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All Forums | NHL Betting

Playing around and found this stat (Leafs ML)

theIntrospect
Hattrick11
weeble5672
Lippsman
theliquidator06
...
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theIntrospect
theIntrospect
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Joined: Dec, 2009
Posts: 566
Posted: Mar. 13, 2016 - 6:52 PM ET #1

May not mean anything, just found this interesting. 

Was just playing around and found this, teams playing on a b2b on a Sunday, after 2 wins by 1 goal and favored by at least -180 are 1-7 SU.

When the opponent also is on a b2b, then they're 1-6 SU.

Leafs ML +188
Leafs in regulation +320

SU:1-7 (-1.25, 12.5%)  avg line: -219.7 / 199.3  on / against: -$1,487 / +$1,343  ROI: -83.7% / +167.9%



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May not mean anything, just found this interesting. 

Was just playing around and found this, teams playing on a b2b on a Sunday, after 2 wins by 1 goal and favored by at least -180 are 1-7 SU.

When the opponent also is on a b2b, then they're 1-6 SU.

Leafs ML +188
Leafs in regulation +320

SU:1-7 (-1.25, 12.5%)  avg line: -219.7 / 199.3  on / against: -$1,487 / +$1,343  ROI: -83.7% / +167.9%



 
theIntrospect
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Posted: Mar. 13, 2016 - 7:00 PM ET #2

Went smaller since Mrazek is starting.

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Went smaller since Mrazek is starting.

 
Hattrick11
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Posted: Mar. 13, 2016 - 7:15 PM ET #3

Wow. Great stat.  Although, it doesnt offer any more credence for a toronto play.  I dont see detroit offering babcock any respect tonight.  

.....and the under 5.5 system play looks suspect.  

Going contrarian here big time.  Toronto and Over. 

Happy Sunday. 
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Wow. Great stat.  Although, it doesnt offer any more credence for a toronto play.  I dont see detroit offering babcock any respect tonight.  

.....and the under 5.5 system play looks suspect.  

Going contrarian here big time.  Toronto and Over. 

Happy Sunday. 
 
theIntrospect
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Posted: Mar. 13, 2016 - 7:20 PM ET #4

Quote Originally Posted by Hattrick11:

Wow. Great stat.  Although, it doesnt offer any more credence for a toronto play.  I dont see detroit offering babcock any respect tonight.  

.....and the under 5.5 system play looks suspect.  

Going contrarian here big time.  Toronto and Over. 

Happy Sunday. 

Thanks man. 
Good Luck 
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Quote Originally Posted by Hattrick11:

Wow. Great stat.  Although, it doesnt offer any more credence for a toronto play.  I dont see detroit offering babcock any respect tonight.  

.....and the under 5.5 system play looks suspect.  

Going contrarian here big time.  Toronto and Over. 

Happy Sunday. 

Thanks man. 
Good Luck 
 
weeble5672
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Posted: Mar. 13, 2016 - 8:34 PM ET #5

That's honestly an arbitrary stat, IMO. We can maneuver numbers any way we want to be able to get some sort of trend to support our picks.

Example...

Sunday faves of -180 or higher are 13-2 in their last 15.
Sunday faves of -180 or higher and off 2 straight wins are 10-0 in their last 10.

In other words, it's just a trend with no rhyme or reason to it. And what makes your stat even more arbitrary is the fact that the situation not very common. 8 times in the past 10 years to be exact.

Just my two cents, is all.
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That's honestly an arbitrary stat, IMO. We can maneuver numbers any way we want to be able to get some sort of trend to support our picks.

Example...

Sunday faves of -180 or higher are 13-2 in their last 15.
Sunday faves of -180 or higher and off 2 straight wins are 10-0 in their last 10.

In other words, it's just a trend with no rhyme or reason to it. And what makes your stat even more arbitrary is the fact that the situation not very common. 8 times in the past 10 years to be exact.

Just my two cents, is all.
 
Lippsman
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Posted: Mar. 13, 2016 - 9:31 PM ET #6

When the moon is full and I cook pasta on a Sunday I pick 90%

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When the moon is full and I cook pasta on a Sunday I pick 90%

 
theIntrospect
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Posted: Mar. 13, 2016 - 10:33 PM ET #7

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theIntrospect
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Posted: Mar. 13, 2016 - 10:34 PM ET #8

Quote Originally Posted by weeble5672:

That's honestly an arbitrary stat, IMO. We can maneuver numbers any way we want to be able to get some sort of trend to support our picks.

Example...

Sunday faves of -180 or higher are 13-2 in their last 15.
Sunday faves of -180 or higher and off 2 straight wins are 10-0 in their last 10.

In other words, it's just a trend with no rhyme or reason to it. And what makes your stat even more arbitrary is the fact that the situation not very common. 8 times in the past 10 years to be exact.

Just my two cents, is all.

Quote Originally Posted by weeble5672:

That's honestly an arbitrary stat, IMO. We can maneuver numbers any way we want to be able to get some sort of trend to support our picks. 

Example...

Sunday faves of -180 or higher are 13-2 in their last 15.
Sunday faves of -180 or higher and off 2 straight wins are 10-0 in their last 10.

In other words, it's just a trend with no rhyme or reason to it. And what makes your stat even more arbitrary is the fact that the situation not very common. 8 times in the past 10 years to be exact.

Just my two cents, is all. 

Your example stats are very easy to find as you're supporting a -180 line with a victory.

No matter how you query data, it's not so easy to get a 1-7 SU for the team that is favored by at least -180,

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Quote Originally Posted by weeble5672:

That's honestly an arbitrary stat, IMO. We can maneuver numbers any way we want to be able to get some sort of trend to support our picks.

Example...

Sunday faves of -180 or higher are 13-2 in their last 15.
Sunday faves of -180 or higher and off 2 straight wins are 10-0 in their last 10.

In other words, it's just a trend with no rhyme or reason to it. And what makes your stat even more arbitrary is the fact that the situation not very common. 8 times in the past 10 years to be exact.

Just my two cents, is all.

Quote Originally Posted by weeble5672:

That's honestly an arbitrary stat, IMO. We can maneuver numbers any way we want to be able to get some sort of trend to support our picks. 

Example...

Sunday faves of -180 or higher are 13-2 in their last 15.
Sunday faves of -180 or higher and off 2 straight wins are 10-0 in their last 10.

In other words, it's just a trend with no rhyme or reason to it. And what makes your stat even more arbitrary is the fact that the situation not very common. 8 times in the past 10 years to be exact.

Just my two cents, is all. 

Your example stats are very easy to find as you're supporting a -180 line with a victory.

No matter how you query data, it's not so easy to get a 1-7 SU for the team that is favored by at least -180,

 
theIntrospect
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Posted: Mar. 13, 2016 - 10:35 PM ET #9

Quote Originally Posted by weeble5672:

That's honestly an arbitrary stat, IMO. We can maneuver numbers any way we want to be able to get some sort of trend to support our picks.

Example...

Sunday faves of -180 or higher are 13-2 in their last 15.
Sunday faves of -180 or higher and off 2 straight wins are 10-0 in their last 10.

In other words, it's just a trend with no rhyme or reason to it. And what makes your stat even more arbitrary is the fact that the situation not very common. 8 times in the past 10 years to be exact.

Just my two cents, is all.

Your example stats are very easy to find as you're supporting a -180 line with a victory.

No matter how you query data, it's not so easy to get a 1-7 SU for the team that is favored by at least -180.

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Quote Originally Posted by weeble5672:

That's honestly an arbitrary stat, IMO. We can maneuver numbers any way we want to be able to get some sort of trend to support our picks.

Example...

Sunday faves of -180 or higher are 13-2 in their last 15.
Sunday faves of -180 or higher and off 2 straight wins are 10-0 in their last 10.

In other words, it's just a trend with no rhyme or reason to it. And what makes your stat even more arbitrary is the fact that the situation not very common. 8 times in the past 10 years to be exact.

Just my two cents, is all.

Your example stats are very easy to find as you're supporting a -180 line with a victory.

No matter how you query data, it's not so easy to get a 1-7 SU for the team that is favored by at least -180.

 
theIntrospect
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Posted: Mar. 13, 2016 - 11:11 PM ET #10

Quote Originally Posted by Lippsman:

When the moon is full and I cook pasta on a Sunday I pick 90%


See post #9

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Quote Originally Posted by Lippsman:

When the moon is full and I cook pasta on a Sunday I pick 90%


See post #9

 
theliquidator06
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Posted: Mar. 13, 2016 - 11:17 PM ET #11

Quote Originally Posted by Lippsman:

When the moon is full and I cook pasta on a Sunday I pick 90%


LMFAO! I love pasta! I love full moons and I love Sunday!
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Quote Originally Posted by Lippsman:

When the moon is full and I cook pasta on a Sunday I pick 90%


LMFAO! I love pasta! I love full moons and I love Sunday!
 
 
gabrielmafud
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Posted: Mar. 13, 2016 - 11:18 PM ET #12

GOOD PICK !!! 
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GOOD PICK !!! 
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