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    All Forums | NHL Betting Forum

    I'll give you the holy grail of gambling 1.1 (But......)

    «First Previous 101112 ... 141516 Next Last»
    Lippsman
    Hudini
    I_Need_A_Detox
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    «First Previous 101112 ... 141516 Next Last»
     
    Lippsman
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    Posted: Sep. 14, 2010 - 8:42 PM ET #226

    Quote Originally Posted by I-Got-5-On-It:

    Hey Lippsman

    I know you're a fan of NFL teasers but what do you think of reverse puck lines, especially ones where you turn a favourite into a +1.5 dog ??

    One loss will take out about 5 wins.

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    Quote Originally Posted by I-Got-5-On-It:

    Hey Lippsman

    I know you're a fan of NFL teasers but what do you think of reverse puck lines, especially ones where you turn a favourite into a +1.5 dog ??

    One loss will take out about 5 wins.

     
    Hudini
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    Posted: Sep. 21, 2010 - 11:32 AM ET #227

    Quote Originally Posted by Lippsman:

    You get it back by winning and when you start to win a again those wagers go back up day by day.

    Only problem is how to pick winner under and over have good line. We will see when NHL start
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    Quote Originally Posted by Lippsman:

    You get it back by winning and when you start to win a again those wagers go back up day by day.

    Only problem is how to pick winner under and over have good line. We will see when NHL start
     
    I_Need_A_Detox
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    Posted: Mar. 28, 2011 - 12:44 PM ET #228

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    EstakaBriones
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    Posted: Mar. 28, 2011 - 2:27 PM ET #229

    Lippsman great advice ...like collectNOW mentions "mission statement" is hard to do. It should be mandatory reading for a covers newbie .
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    Lippsman great advice ...like collectNOW mentions "mission statement" is hard to do. It should be mandatory reading for a covers newbie .
     
    wiggins
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    Posted: Mar. 28, 2011 - 5:16 PM ET #230

    how was your playoff dog system last year lipps?

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    how was your playoff dog system last year lipps?

     
    I-Got-5-On-It
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    Posted: Jun. 11, 2011 - 5:56 PM ET #231

    I'm talking to 5 posters now, 3 here and two others on other boards about making thier own -1 lines because thier book doesn't offer them.

    I believe I need to go over these again, because I just see too much money flying at these huge ML's.

    Here is a conversation I'm having with a bettor that just joined the daily pucks thread here right now.

    -------------------------------------------------------------

    I hope you keep it going also.  But if I may give some advice.  Stay away from laying those huge ML's.  They will just kill ya.  You notice how I played the Caps and Nucks but played -1 lines ? Also see what Zamboni played ?  It gets the juice way down,  I made two dogs out of two favs.

    I see you played the Nucks on the ML and PL.  You in fact just made your own -1 line by playing that. It's just the amounts you played on each to even it out.

    If I may ?

    If you wanted to win $100, you would wager $50.82 on the ML and $32.79.  You have wagered only $83.61 to win $100 !!!!!

    You should do this on any big juice game.  I consider laying big juice at -140 or more. But of course you could also play a -.5 line that will get the juice down also.

    ------------------------------------------------------

    In some cases, making your own -1 line is actually cheaper than taking the -1 at books that offer them.  All two or 3 of them I think.

    Here is the formula for making them.

    100x/(x+1)     where x = ml
     
    if you plan on betting $100 on a game with -1.30 ml and +1.60 pl
     
     
    100(1.30)/(1.3 + 1)
    =130/2.3
    =$56 on the ml........therefore $44 on pl
     
    works out to approx. +1.15 for the -1 spread

    -------------------------------------------------------

    I have been setting on this for awhile.  But OK....if you want an Excel spreadsheet where you can just plug in the numbers, PM me.  You don't have to be a friend, anyone can PM a mod.  I will e-mail you the sheet.

    You can put in the amount you want to wager or the amount you want to win.

         Lippsman's -1 conversion formula

    just posting it in here for future reference for other posters

    Bet 5 Play Over Parlays and get rich
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    I'm talking to 5 posters now, 3 here and two others on other boards about making thier own -1 lines because thier book doesn't offer them.

    I believe I need to go over these again, because I just see too much money flying at these huge ML's.

    Here is a conversation I'm having with a bettor that just joined the daily pucks thread here right now.

    -------------------------------------------------------------

    I hope you keep it going also.  But if I may give some advice.  Stay away from laying those huge ML's.  They will just kill ya.  You notice how I played the Caps and Nucks but played -1 lines ? Also see what Zamboni played ?  It gets the juice way down,  I made two dogs out of two favs.

    I see you played the Nucks on the ML and PL.  You in fact just made your own -1 line by playing that. It's just the amounts you played on each to even it out.

    If I may ?

    If you wanted to win $100, you would wager $50.82 on the ML and $32.79.  You have wagered only $83.61 to win $100 !!!!!

    You should do this on any big juice game.  I consider laying big juice at -140 or more. But of course you could also play a -.5 line that will get the juice down also.

    ------------------------------------------------------

    In some cases, making your own -1 line is actually cheaper than taking the -1 at books that offer them.  All two or 3 of them I think.

    Here is the formula for making them.

    100x/(x+1)     where x = ml
     
    if you plan on betting $100 on a game with -1.30 ml and +1.60 pl
     
     
    100(1.30)/(1.3 + 1)
    =130/2.3
    =$56 on the ml........therefore $44 on pl
     
    works out to approx. +1.15 for the -1 spread

    -------------------------------------------------------

    I have been setting on this for awhile.  But OK....if you want an Excel spreadsheet where you can just plug in the numbers, PM me.  You don't have to be a friend, anyone can PM a mod.  I will e-mail you the sheet.

    You can put in the amount you want to wager or the amount you want to win.

         Lippsman's -1 conversion formula

    just posting it in here for future reference for other posters

     
    topcat69
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    Posted: Jun. 13, 2011 - 12:17 AM ET #232

    Thanks for the knowledge
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    Thanks for the knowledge
     
    Fortmax
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    Posted: Jun. 13, 2011 - 3:45 AM ET #233

    Thank  you sir !
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    Thank  you sir !
     
    Sosana
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    Posted: Jun. 13, 2011 - 2:40 PM ET #234

    Great Advice Lipps,

    Problem for most is the gamblin demon that comes alive when they loose...aka chase their money after a loss...In time I believe most long term players will learn from this but others never will..

    BOL Brother

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    Great Advice Lipps,

    Problem for most is the gamblin demon that comes alive when they loose...aka chase their money after a loss...In time I believe most long term players will learn from this but others never will..

    BOL Brother

     
    knowitall101
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    Posted: Jun. 13, 2011 - 4:41 PM ET #235

    wow Great write up brother will try and do that make it a lil easyer on myself!
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    wow Great write up brother will try and do that make it a lil easyer on myself!
     
    ghostfaceripper
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    Posted: Jun. 13, 2011 - 4:49 PM ET #236

    isn't this common sense?  I learned from my mistakes and thats what makes a gambler get better.  If u keep making the same mistakes over and over again u have to adjust.  Juz use your brain.......I know it sucks but it works.

    All it takes is one bad day to reduce the sanest man alive to lunacy
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    isn't this common sense?  I learned from my mistakes and thats what makes a gambler get better.  If u keep making the same mistakes over and over again u have to adjust.  Juz use your brain.......I know it sucks but it works.

     
    Lippsman
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    Posted: Oct. 2, 2011 - 11:40 AM ET #237

    For the 2011-12 season.

    Best of skill to everyone.

    I will be watching.

     

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    For the 2011-12 season.

    Best of skill to everyone.

    I will be watching.

     

     
    SUP3RMAN
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    Posted: Oct. 2, 2011 - 12:35 PM ET #238

    Well said lippsman, lets have a good NHL season this year! 
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    Well said lippsman, lets have a good NHL season this year! 
     
    Johnnypicks
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    Posted: Oct. 2, 2011 - 6:58 PM ET #239

    Quote Originally Posted by I-Got-5-On-It:

         Lippsman's -1 conversion formula

    just posting it in here for future reference for other posters

     

    Stay safe and play smart
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    Quote Originally Posted by I-Got-5-On-It:

         Lippsman's -1 conversion formula

    just posting it in here for future reference for other posters

     

     
    Johnnypicks
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    Posted: Oct. 2, 2011 - 6:59 PM ET #240

    Quote Originally Posted by Lippsman:

    For the 2011-12 season. Best of skill to everyone.

    I will be watching.

    Stay safe and play smart
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    Quote Originally Posted by Lippsman:

    For the 2011-12 season. Best of skill to everyone.

    I will be watching.

     
    WeMoveLines
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    Posted: Oct. 2, 2011 - 10:11 PM ET #241

    Well said Lippsman - I am going to follow this strategy this season..

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    Well said Lippsman - I am going to follow this strategy this season..

     
    The-OG-GunClapa
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    Posted: Oct. 2, 2011 - 10:55 PM ET #242

    love seeing this
    always reminds me hockeys back
    By far the most valuable thread on covers.
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    love seeing this
    always reminds me hockeys back
    By far the most valuable thread on covers.
     
    chaseedwards
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    Posted: Oct. 3, 2011 - 3:30 PM ET #243

    You have to go on pretty terrible run to go tap if you follow bankroll management.  Gambling like everything else in life is discipline.  Being selective in teams as well, there's a lot of games every night you don't have to bet the board.

    As for juice I stick to O/U in hockey, never get hit that bad on those.
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    You have to go on pretty terrible run to go tap if you follow bankroll management.  Gambling like everything else in life is discipline.  Being selective in teams as well, there's a lot of games every night you don't have to bet the board.

    As for juice I stick to O/U in hockey, never get hit that bad on those.
     
    HoldenRg
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    Posted: Oct. 4, 2011 - 6:23 PM ET #244

    I agree completely my man. I follow the percentage rule and have profit every season


    PEACE!
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    I agree completely my man. I follow the percentage rule and have profit every season


    PEACE!
     
    bamabilly
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    Posted: Oct. 4, 2011 - 7:00 PM ET #245

         Thank you, Sensei Lippsman! Your original post is one of, if not the very most informative and intelligent posts that I have ever seen. I look forward to applying these principles to the NHL season. You have given us some very sound advice. I have been guilty of lacking discipline in the past and will seek to change that in 2011/2012.

    Good luck this season and I am looking forward to reading more posts and plays from you.
                                                                                  
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         Thank you, Sensei Lippsman! Your original post is one of, if not the very most informative and intelligent posts that I have ever seen. I look forward to applying these principles to the NHL season. You have given us some very sound advice. I have been guilty of lacking discipline in the past and will seek to change that in 2011/2012.

    Good luck this season and I am looking forward to reading more posts and plays from you.
                                                                                  
     
    3wizard9
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    Posted: Oct. 4, 2011 - 8:32 PM ET #246

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    OnlyGod
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    Posted: Oct. 4, 2011 - 9:47 PM ET #247

    Sounds good you must have the discipline of an experienced warrior to make this work.
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    Sounds good you must have the discipline of an experienced warrior to make this work.
     
    Lippsman
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    Posted: Oct. 4, 2011 - 10:23 PM ET #248

    I do and that's what you need to gamble. You can't think of it as money.  You will be become emotionally involved.  When that happens you will become irrational and make errors in your picks and money management.

    Scared money is lost money.

    Stay the course.

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    I do and that's what you need to gamble. You can't think of it as money.  You will be become emotionally involved.  When that happens you will become irrational and make errors in your picks and money management.

    Scared money is lost money.

    Stay the course.

     
    tommy_covers
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    Posted: Oct. 5, 2011 - 12:40 AM ET #249

    great stuff Mr. Lippsman .... I will be watching as well lets get it 
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    great stuff Mr. Lippsman .... I will be watching as well lets get it 
     
     
    gomburzago
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    Posted: Jan. 29, 2012 - 11:33 PM ET #250

    what about if you are like 90% sure that a team is going to win or cover the spread? Would it not be justifiable to double the wagering amount?
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    what about if you are like 90% sure that a team is going to win or cover the spread? Would it not be justifiable to double the wagering amount?
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