Empty Net Stats

In watching these games I don't recall seeing empty nets scored at such a high rate so I pulled some data for the forum.  Below is data from the past 2 playoffs and this year.  I looked at the margin of the game when the goalie was actually pulled.  First table lists games at a 1 goal margin when pulled.  It shows if goal was scored and also if the -1.5 covered.  I only count 1 goalie pull per game.  So if a game is 4-2 and the team losing scores then pulls again and gives up empty I only count that as 1 game but the cover is based on final score.  Will be interesting to see if there is some regression with the 1 goal games as that number is high so far (been at least 2 EN with under 5 sec left).  Keep in mind that the books pull lines once goalie is pulled.  Not suggesting any betting on this (I did post on the 3 goal diff before) just sharing some data.  

 Tables didn't show in original post so below are numbers. 

2023: 1 goal games - goal scored in 11 of 21 games, -1.5 covered 6 times

2024: 1 goal games - goal scored in 18 of 36 games, -1.5 covered 14 times

2025: 1 goal games - goal scored in 9 of 10 games, -1.5 covered 8 times and -2.5 covered 2 times 

2023: 2 goal games - goal scored in 11 of 17 games, -2.5 covered 9 times

2024: 2 goal games - goal scored in 17 of 21 games, -2.5 covered 12 times

2025: 2 goal games - goal scored in 6 of 6 games, -2.5 covered 5 times 

2023: 3 goal games - goal scored in 9 of 12 games, -3.5 covered 7 times

2024: 3 goal games - goal scored in 6 of 6 games, -3.5 covered 6 times

2025: 3 goal games - goal scored in 2 of 2 games, -3.5 covered 2 times 

There has been 10 1 goal games and 8 have been OT. Teams will pull the goalie earlier now than ever. PL seems to have more value now than ever.

Empty netters the under killer 

@smellybunty

 It seems like that so far but I'm not sure that continues.  I think it depends on puck possession and if they get an offensive zone face off.  Right now if they are down 2 goals and get an off zone face off with under 4 left they consider pulling and with 1 goal once under 3 min they consider.  If they don't get that face off they wait a little longer.  With how it's going so far I definitely would not give high odds to get plus 1.5.  I think the -1.5 bets aren't bad in the playoffs in general.  More games end with a team winning by more than a goal than people would think in the playoffs.  I like the double chance with dogs instead of the plus 1.5 unless it has good odds like.  

Go info, thx 

Great info! thanks for compiling! 

@CFBLMONSTER

 Is this good time place bet on Devils?