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Posted: #3826
Eyeballing Cavs ML tomorrow night...i think they will produce a similar result as they did vs Denver...Clips are a hot mess with very few quality players left...they look ok for spurts, but have major flaws which get easily exposed over 48min...Lebron loves playing for an LA crowd...and on a Saturday night im sure he will put on quite the sports entertainment spectacle for ABC
MAGAm Yisrael Chai
 
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Posted: #3827
Quote Originally Posted by packersbackers:

Eyeballing Cavs ML tomorrow night...i think they will produce a similar result as they did vs Denver...Clips are a hot mess with very few quality players left...they look ok for spurts, but have major flaws which get easily exposed over 48min...Lebron loves playing for an LA crowd...and on a FRIDAY night im sure he will put on quite the sports entertainment spectacle for ABC
Good assessment on tonight's matchup. Had this one circled...a solid wager, attached to value. this game makes me thirsty.

Cleveland Cavaliers @ L.A. Clippers

CAVS +105 ML  5 units
Stations sportsbook LV

enjoy the game

 
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Posted: #3828
have a feeling these lines will be a lot sharper today. chalk won big on square plays yesterday and i don't see that continuing to happen. what a coincidence.. on friday, pay day. lol. gonna be aiming for more live bets than anything else. i do like this parlay, though. little juicier than i would like but i'm confident

Basketball - 858 Xavier -360 for Game
Basketball - 870 Kansas -305 for Game
parlay -142


No team is as good as it looks when winning nor are they as bad as they look when losing
 
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Posted: #3829
I can’t believe the Cavs are + money straight up against a Blake and Paul and Gallo-less Clips team who starts two undersized guards and who’s current star is Tobias Harris.

I also can’t see a soul playing the Clips ML. Not a single soul for - money. 

And this Cavs team is supposed to WIN the East.....?
 
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Posted: #3830
Not that the Cavs are a bad bet. I find it way too easy. And really the Cavs have to make a run sooner or later to get momentum heading into the playoffs.
 
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Posted: #3831
Quote Originally Posted by scalabrine:

Not that the Cavs are a bad bet. I find it way too easy. And really the Cavs have to make a run sooner or later to get momentum heading into the playoffs.
So what are you saying Scal?
 
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Posted: #3832
They ARE having their momentum back. They are 2-0 after losing to Denver at home. I have back them after that loss and will back them again tonight. 
 
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Posted: #3833
I don’t think it’s a bad bet air. The angle of the Cavs beginning a push is rational.

It’s just so hard to find easy money in the NBA and this seems like easy money. Scary. 
 
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Posted: #3834
Quote Originally Posted by scalabrine:

I can’t believe the Cavs are + money straight up against a Blake and Paul and Gallo-less Clips team who starts two undersized guards and who’s current star is Tobias Harris.

I also can’t see a soul playing the Clips ML. Not a single soul for - money. 

And this Cavs team is supposed to WIN the East.....?
i do not understand the nba lines. normally you would think games like this or denver a couple days ago was a trick. heavy public percentage and just a completely f*cked up line favoring the favorite. looks to easy.. in most instances i would hop on it, but the nba proves me wrong. another example, celtics vs twolves. celtics only -2.5. are you kidding me? they're clearly the better team. i played maybe 5 games this season and said no way. this is not making sense to me. i'm hoping that the playoffs and end of ncaa season will change this
No team is as good as it looks when winning nor are they as bad as they look when losing
 
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Posted: #3835
Quote Originally Posted by scalabrine:

I don’t think it’s a bad bet air. The angle of the Cavs beginning a push is rational.

It’s just so hard to find easy money in the NBA and this seems like easy money. Scary. 
100% correct. it's TOO easy. in ncaa basketball or football, or NFL, this almost never happens. i'm not sure why it's happening in the nba. i don't recall it ever being this easy.
No team is as good as it looks when winning nor are they as bad as they look when losing
 
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Posted: #3836
I think im fading the Clipoers here more than im backing the Cavs...roster of LAC currently is almost a joke and they play zero defense...they will offer no resistance to the Cavs and its teams like these which typically dont threaten Lebron led teams....Clipps are one of the few softer teams in the league than the Cavs...the total here could easily top 250 if they choose to both play up tempo and get their shots 10sec into the shot clock
MAGAm Yisrael Chai
 
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Posted: #3837
Dirty,

I saw the Celtics line too and said no way. Then lamented as I saw the Celts up 60-48 at the half.

But amazingly I wish I stuck to the NBA over the NCAA this year. Purdue has bombed my roll. They actually can be two and done. They’ve lose all their mojo imo. 19 game winning streak was a million years ago.

Monmouth has also been a massive bankroll burner as well. Terrible.
 
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Posted: #3838
Quote Originally Posted by packersbackers:

Locked in:

Warriors +4.5...ingame wager with them down 101-93 around 5min left in the 4th Q...full unit wager...im chicken but ML +200 quarter unit also locked in.

Lets go Dubs...ive waited long enough for you guys to take this game seriously...nows the time...do it for Stephs right ankle 

 Nice one.
 
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Posted: #3839
wichita -10 -122

was waiting for that one. temple blows
No team is as good as it looks when winning nor are they as bad as they look when losing
 
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Posted: #3840
And Oklahoma as well.

Seriously, who is puttIng money of Trae Young right now?

I guarantee a team like the Kings takes him and he flounders our west for his career. He is Rudy G ay 2.0. High volume scorer with bad shot selection and bad FG percentage. You can have him. No thanks.

He’d fit perfectly on the awful Knicks. 
 
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Posted: #3841
Eyeballing:

Warriors ML -120....their last loss was against Portland just before the all star break, and they got punked in that one in the 1st Q and simply couldnt stop Portlands offense...i expect Warriors to play with more playoff intensity style defense from the start of this one...leaning Under 222.5, however the this line is razor sharp for any preflop action in my opinion...heres another head scratcher of a line...GS on a back to back, without Curry, playing one of the other hottest teams where its very difficult to win, and the game is essentailly a pickem...perhaps GS 1st Q spread is the way to approach this one...i will be chewing on this game all day long...plus i fully expect Klay to play 1000% better tonight...he was almost invisible last night which i found hard to believe how passive his game have become recently.
MAGAm Yisrael Chai
 
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Posted: #3842
this year, oklahoma and baylor screwed me more times than i can count on my hands. PB and i were talking about this a couple days ago. put trae young with a team of his equal or better and he is a bust. but to be fair, that entire team had half his talent. they all depended on him. i'm gonna be pissed if OU makes it into the tourny. there are far better teams that deserve a chance
No team is as good as it looks when winning nor are they as bad as they look when losing
 
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Posted: #3843
Thanks Wizard...tracking these west coast games for live wagering opportunities are tough on my middle aged east coast body.
MAGAm Yisrael Chai
 
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Posted: #3844
ODB is so righr...put Trae Young on Kansas or Texas Tech, or even another Big 12 upper echelon team with more talented players, and Trae would optically appear as a much better overall player because he wouldnt have his deficiencies exposed like in Okla having nobody to play with....hes too small in my opinion for the NBA and you will see no quality team will want him during his future nba career....he will be a nice stat collector and make generational changing amounts of money, but he will most likely never have a relevant career on any contending team.
MAGAm Yisrael Chai
 
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Posted: #3845
florida -3 -122

arkansas has been anything but impressive. the books continue to disrepesct florida this year. i have a feeling they go far in the tourny as a heavy sleeper with all the focus on xavier, michigan st, nova, etc. arkansas d is brutal. 12th in their conference in adjusted efficiency on defense. 
No team is as good as it looks when winning nor are they as bad as they look when losing
 
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Posted: #3846
Quote Originally Posted by OlDirtyBaztid:

florida -3 -122

arkansas has been anything but impressive. the books continue to disrepesct florida this year. i have a feeling they go far in the tourny as a heavy sleeper with all the focus on xavier, michigan st, nova, etc. arkansas d is brutal. 12th in their conference in adjusted efficiency on defense. 
this was a (2u) play. my b
No team is as good as it looks when winning nor are they as bad as they look when losing
 
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Posted: #3847
I locked in this week Gators to win title at 50-1 as well as Tennessee 60-1...funzie lotto tickets for quarter units each...i also have a Cincy 75-1 from way back in November for a small sprinkle...those are my horses for now.
MAGAm Yisrael Chai
 
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Posted: #3848
OK is definitely making the tournament, not on merit (of which there is some) but the bracket makers LOVE to get us going and talking about who got snubbed/let in.

They do it EVERY year.

I definitely am not fading Portland given what I saw Lillard do to the Lakers single-hadedly. Never have I saw an 11 pt lead fade to nothing as fast as that.
 
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Posted: #3849
Quote Originally Posted by packersbackers:

I locked in this week Gators to win title at 50-1 as well as Tennessee 60-1...funzie lotto tickets for quarter units each...i also have a Cincy 75-1 from way back in November for a small sprinkle...those are my horses for now.

I have Cincy, Kansas and Ohio State.   Really falling in love with Cincy with their defense and they found ability to score.  Just have to question if their schedule made them look better than they really are
 
 
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Posted: #3850
Quote Originally Posted by packersbackers:

I locked in this week Gators to win title at 50-1 as well as Tennessee 60-1...funzie lotto tickets for quarter units each...i also have a Cincy 75-1 from way back in November for a small sprinkle...those are my horses for now.
i might have to take a small bite at florida. i like this odds on a small wager
No team is as good as it looks when winning nor are they as bad as they look when losing
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