    PGAromes82
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    Posted: Nov. 12, 2015 - 2:32 PM ET #5

    “You don’t get what you hope for, you get what you work for!”
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    Ddubb
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    Posted: Nov. 12, 2015 - 2:34 PM ET #6

    I absolutely agree Phix! Great breakdown! 
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    I absolutely agree Phix! Great breakdown! 
     
    snowman76
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    Posted: Nov. 12, 2015 - 2:38 PM ET #7

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    mrdish33
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    Posted: Nov. 12, 2015 - 2:41 PM ET #8

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    sograteful
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    Posted: Nov. 12, 2015 - 2:56 PM ET #9

    Got U43 at -126, BOL tonight 
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    Got U43 at -126, BOL tonight 
     
    Danrizzle
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    Posted: Nov. 12, 2015 - 3:00 PM ET #10

    Like the pick Phixer! Thank you for posting your play early as this site seems to "mysteriously" have issues when your picks are posted close to kick off...BOL my friend!!!
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    Like the pick Phixer! Thank you for posting your play early as this site seems to "mysteriously" have issues when your picks are posted close to kick off...BOL my friend!!!
     
    Irish1986
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    Posted: Nov. 12, 2015 - 3:11 PM ET #11

    Thx following as always Phixer good luck 
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    Thx following as always Phixer good luck 
     
    Crashdavis565
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    Posted: Nov. 12, 2015 - 3:21 PM ET #12

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    garung
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    Posted: Nov. 12, 2015 - 3:28 PM ET #13

    BOL tonight phixer 
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    BOL tonight phixer 
     
    HenneGivnSunday
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    Posted: Nov. 12, 2015 - 3:39 PM ET #14

    had to buy 1.5 & got it at -140. Still, i'm only betting 1 unit compared to my normal 3.

    **MONEY MANAGEMENT**<<<<A very wise man around these parts once said that

    Thanks Phix & good luck to all 
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    had to buy 1.5 & got it at -140. Still, i'm only betting 1 unit compared to my normal 3.

    **MONEY MANAGEMENT**<<<<A very wise man around these parts once said that

    Thanks Phix & good luck to all 
     
    ndsent1
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    Posted: Nov. 12, 2015 - 3:48 PM ET #15

    Same here !!  Good Luck to all.........
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    Same here !!  Good Luck to all.........
     
    Ibchris81
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    Posted: Nov. 12, 2015 - 4:03 PM ET #16

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    JFelty
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    Posted: Nov. 12, 2015 - 4:09 PM ET #17

    This game reminds me of the bills dolphins game last week. A game you were also on the under on that went over. Your trying to hard to outsmart the line. Bills last 3 games total pts combined has been 55,65 and 50... Jets last 4 games total pts combined has been 54,53,54 and 51... I'm glad the "sharps" are getting this lower. Hoping it goes down another half point so I can get it at 41. Both teams defenses have been struggling, tonight won't be any different.At worst tonight we will see a 24 20 final. Jets gave up 23 to the jags at home, buffalo will put up 20 as well. Maybe we get the middle and both win O41 and U43. BOL Phix but I don't see another thurs night  under tonight. 
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    This game reminds me of the bills dolphins game last week. A game you were also on the under on that went over. Your trying to hard to outsmart the line. Bills last 3 games total pts combined has been 55,65 and 50... Jets last 4 games total pts combined has been 54,53,54 and 51... I'm glad the "sharps" are getting this lower. Hoping it goes down another half point so I can get it at 41. Both teams defenses have been struggling, tonight won't be any different.At worst tonight we will see a 24 20 final. Jets gave up 23 to the jags at home, buffalo will put up 20 as well. Maybe we get the middle and both win O41 and U43. BOL Phix but I don't see another thurs night  under tonight. 
     
    GotPhoTai
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    Posted: Nov. 12, 2015 - 4:32 PM ET #18

    Thanks
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    Thanks
     
    K-Hal
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    Posted: Nov. 12, 2015 - 4:35 PM ET #19

    Let's get 'em Phix.  Just need a couple of those JETS 7 minute drives that end in a punt.
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    Let's get 'em Phix.  Just need a couple of those JETS 7 minute drives that end in a punt.
     
    K-Hal
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    Posted: Nov. 12, 2015 - 4:35 PM ET #20

    Let's get 'em Phix.  Just need a couple of those JETS 7 minute drives that end in a punt.
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    Let's get 'em Phix.  Just need a couple of those JETS 7 minute drives that end in a punt.
     
    K-Hal
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    Posted: Nov. 12, 2015 - 4:35 PM ET #21

    Let's get 'em Phix.  Just need a couple of those JETS 7 minute drives that end in a punt.
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    Let's get 'em Phix.  Just need a couple of those JETS 7 minute drives that end in a punt.
     
    Dodgy
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    Posted: Nov. 12, 2015 - 4:38 PM ET #22

    41.5 isn't a real line, it will come back up to 42 before kickoff-- I advise waiting for anyone who wants to lock this in.
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    41.5 isn't a real line, it will come back up to 42 before kickoff-- I advise waiting for anyone who wants to lock this in.
     
    OnePickOneHit
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    Posted: Nov. 12, 2015 - 4:43 PM ET #23

    PLEASE EVERYONE 

    If you're not Phixer, DO NOT POST on this thread !!!

    He, and all of us, DO NOT CARE for your "BOL" messages, nor your opinions on games !

    STAY THE darn AWAY  



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    PLEASE EVERYONE 

    If you're not Phixer, DO NOT POST on this thread !!!

    He, and all of us, DO NOT CARE for your "BOL" messages, nor your opinions on games !

    STAY THE darn AWAY  



     
    OnePickOneHit
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    Posted: Nov. 12, 2015 - 4:43 PM ET #24

    PLEASE EVERYONE 

    If you're not Phixer, DO NOT POST on this thread !!!

    He, and all of us, DO NOT CARE for your "BOL" messages, nor your opinions on games !

    STAY THE darn AWAY  
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    PLEASE EVERYONE 

    If you're not Phixer, DO NOT POST on this thread !!!

    He, and all of us, DO NOT CARE for your "BOL" messages, nor your opinions on games !

    STAY THE darn AWAY  
     
     
    OnePickOneHit
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    Posted: Nov. 12, 2015 - 4:43 PM ET #25

    PLEASE EVERYONE 

    If you're not Phixer, DO NOT POST on this thread !!!

    He, and all of us, DO NOT CARE for your "BOL" messages, nor your opinions on games !

    STAY THE darn AWAY  
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    PLEASE EVERYONE 

    If you're not Phixer, DO NOT POST on this thread !!!

    He, and all of us, DO NOT CARE for your "BOL" messages, nor your opinions on games !

    STAY THE darn AWAY  
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