2 team alt line parlay ... oils tt over 1.5 tied to fla tt over 1.5 (-233 juice) like it (side note been trying to tie in something live and get juice under -200 to use a bonus .... ANYWAY ANY THOUGHT ABOUT THE 2 TEAMER? THX
2 team alt line parlay ... oils tt over 1.5 tied to fla tt over 1.5 (-233 juice) like it (side note been trying to tie in something live and get juice under -200 to use a bonus .... ANYWAY ANY THOUGHT ABOUT THE 2 TEAMER? THX
2 team alt line parlay ... oils tt over 1.5 tied to fla tt over 1.5 (-233 juice) like it (side note been trying to tie in something live and get juice under -200 to use a bonus .... ANYWAY ANY THOUGHT ABOUT THE 2 TEAMER? THX
BTTT (both teams to score twice) doesnt seem like a bad bet given its hit every game so far, and the opening line was 6.5, but i got a feeling edmonton is gonna shut them out tonight and with all that juice its not a bet i would make but goodluck.
BTTT (both teams to score twice) doesnt seem like a bad bet given its hit every game so far, and the opening line was 6.5, but i got a feeling edmonton is gonna shut them out tonight and with all that juice its not a bet i would make but goodluck.
@MIZARD
2-1 so far as Oil only netted 1 Game 3.
@PUSSYGALORE333
I stay away from large Vig just because you have to win so many more bets than you can lose. For -233 your implied odds are 70% so you would need to win more than 70% to profit. I looked at the past ten matchups in Cup Finals for these two teams, and the BTTS 2+ is 4-6 overall. Same Goalies, mostly the same teams, so it is a fairly representative statistical sample. 40% success rate using ten samples of H2H under same pressure (Cup Finals).
If we expand that to all playoffs just this year, that record becomes 50-33 which while sounds impressive, its only a win % of 60%. However, 1st Round of Cup Finals is solid to the Over, and if we just look at Round 1, your -233 odds on BTTS2+ is 34-13 which is 72% and we are left with 16-20 that went BTTS2+ in the 2nd and 3rd Rounds only. again a win % of 44% well below 70% (or odds of -233).
Not saying you should or shouldn't make this bet, rather consider gathering data to support this is a good wager that hits on a consistent basis. Trying to pick a winner in a game is very hard to do, and most of us cannot. Look for Situational plays where a pattern of success develops and bet those situations. Based on a quick look at a little data, I found no data that supports your proposed play.
It is always your decision to bet or not, but never bet (or not) because of what someone else told you - make your own decision. BOL
@MIZARD
2-1 so far as Oil only netted 1 Game 3.
@PUSSYGALORE333
I stay away from large Vig just because you have to win so many more bets than you can lose. For -233 your implied odds are 70% so you would need to win more than 70% to profit. I looked at the past ten matchups in Cup Finals for these two teams, and the BTTS 2+ is 4-6 overall. Same Goalies, mostly the same teams, so it is a fairly representative statistical sample. 40% success rate using ten samples of H2H under same pressure (Cup Finals).
If we expand that to all playoffs just this year, that record becomes 50-33 which while sounds impressive, its only a win % of 60%. However, 1st Round of Cup Finals is solid to the Over, and if we just look at Round 1, your -233 odds on BTTS2+ is 34-13 which is 72% and we are left with 16-20 that went BTTS2+ in the 2nd and 3rd Rounds only. again a win % of 44% well below 70% (or odds of -233).
Not saying you should or shouldn't make this bet, rather consider gathering data to support this is a good wager that hits on a consistent basis. Trying to pick a winner in a game is very hard to do, and most of us cannot. Look for Situational plays where a pattern of success develops and bet those situations. Based on a quick look at a little data, I found no data that supports your proposed play.
It is always your decision to bet or not, but never bet (or not) because of what someone else told you - make your own decision. BOL
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