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    All Forums | Other Pro Football

    AFL Round 1

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    kings_duce
    Merlin69
    mrpicky
    Trumpinator2020
    GIGEMCJ
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    1234 Next Last»
     
    kings_duce
    kings_duce
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    Posted: Mar. 19, 2020 - 3:36 AM ET #1

    Richmond vs Carlton +22.5/136.5

    the game will be play in a closed door without fan, traditional about 9000 attendee

    a dry calm warm weather, so this a fair condition to catch the balls without slippery.  The o/u line move from 137 down, as it is expected a strong defensive effort by Richmond, but they too can go with a strong scoring spree as both teams in excellent form with full strength.

     

    Take Over 136.5  an_horse

     

     

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    To remove first post, remove entire topic.

    Richmond vs Carlton +22.5/136.5

    the game will be play in a closed door without fan, traditional about 9000 attendee

    a dry calm warm weather, so this a fair condition to catch the balls without slippery.  The o/u line move from 137 down, as it is expected a strong defensive effort by Richmond, but they too can go with a strong scoring spree as both teams in excellent form with full strength.

     

    Take Over 136.5  an_horse

     

     

     
    kings_duce
    kings_duce
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    Posted: Mar. 19, 2020 - 8:24 AM ET #2

    Quote Originally Posted by kings_duce:

    Richmond vs Carlton +22.5/136.5 the game will be play in a closed door without fan, traditional about 9000 attendee a dry calm warm weather, so this a fair condition to catch the balls without slippery.  The o/u line move from 137 down, as it is expected a strong defensive effort by Richmond, but they too can go with a strong scoring spree as both teams in excellent form with full strength.   Take Over 136.5

    moneybag

    1-0

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    Quote Originally Posted by kings_duce:

    Richmond vs Carlton +22.5/136.5 the game will be play in a closed door without fan, traditional about 9000 attendee a dry calm warm weather, so this a fair condition to catch the balls without slippery.  The o/u line move from 137 down, as it is expected a strong defensive effort by Richmond, but they too can go with a strong scoring spree as both teams in excellent form with full strength.   Take Over 136.5

    moneybag

    1-0

     
    Merlin69
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    Posted: Mar. 19, 2020 - 9:46 AM ET #3

    I think a lot of the round 1 games are solid over bets on the totals. I think lines have overcompensated for the 16 min reduction in gametime.

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    I think a lot of the round 1 games are solid over bets on the totals. I think lines have overcompensated for the 16 min reduction in gametime.

     
    mrpicky
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    Posted: Mar. 19, 2020 - 2:20 PM ET #4

    What sites do you use for AFL betting forums?

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    What sites do you use for AFL betting forums?

     
    kings_duce
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    Posted: Mar. 19, 2020 - 6:57 PM ET #5

    i use

    afl.com.au and bet365 for info

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    i use

    afl.com.au and bet365 for info

     
    kings_duce
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    Posted: Mar. 19, 2020 - 9:59 PM ET #6

    Wst Bulldogs vs Collingwood even/157.5

    Last 3 matches Collingwood 3-0 dated back 2018.  Both teams are in full form, especially the pie is a more defensive oriented of the two.  Bulldogs is the one seems prone to 1-1 defensive matchup pressure and moving the balls in 50's range, they have a fair share of trouble to score late in the game and kick accuracy problem as high % would be a hit from behind goals .  I am leaning toward Collingwood even money or ML.  And a lean toward under 157, i wouldn't be surprised to see total moving down to around 154-153 game time. It will be a high humidity but not a slippery as such, a cloudy night with a mild cold weather.

     

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    Wst Bulldogs vs Collingwood even/157.5

    Last 3 matches Collingwood 3-0 dated back 2018.  Both teams are in full form, especially the pie is a more defensive oriented of the two.  Bulldogs is the one seems prone to 1-1 defensive matchup pressure and moving the balls in 50's range, they have a fair share of trouble to score late in the game and kick accuracy problem as high % would be a hit from behind goals .  I am leaning toward Collingwood even money or ML.  And a lean toward under 157, i wouldn't be surprised to see total moving down to around 154-153 game time. It will be a high humidity but not a slippery as such, a cloudy night with a mild cold weather.

     

     
    kings_duce
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    Posted: Mar. 19, 2020 - 11:20 PM ET #7

    The new line now Collingwood +1.5/155.5

    take Collingwood +1.5 an_horse

     

     

     

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    The new line now Collingwood +1.5/155.5

    take Collingwood +1.5 an_horse

     

     

     

     
    kings_duce
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    Posted: Mar. 20, 2020 - 4:21 AM ET #8

    Wst Bulldogs vs Collingwood total down to 148 now 

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    Wst Bulldogs vs Collingwood total down to 148 now 

     
    Merlin69
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    Posted: Mar. 20, 2020 - 4:29 AM ET #9

    I concur in Coll +1.5 being the bet.

    I've also laid an anytime goalscorer parlay with Bruce, Degoey, and Cox.

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    I concur in Coll +1.5 being the bet.

    I've also laid an anytime goalscorer parlay with Bruce, Degoey, and Cox.

     
    kings_duce
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    Posted: Mar. 20, 2020 - 7:07 AM ET #10

    Quote Originally Posted by kings_duce:

    The new line now Collingwood +1.5/155.5 take Collingwood +1.5

    moneybag

    2-0

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    Quote Originally Posted by kings_duce:

    The new line now Collingwood +1.5/155.5 take Collingwood +1.5

    moneybag

    2-0

     
    kings_duce
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    Posted: Mar. 20, 2020 - 8:28 AM ET #11

     

    2 games to look at tomorrow

    Essendon  -15.5/144.5  v Fremantle

    Adelaide Crows -5.5/140 v Sydney Swans

     

     

     

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    2 games to look at tomorrow

    Essendon  -15.5/144.5  v Fremantle

    Adelaide Crows -5.5/140 v Sydney Swans

     

     

     

     
    kings_duce
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    Posted: Mar. 20, 2020 - 8:41 AM ET #12

    Earlier lean on 2 plus money 

    Fremantle +15.5

    The Dockers has a poor record playing here at MCG, partly because of the Melbourne's fan and hostile environment but this gonna change.  There are more experience vets in this team than a younger Essendon team.  

    Sydney Swans +5.5

    The Swans should have a shot at an upset with this one, even without Franklin.

     

     

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    Earlier lean on 2 plus money 

    Fremantle +15.5

    The Dockers has a poor record playing here at MCG, partly because of the Melbourne's fan and hostile environment but this gonna change.  There are more experience vets in this team than a younger Essendon team.  

    Sydney Swans +5.5

    The Swans should have a shot at an upset with this one, even without Franklin.

     

     

     
    mrpicky
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    Posted: Mar. 20, 2020 - 2:13 PM ET #13

    Nice work duce!

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    Nice work duce!

     
    kings_duce
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    Posted: Mar. 20, 2020 - 10:51 PM ET #14

    line move now Essendon -17.5, worth the wait I am glad to take extra 2 points on the dockers.

    Take Dockers +17.5

     

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    line move now Essendon -17.5, worth the wait I am glad to take extra 2 points on the dockers.

    Take Dockers +17.5

     

     
    kings_duce
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    Posted: Mar. 20, 2020 - 11:07 PM ET #15

    Quote Originally Posted by mrpicky:

    Nice work duce!
    thx MrP

     

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    Quote Originally Posted by mrpicky:

    Nice work duce!
    thx MrP

     

     
    Trumpinator2020
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    Posted: Mar. 20, 2020 - 11:28 PM ET #16

    This one is over already, getting killed 25-1.  

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    This one is over already, getting killed 25-1.  

     
    kings_duce
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    Posted: Mar. 21, 2020 - 1:26 AM ET #17

    Quote Originally Posted by Trumpinator2020:

    This one is over already, getting killed 25-1.
     

    "Come Again ?" new_confused

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    Quote Originally Posted by Trumpinator2020:

    This one is over already, getting killed 25-1.
     

    "Come Again ?" new_confused

     
    GIGEMCJ
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    Posted: Mar. 21, 2020 - 1:27 AM ET #18

    thanks for your work

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    thanks for your work

     
    kings_duce
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    Posted: Mar. 21, 2020 - 1:27 AM ET #19

    Quote Originally Posted by kings_duce:

    line move now Essendon -17.5, worth the wait I am glad to take extra 2 points on the dockers. Take Dockers +17.5

    moneybag

    3-0

     

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    Quote Originally Posted by kings_duce:

    line move now Essendon -17.5, worth the wait I am glad to take extra 2 points on the dockers. Take Dockers +17.5

    moneybag

    3-0

     

     
    Trumpinator2020
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    Posted: Mar. 21, 2020 - 1:30 AM ET #20

    Reverse Jinx worked nicely.  No need to thank me.  

     

    an_cheers

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    Reverse Jinx worked nicely.  No need to thank me.  

     

    an_cheers

     
    kings_duce
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    Posted: Mar. 21, 2020 - 1:35 AM ET #21

    Quote Originally Posted by Trumpinator2020:

    Reverse Jinx worked nicely.  No need to thank me.

    Nah, its work like scripted...Essendon played well than i thought but no way they can win by 2 goals.  But i'll admit this much, with regular Essendon supporters' in the stadium it could as well a blown out lost for the dockers.

     

     

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    Quote Originally Posted by Trumpinator2020:

    Reverse Jinx worked nicely.  No need to thank me.

    Nah, its work like scripted...Essendon played well than i thought but no way they can win by 2 goals.  But i'll admit this much, with regular Essendon supporters' in the stadium it could as well a blown out lost for the dockers.

     

     

     
    kings_duce
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    Posted: Mar. 21, 2020 - 1:36 AM ET #22

    Quote Originally Posted by GIGEMCJ:

    thanks for your work
    Ty an_wink

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    Quote Originally Posted by GIGEMCJ:

    thanks for your work
    Ty an_wink

     
    Trumpinator2020
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    Posted: Mar. 21, 2020 - 1:41 AM ET #23

    I appreciate the pick, suprised my local allowed me to bet this ? 

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    I appreciate the pick, suprised my local allowed me to bet this ? 

     
    kings_duce
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    Posted: Mar. 21, 2020 - 1:47 AM ET #24

    With No significant line moment, i'll go with Sydney +5.5 in the next game.

    Adelaide is in a rebuild mode, with a new coach and so on.  Sydney too had some changes, retool a few younger players but a few core veteran is still intact.

    Take Swans +5.5

     

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    With No significant line moment, i'll go with Sydney +5.5 in the next game.

    Adelaide is in a rebuild mode, with a new coach and so on.  Sydney too had some changes, retool a few younger players but a few core veteran is still intact.

    Take Swans +5.5

     

     
     
    Trumpinator2020
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    Posted: Mar. 21, 2020 - 1:50 AM ET #25

    GL Duce, I'll catch the next one from you.  With my luck the Swans will lose by 5.  My line was 5.5 2 hours ago now down to 4.5.

     

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    GL Duce, I'll catch the next one from you.  With my luck the Swans will lose by 5.  My line was 5.5 2 hours ago now down to 4.5.

     

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