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    All Forums | NFL Betting Forum

    Trends & Things 2007-2008 NFL week 1

    «First Previous 123
    blstuart
    NUM1
    giantkiller
    Skillz78
    RobertoFiory
    ...
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    «First Previous 123
     
    blstuart
    blstuart
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    Posted: Sep. 8, 2007 - 5:24 PM ET #51

    Quote Originally Posted by Skillz78:

    Nice work RF!
     
    [quote]adding .
    .that Home favorites that had a worse SU record than their opponent the prior year are 19-6 ATS (76.0%) in Week 1 since ‘97
     
    Teams that follow in this category >>>
    Houston -3, Minnesota –3, Oakland –2.5, Cincinnati -3
     
    Lookin at this trend I would favor the Texans. I also like the Raiders dispite Lamont Jordan being listed as out. But Culpepper and that D should be enough at home vs the Lions. Eh

    No Culpepper. McCowan will start for the Raiders.

    Thanks for all the work Roberto. Love the Chargers before reading your thread. Now it'll probably be my play of the week. Keep up the good work

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    Quote Originally Posted by Skillz78:

    Nice work RF!
     
    [quote]adding .
    .that Home favorites that had a worse SU record than their opponent the prior year are 19-6 ATS (76.0%) in Week 1 since ‘97
     
    Teams that follow in this category >>>
    Houston -3, Minnesota –3, Oakland –2.5, Cincinnati -3
     
    Lookin at this trend I would favor the Texans. I also like the Raiders dispite Lamont Jordan being listed as out. But Culpepper and that D should be enough at home vs the Lions. Eh

    No Culpepper. McCowan will start for the Raiders.

    Thanks for all the work Roberto. Love the Chargers before reading your thread. Now it'll probably be my play of the week. Keep up the good work

     
    NUM1
    NUM1
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    Posts: 114
    Posted: Sep. 8, 2007 - 8:33 PM ET #52

    RF...GREAT STUFF...but a little hard to follow.

    Can you post all of the plays that are good based on the trends in one spot when all of your research is over?

    Thanks and keep up the good work!!!!
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    RF...GREAT STUFF...but a little hard to follow.

    Can you post all of the plays that are good based on the trends in one spot when all of your research is over?

    Thanks and keep up the good work!!!!
     
    giantkiller
    giantkiller
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    Posted: Sep. 8, 2007 - 10:28 PM ET #53

    Roberto you are the man your really doing you homework.. everyone appreciates the hardwork. thanks
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    Roberto you are the man your really doing you homework.. everyone appreciates the hardwork. thanks
     
    Skillz78
    Skillz78
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    Posted: Sep. 8, 2007 - 10:38 PM ET #54

    Quote Originally Posted by blstuart:

    No Culpepper. McCowan will start for the Raiders.

    Thanks for all the work Roberto. Love the Chargers before reading your thread. Now it'll probably be my play of the week. Keep up the good work

    WTF? haha Wow who made that decsion. Thanks tho, didnt know. Kind of overlooked researching and reading on previews and so forth because Oakland/Detroit are just garbage.

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    Quote Originally Posted by blstuart:

    No Culpepper. McCowan will start for the Raiders.

    Thanks for all the work Roberto. Love the Chargers before reading your thread. Now it'll probably be my play of the week. Keep up the good work

    WTF? haha Wow who made that decsion. Thanks tho, didnt know. Kind of overlooked researching and reading on previews and so forth because Oakland/Detroit are just garbage.

     
    Skillz78
    Skillz78
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    Posted: Sep. 9, 2007 - 5:34 PM ET #55

    NYG look good to grab
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    NYG look good to grab
     
    RobertoFiory
    RobertoFiory
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    Posted: Sep. 10, 2007 - 3:55 AM ET #56

    Quote Originally Posted by RobertoFiory:

    Carolina Panthers are the Underdog Trend Pick of the Week

    • The Panthers are 11-4 against the spread since 96 versus the Rams,

    including 6-1 against the spread in their last 7 meetings


    Carolina is 20-5 ATS its last 25 games as an underdog.
    The Panthers are 21-8-1 ATS in their last 30 road games.


    St. Louis is 2-5 ATS in the first of back-to-back home games.
    St. Louis is 3-9-1 ATS before a matchup with San Francisco.
    The Rams are 0-4 ATS in their last four meetings with the Panthers.
    St. Louis is 2-6-1 ATS in their first game of the season, since 1998.
    St Louis is 4-13-1 in their last 18 games as a home favorite

     

    Fortunately ....the Underdog trend pick of the week is a winner

    with the Carolina Panthers and a solid 27-13 victory on the road over the StLouis Rams ...

    We now have a nice 4-0 streak going for these trend picks ..as they went 3-0 in preseason...

    1-0 for regular season....

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    Quote Originally Posted by RobertoFiory:

    Carolina Panthers are the Underdog Trend Pick of the Week

    • The Panthers are 11-4 against the spread since 96 versus the Rams,

    including 6-1 against the spread in their last 7 meetings


    Carolina is 20-5 ATS its last 25 games as an underdog.
    The Panthers are 21-8-1 ATS in their last 30 road games.


    St. Louis is 2-5 ATS in the first of back-to-back home games.
    St. Louis is 3-9-1 ATS before a matchup with San Francisco.
    The Rams are 0-4 ATS in their last four meetings with the Panthers.
    St. Louis is 2-6-1 ATS in their first game of the season, since 1998.
    St Louis is 4-13-1 in their last 18 games as a home favorite

     

    Fortunately ....the Underdog trend pick of the week is a winner

    with the Carolina Panthers and a solid 27-13 victory on the road over the StLouis Rams ...

    We now have a nice 4-0 streak going for these trend picks ..as they went 3-0 in preseason...

    1-0 for regular season....

     
    RobertoFiory
    RobertoFiory
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    Posted: Sep. 10, 2007 - 4:07 AM ET #57

    As for the Monday nighter  games ....
    I am speaking trends here....>>>
     
    Here is what we have :
     
    Baltimore Ravens at Cincinnati Bengals

    Baltimore is 1-4 ATS in their last five meetings with Cincinnati.
    The Ravens are 5-2 ATS as a road underdog.
    Baltimore is 3-6 ATS in their first game of the season, since 1998.
    The Ravens are 3-6 ATS when visiting divisional opponents.
    Baltimore has produced 3 overs and 7 unders in their last 10 road games. The favorite in this series is 6-1 ATS.
    Cincinnati is 8-21 ATS at home in September.
    The Bengals are 7-15 ATS vs. divisional opponents in September.
    Cincinnati is 10-4 ATS in their last 14 divisional encounters.
    The Bengals have produced 8 overs, 4 unders and 1 push in their last 13 home games.
    *****************************************************************
    Arizona Cardinals at San Francisco 49ers

    Arizona has produced 18 overs and 6 unders in their last 24 road games, since 2004.
    The Cardinals have produced 14 overs and 7 unders in their last 21 divisional encounters.
    Arizona is 1-5 ATS vs. NFC opponents on Monday nights.
    The Cardinals are 18-81 ATS when they lose SU.
    Arizona is 2-7 ATS in their first game of the season, since 1998.
    San Francisco is 16-5-1 ATS as a home favorite on Monday nights.
    The 49ers are 10-3 ATS vs. divisional opponents on Monday nights.
    San Francisco is 10-4 ATS in their last 14 divisional encounters.
    The 49ers are 7-3 ATS at home before back-to-back road games.
    San Francisco has produced 3 overs and 6 unders in their last nine games.
    ************************************************************\
    UNDERS have hit at a  clip of 31-13 ( 70.4 % ) when ....
    total line is  <= 35   and   >= 45
    (so 35 or less and 45 or more )
     
    Indi-Cincinnati Under already hit on Thursday
    Miami-Washington Under already hit on Sunday
     
    last game left >>>
    Arizona @ San Francisco UNDER 45/ 45.5
     
    ***********************************************************************

     
     
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    As for the Monday nighter  games ....
    I am speaking trends here....>>>
     
    Here is what we have :
     
    Baltimore Ravens at Cincinnati Bengals

    Baltimore is 1-4 ATS in their last five meetings with Cincinnati.
    The Ravens are 5-2 ATS as a road underdog.
    Baltimore is 3-6 ATS in their first game of the season, since 1998.
    The Ravens are 3-6 ATS when visiting divisional opponents.
    Baltimore has produced 3 overs and 7 unders in their last 10 road games. The favorite in this series is 6-1 ATS.
    Cincinnati is 8-21 ATS at home in September.
    The Bengals are 7-15 ATS vs. divisional opponents in September.
    Cincinnati is 10-4 ATS in their last 14 divisional encounters.
    The Bengals have produced 8 overs, 4 unders and 1 push in their last 13 home games.
    *****************************************************************
    Arizona Cardinals at San Francisco 49ers

    Arizona has produced 18 overs and 6 unders in their last 24 road games, since 2004.
    The Cardinals have produced 14 overs and 7 unders in their last 21 divisional encounters.
    Arizona is 1-5 ATS vs. NFC opponents on Monday nights.
    The Cardinals are 18-81 ATS when they lose SU.
    Arizona is 2-7 ATS in their first game of the season, since 1998.
    San Francisco is 16-5-1 ATS as a home favorite on Monday nights.
    The 49ers are 10-3 ATS vs. divisional opponents on Monday nights.
    San Francisco is 10-4 ATS in their last 14 divisional encounters.
    The 49ers are 7-3 ATS at home before back-to-back road games.
    San Francisco has produced 3 overs and 6 unders in their last nine games.
    ************************************************************\
    UNDERS have hit at a  clip of 31-13 ( 70.4 % ) when ....
    total line is  <= 35   and   >= 45
    (so 35 or less and 45 or more )
     
    Indi-Cincinnati Under already hit on Thursday
    Miami-Washington Under already hit on Sunday
     
    last game left >>>
    Arizona @ San Francisco UNDER 45/ 45.5
     
    ***********************************************************************

     
     
     
    RobertoFiory
    RobertoFiory
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    Posted: Sep. 10, 2007 - 4:12 AM ET #58

    To be unbiased here are the trends to the over on the Arizona - San Francisco game >>>>
     
  • Over is 4-0 in Cardinals last 4 games on Grass.
  • Over is 8-0 in Cardinals last 8 games as a road underdog of 0.5-3.0.
  • Over is 4-0 in Cardinals last 4 games as an underdog of 0.5-3.0.
  • Over is 6-0 in Cardinals last 6 games overall.
  • Over is 4-0 in Cardinals last 4 vs. NFC.
  • Over is 4-1 in Cardinals last 5 games in Week 1.
  • ***********************************************************
  • Over is 5-0 in 49ers last 5 games as a favorite of 0.5-3.0.
  • Over is 4-0 in 49ers last 4 Monday games.
  • Over is 7-0 in 49ers last 7 games as a favorite.
  • Over is 5-0 in 49ers last 5 games as a home favorite of 0.5-3.0.
  • Over is 7-0 in 49ers last 7 games as a home favorite.
  • Over is 5-1 in 49ers last 6 games in September.
  • Over is 8-2 in 49ers last 10 games on Grass.
  • **************************************************************
  • Over is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings.
  • Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in San Francisco.
  •  
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    To be unbiased here are the trends to the over on the Arizona - San Francisco game >>>>
     
  • Over is 4-0 in Cardinals last 4 games on Grass.
  • Over is 8-0 in Cardinals last 8 games as a road underdog of 0.5-3.0.
  • Over is 4-0 in Cardinals last 4 games as an underdog of 0.5-3.0.
  • Over is 6-0 in Cardinals last 6 games overall.
  • Over is 4-0 in Cardinals last 4 vs. NFC.
  • Over is 4-1 in Cardinals last 5 games in Week 1.
  • ***********************************************************
  • Over is 5-0 in 49ers last 5 games as a favorite of 0.5-3.0.
  • Over is 4-0 in 49ers last 4 Monday games.
  • Over is 7-0 in 49ers last 7 games as a favorite.
  • Over is 5-0 in 49ers last 5 games as a home favorite of 0.5-3.0.
  • Over is 7-0 in 49ers last 7 games as a home favorite.
  • Over is 5-1 in 49ers last 6 games in September.
  • Over is 8-2 in 49ers last 10 games on Grass.
  • **************************************************************
  • Over is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings.
  • Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in San Francisco.
  •  
     
     
    MYSTICRICH
    MYSTICRICH
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    Posted: Sep. 10, 2007 - 4:30 AM ET #59

     Roberto         great  work   on all your posts  yesterday  i wish i listened to you
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     Roberto         great  work   on all your posts  yesterday  i wish i listened to you
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