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    All Forums | NFL Betting Forum

    🏈🏈🏈 “To BEt, or not to BEt, that is the question” ...Fubah2's risky bets

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    fubah2
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    fubah2
    fubah2
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    Posted: Dec. 23, 2024 - 9:09 PM ET #5926

    * 

    cool My 2024 weekly results:
    ----------------------------

    Week 01:    1 - 0
    Week 02:    3 - 1    (Loser: -115)
    Week 03:    5 - 2    (Losers: -110, *-175)
    Week 04:    6 - 2    (Losers: -250, -180)
    Week 05:    5 - 2    (Losers: *-230, -175)
    Week 06:    6 - 0
    Week 07:    8 - 4    (Losers: *-108, -115, -153, *-210)
    Week 08:    5 - 2    (Losers: -120, -125)
    Week 09:    9 - 8   (Losers: -105; +1.5-120; +17.5-250; +3-142; +3.5-150; -150; +3.5-180; -105)
    Week 10:    6 - 4    (Losers: -4 140; +120; +8 -128; -127)
    Week 11:  16 - 6    (Losers: -150; -6.5 -145; -287; -4 -152; -150; -2.5 -150)
    Week 12:    8 - 1    (Loser: -7.5 -125)
    Week 13:    7 - 4    (Losers: -118; -150; -130; +4.5 -145)
    Week 14:    5 - 1    (Loser: +150 hedge bet)
    Week 15:    5 - 1    (Loser: -125 hedge bet) 

    Week 16:    3 - 1    (Loser: +8.5 -152)

     

    YTD:  98 - 39  an_2drinks   [30 - 8  *Best Bets! ]

                                                                        HOT STREAK warning for regression still in effect

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    * 

    cool My 2024 weekly results:
    ----------------------------

    Week 01:    1 - 0
    Week 02:    3 - 1    (Loser: -115)
    Week 03:    5 - 2    (Losers: -110, *-175)
    Week 04:    6 - 2    (Losers: -250, -180)
    Week 05:    5 - 2    (Losers: *-230, -175)
    Week 06:    6 - 0
    Week 07:    8 - 4    (Losers: *-108, -115, -153, *-210)
    Week 08:    5 - 2    (Losers: -120, -125)
    Week 09:    9 - 8   (Losers: -105; +1.5-120; +17.5-250; +3-142; +3.5-150; -150; +3.5-180; -105)
    Week 10:    6 - 4    (Losers: -4 140; +120; +8 -128; -127)
    Week 11:  16 - 6    (Losers: -150; -6.5 -145; -287; -4 -152; -150; -2.5 -150)
    Week 12:    8 - 1    (Loser: -7.5 -125)
    Week 13:    7 - 4    (Losers: -118; -150; -130; +4.5 -145)
    Week 14:    5 - 1    (Loser: +150 hedge bet)
    Week 15:    5 - 1    (Loser: -125 hedge bet) 

    Week 16:    3 - 1    (Loser: +8.5 -152)

     

    YTD:  98 - 39  an_2drinks   [30 - 8  *Best Bets! ]

                                                                        HOT STREAK warning for regression still in effect

     
    Zeus4par
    Zeus4par
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    Posted: Dec. 23, 2024 - 10:46 PM ET #5927

     an_worship    an_worship    an_worship    an_worship   an_worship

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     an_worship    an_worship    an_worship    an_worship   an_worship

     
    fubah2
    fubah2
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    Posted: Dec. 24, 2024 - 12:28 AM ET #5928

    @Zeus4par

     TY!  BoL with your bets this week,and MERRY CHRISTMAS, to you! an_2drinks

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    @Zeus4par

     TY!  BoL with your bets this week,and MERRY CHRISTMAS, to you! an_2drinks

     
    fubah2
    fubah2
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    Posted: Dec. 24, 2024 - 3:35 AM ET #5929

    Already seeing a few GOOD opportunites coming this week!

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    Already seeing a few GOOD opportunites coming this week!

     
    fubah2
    fubah2
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    Posted: Dec. 24, 2024 - 7:02 AM ET #5930

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

    Already seeing a few GOOD opportunites coming this week!

    I wouldn't put too much into the PACKERS lopsided win....they were at home, facing a rookie QB and the Saints were missing people.

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    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

    Already seeing a few GOOD opportunites coming this week!

    I wouldn't put too much into the PACKERS lopsided win....they were at home, facing a rookie QB and the Saints were missing people.

     
    Fuse
    Fuse
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    Posted: Dec. 24, 2024 - 8:24 AM ET #5931

    Happy holidays buddy peace_5peaceclover

    Learn, be content and stay disciplined.
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    Happy holidays buddy peace_5peaceclover

     
    fubah2
    fubah2
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    Posted: Dec. 24, 2024 - 11:40 AM ET #5932

    Quote Originally Posted by Fuse:

    Happy holidays buddy

    TY FUSE!....and same to you, pal! peace_5peacean_2drinks

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    Quote Originally Posted by Fuse:

    Happy holidays buddy

    TY FUSE!....and same to you, pal! peace_5peacean_2drinks

     
    Europa
    Europa
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    Posted: Dec. 24, 2024 - 12:50 PM ET #5933

    @fubah2

    Can't believe you could do this NFL, NCAAF... capping and betting things on daily or hourly bases for years. Good to know you're winning, SUPA Fubah. 

    Happy holidays! clover an_cheers 

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    @fubah2

    Can't believe you could do this NFL, NCAAF... capping and betting things on daily or hourly bases for years. Good to know you're winning, SUPA Fubah. 

    Happy holidays! clover an_cheers 

     
    RayRayK
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    Posted: Dec. 24, 2024 - 12:52 PM ET #5934

    peace_5

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    peace_5

     
    RayRayK
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    Posted: Dec. 24, 2024 - 12:53 PM ET #5935

    I really like a two team 6/7 pt teaser this week - Colts and Bucs 

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    I really like a two team 6/7 pt teaser this week - Colts and Bucs 

     
    Macwestie1
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    Posted: Dec. 24, 2024 - 6:31 PM ET #5936

    BOL clover on your plays & Merry Christmas & Happy Holidays to mah man an_cheers@fubah2 peace_5

     

    What do you call an Eternal Optimist? An accordion player with a beeper!
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    BOL clover on your plays & Merry Christmas & Happy Holidays to mah man an_cheers@fubah2 peace_5

     

     
    fubah2
    fubah2
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    Posted: Dec. 24, 2024 - 7:07 PM ET #5937

    [Quote: Originally Posted by fubah2]

        Loss is MORE!

                an_cheers

     

    cool Which teams are going to "accidentally" flail & stumble  with low percentage plays, untimely blitzes, foolish 4th down gambles, dropped passes, fumbles, and missed tackles? an_wink

     

    Giants still have the least stressful path to "accidentally" lose their 2 remaining games (wink, wink) win

    **Interesting note: The awful Titans face the awful Jags. But unfortunately only one of them can gain the benefit of a LOSS! LOL

     

    2 - 13  NYG

    3 - 12  Raiders
    3 - 12  Titans
    3 - 12  Jags
    3 - 12  Tom Brady's old team
    3 - 12  Charlie Browns

    It's the way the NFL rewards failure!  Losing can be beneficial! an_2drinks

     

    an_light an_blowhorn And we as handicappers MUST keep this in mind . . .

     

    </

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    [Quote: Originally Posted by fubah2]

        Loss is MORE!

                an_cheers

     

    cool Which teams are going to "accidentally" flail & stumble  with low percentage plays, untimely blitzes, foolish 4th down gambles, dropped passes, fumbles, and missed tackles? an_wink

     

    Giants still have the least stressful path to "accidentally" lose their 2 remaining games (wink, wink) win

    **Interesting note: The awful Titans face the awful Jags. But unfortunately only one of them can gain the benefit of a LOSS! LOL

     

    2 - 13  NYG

    3 - 12  Raiders
    3 - 12  Titans
    3 - 12  Jags
    3 - 12  Tom Brady's old team
    3 - 12  Charlie Browns

    It's the way the NFL rewards failure!  Losing can be beneficial! an_2drinks

     

    an_light an_blowhorn And we as handicappers MUST keep this in mind . . .

     

    </

     
    fubah2
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    Posted: Dec. 24, 2024 - 11:02 PM ET #5938

    Quote Originally Posted by RayRayK:

    I really like a two team 6/7 pt teaser this week - Colts and Bucs

    @RayRayK

     I have those two teams "circled" on my capping sheets for SU wins too! an_cheers

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    Quote Originally Posted by RayRayK:

    I really like a two team 6/7 pt teaser this week - Colts and Bucs

    @RayRayK

     I have those two teams "circled" on my capping sheets for SU wins too! an_cheers

     
    JJWoods
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    Posted: Dec. 25, 2024 - 6:30 AM ET #5939

    @RayRayK

     Nice looks on that teaser peace_5

    Never told why I was banned and gave my best always to the forums
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    @RayRayK

     Nice looks on that teaser peace_5

     
    fubah2
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    Posted: Dec. 25, 2024 - 12:25 PM ET #5940

    When I look at upcoming games where one team holds MASSIVE edges over their significantly weaker opponent, over the past 6 weeks my handicapping sheets revealed these results on teams I "circled" for su wins:

        Week 11:   7 - 1 su
        Week 12:   6 - 3 su
        Week 13: 10 - 1 su
        Week 14:   7 - 1 su
        Week 15:   9 - 1 su
        Week 16:   6 - 2 su  >>>>> = 45 - 9 su        ( 31 - 20 - 2 ats )

    I subsequently used those indicators to make MOST of my su bet selections. My real bets went 44 - 14 in this 6 week time frame, with only one loss laying more then -155 juice, as we can see in the chart at the top of this page.
    Today I have no "circled" teams in my handicapping, because no team appears to have a DOMINANT edge over the other.
    However, in the KC @PITT matchup, I make this game almost DEAD EVEN but with a sliver of an edge to Steelers. Which means to me, by my analysis, Pitt sahould be favored by -1 or -1.5.....but they aren't! They are a HOME DOG (5 - 1 at home) to a good team but which seemingly STRUGGLES to claw out a one score win even against BAD teams! All the CHIEFS road opps were either weakass or mediocre - except two: and they split those.
    Today CHIEFS are without a few GOOD players! Mahomes plays but still has a very tender ankle...
    And the Steelers, who have lost their last two, both on the road @GOOD teams, are due for an angry bounceback AT HOME, particularly Russell Wilson - especially with the return of their BEST offensive weapon.
    STEELERS +3 -140 *BB

    That said, caveat warning! I am on a 6-week 44 -14 HOT STREAK. Regression has been looming for 2 weeks and is overdue an_nailbiter......I continue to bet smaller because of that. You've been warned...

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    When I look at upcoming games where one team holds MASSIVE edges over their significantly weaker opponent, over the past 6 weeks my handicapping sheets revealed these results on teams I "circled" for su wins:

        Week 11:   7 - 1 su
        Week 12:   6 - 3 su
        Week 13: 10 - 1 su
        Week 14:   7 - 1 su
        Week 15:   9 - 1 su
        Week 16:   6 - 2 su  >>>>> = 45 - 9 su        ( 31 - 20 - 2 ats )

    I subsequently used those indicators to make MOST of my su bet selections. My real bets went 44 - 14 in this 6 week time frame, with only one loss laying more then -155 juice, as we can see in the chart at the top of this page.
    Today I have no "circled" teams in my handicapping, because no team appears to have a DOMINANT edge over the other.
    However, in the KC @PITT matchup, I make this game almost DEAD EVEN but with a sliver of an edge to Steelers. Which means to me, by my analysis, Pitt sahould be favored by -1 or -1.5.....but they aren't! They are a HOME DOG (5 - 1 at home) to a good team but which seemingly STRUGGLES to claw out a one score win even against BAD teams! All the CHIEFS road opps were either weakass or mediocre - except two: and they split those.
    Today CHIEFS are without a few GOOD players! Mahomes plays but still has a very tender ankle...
    And the Steelers, who have lost their last two, both on the road @GOOD teams, are due for an angry bounceback AT HOME, particularly Russell Wilson - especially with the return of their BEST offensive weapon.
    STEELERS +3 -140 *BB

    That said, caveat warning! I am on a 6-week 44 -14 HOT STREAK. Regression has been looming for 2 weeks and is overdue an_nailbiter......I continue to bet smaller because of that. You've been warned...

     
    fubah2
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    Posted: Dec. 25, 2024 - 1:09 PM ET #5941

    First lucky break goes to CHIEFS, when PITTS coaching decide to dropback and pass on 3rd and 1.

    Two good RBs and they don't give it to them to gain a single yard....So of course, Wilson is sacked for a huge loss....they punt, big run back to Pitt 42 and almost in scoring position already without earning it.

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    First lucky break goes to CHIEFS, when PITTS coaching decide to dropback and pass on 3rd and 1.

    Two good RBs and they don't give it to them to gain a single yard....So of course, Wilson is sacked for a huge loss....they punt, big run back to Pitt 42 and almost in scoring position already without earning it.

     
    fubah2
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    Posted: Dec. 25, 2024 - 1:33 PM ET #5942

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

    First lucky break goes to CHIEFS, when PITTS coaching decide to dropback and pass on 3rd and 1. Two good RBs and they don't give it to them to gain a single yard....So of course, Wilson is sacked for a huge loss....they punt, big run back to Pitt 42 and almost in scoring position already without earning it.

    Chiefs earned this second TD...  13 - 0

     

    Pitts has looked *AWFUL* on inital 2 drives....1 yard net...121 for KC....on 2 drives each

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    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

    First lucky break goes to CHIEFS, when PITTS coaching decide to dropback and pass on 3rd and 1. Two good RBs and they don't give it to them to gain a single yard....So of course, Wilson is sacked for a huge loss....they punt, big run back to Pitt 42 and almost in scoring position already without earning it.

    Chiefs earned this second TD...  13 - 0

     

    Pitts has looked *AWFUL* on inital 2 drives....1 yard net...121 for KC....on 2 drives each

     
    fubah2
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    Posted: Dec. 25, 2024 - 1:35 PM ET #5943

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: First lucky break goes to CHIEFS, when PITTS coaching decide to dropback and pass on 3rd and 1. Two good RBs and they don't give it to them to gain a single yard....So of course, Wilson is sacked for a huge loss....they punt, big run back to Pitt 42 and almost in scoring position already without earning it. Chiefs earned this second TD...  13 - 0   Pitts has looked *AWFUL* on inital 2 drives....1 yard net...121 for KC....on 2 drives each
    Late 1Q  13 - 0....

    LIVE BET:  Pitt +12.5 -175  *BB

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    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: First lucky break goes to CHIEFS, when PITTS coaching decide to dropback and pass on 3rd and 1. Two good RBs and they don't give it to them to gain a single yard....So of course, Wilson is sacked for a huge loss....they punt, big run back to Pitt 42 and almost in scoring position already without earning it. Chiefs earned this second TD...  13 - 0   Pitts has looked *AWFUL* on inital 2 drives....1 yard net...121 for KC....on 2 drives each
    Late 1Q  13 - 0....

    LIVE BET:  Pitt +12.5 -175  *BB

     
    Europa
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    Posted: Dec. 25, 2024 - 1:36 PM ET #5944

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: First lucky break goes to CHIEFS, when PITTS coaching decide to dropback and pass on 3rd and 1. Two good RBs and they don't give it to them to gain a single yard....So of course, Wilson is sacked for a huge loss....they punt, big run back to Pitt 42 and almost in scoring position already without earning it. Chiefs earned this second TD...  13 - 0   Pitts has looked *AWFUL* on inital 2 drives....1 yard net...121 for KC....on 2 drives each

    Fubah, are you on the Chiefs? I couldn't watch this game since I have no subscription to the Netflix.  

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    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: First lucky break goes to CHIEFS, when PITTS coaching decide to dropback and pass on 3rd and 1. Two good RBs and they don't give it to them to gain a single yard....So of course, Wilson is sacked for a huge loss....they punt, big run back to Pitt 42 and almost in scoring position already without earning it. Chiefs earned this second TD...  13 - 0   Pitts has looked *AWFUL* on inital 2 drives....1 yard net...121 for KC....on 2 drives each

    Fubah, are you on the Chiefs? I couldn't watch this game since I have no subscription to the Netflix.  

     
    fubah2
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    Posted: Dec. 25, 2024 - 1:44 PM ET #5945

    Quote Originally Posted by Europa:

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: First lucky break goes to CHIEFS, when PITTS coaching decide to dropback and pass on 3rd and 1. Two good RBs and they don't give it to them to gain a single yard....So of course, Wilson is sacked for a huge loss....they punt, big run back to Pitt 42 and almost in scoring position already without earning it. Chiefs earned this second TD...  13 - 0   Pitts has looked *AWFUL* on inital 2 drives....1 yard net...121 for KC....on 2 drives each Fubah, are you on the Chiefs? I couldn't watch this game since I have no subscription to the Netflix.

    @Europa

    Not CHIEFS, no.  I posted a *BB on Pitts +3 -140  and during live play I took another position on them to set up a possible middle, by looking to grab CHIEFS on ML at heavy chalk when the time is right.....MAYBE!  or not....undecided on that...

    You can watch almost any game in north america on  methstreams.com (30 second delay)

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    Quote Originally Posted by Europa:

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: First lucky break goes to CHIEFS, when PITTS coaching decide to dropback and pass on 3rd and 1. Two good RBs and they don't give it to them to gain a single yard....So of course, Wilson is sacked for a huge loss....they punt, big run back to Pitt 42 and almost in scoring position already without earning it. Chiefs earned this second TD...  13 - 0   Pitts has looked *AWFUL* on inital 2 drives....1 yard net...121 for KC....on 2 drives each Fubah, are you on the Chiefs? I couldn't watch this game since I have no subscription to the Netflix.

    @Europa

    Not CHIEFS, no.  I posted a *BB on Pitts +3 -140  and during live play I took another position on them to set up a possible middle, by looking to grab CHIEFS on ML at heavy chalk when the time is right.....MAYBE!  or not....undecided on that...

    You can watch almost any game in north america on  methstreams.com (30 second delay)

     
    fubah2
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    Posted: Dec. 25, 2024 - 3:13 PM ET #5946

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

    Quote Originally Posted by Europa: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: First lucky break goes to CHIEFS, when PITTS coaching decide to dropback and pass on 3rd and 1. Two good RBs and they don't give it to them to gain a single yard....So of course, Wilson is sacked for a huge loss....they punt, big run back to Pitt 42 and almost in scoring position already without earning it. Chiefs earned this second TD...  13 - 0   Pitts has looked *AWFUL* on inital 2 drives....1 yard net...121 for KC....on 2 drives each Fubah, are you on the Chiefs? I couldn't watch this game since I have no subscription to the Netflix. @Europa Not CHIEFS, no.  I posted a *BB on Pitts +3 -140  and during live play I took another position on them to set up a possible middle, by looking to grab CHIEFS on ML at heavy chalk when the time is right.....MAYBE!  or not....undecided on that... You can watch almost any game in north america on  methstreams.com (30 second delay)

    End of 3Q  16 - 10 KC and driving deep....IF CHIEFS score here (1st down from the 2)  then the STEELERS  will NOT win SU and very likely will not cover +3 either....

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    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

    Quote Originally Posted by Europa: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: First lucky break goes to CHIEFS, when PITTS coaching decide to dropback and pass on 3rd and 1. Two good RBs and they don't give it to them to gain a single yard....So of course, Wilson is sacked for a huge loss....they punt, big run back to Pitt 42 and almost in scoring position already without earning it. Chiefs earned this second TD...  13 - 0   Pitts has looked *AWFUL* on inital 2 drives....1 yard net...121 for KC....on 2 drives each Fubah, are you on the Chiefs? I couldn't watch this game since I have no subscription to the Netflix. @Europa Not CHIEFS, no.  I posted a *BB on Pitts +3 -140  and during live play I took another position on them to set up a possible middle, by looking to grab CHIEFS on ML at heavy chalk when the time is right.....MAYBE!  or not....undecided on that... You can watch almost any game in north america on  methstreams.com (30 second delay)

    End of 3Q  16 - 10 KC and driving deep....IF CHIEFS score here (1st down from the 2)  then the STEELERS  will NOT win SU and very likely will not cover +3 either....

     
    fubah2
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    Posted: Dec. 25, 2024 - 3:15 PM ET #5947

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by Europa: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: First lucky break goes to CHIEFS, when PITTS coaching decide to dropback and pass on 3rd and 1. Two good RBs and they don't give it to them to gain a single yard....So of course, Wilson is sacked for a huge loss....they punt, big run back to Pitt 42 and almost in scoring position already without earning it. Chiefs earned this second TD...  13 - 0   Pitts has looked *AWFUL* on inital 2 drives....1 yard net...121 for KC....on 2 drives each Fubah, are you on the Chiefs? I couldn't watch this game since I have no subscription to the Netflix. @Europa Not CHIEFS, no.  I posted a *BB on Pitts +3 -140  and during live play I took another position on them to set up a possible middle, by looking to grab CHIEFS on ML at heavy chalk when the time is right.....MAYBE!  or not....undecided on that... You can watch almost any game in north america on  methstreams.com (30 second delay) End of 3Q  16 - 10 KC and driving deep....IF CHIEFS score here (1st down from the 2)  then the STEELERS  will NOT win SU and very likely will not cover +3 either....

    TOUCHDOWN CHIEFS  an_beatup

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    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by Europa: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: First lucky break goes to CHIEFS, when PITTS coaching decide to dropback and pass on 3rd and 1. Two good RBs and they don't give it to them to gain a single yard....So of course, Wilson is sacked for a huge loss....they punt, big run back to Pitt 42 and almost in scoring position already without earning it. Chiefs earned this second TD...  13 - 0   Pitts has looked *AWFUL* on inital 2 drives....1 yard net...121 for KC....on 2 drives each Fubah, are you on the Chiefs? I couldn't watch this game since I have no subscription to the Netflix. @Europa Not CHIEFS, no.  I posted a *BB on Pitts +3 -140  and during live play I took another position on them to set up a possible middle, by looking to grab CHIEFS on ML at heavy chalk when the time is right.....MAYBE!  or not....undecided on that... You can watch almost any game in north america on  methstreams.com (30 second delay) End of 3Q  16 - 10 KC and driving deep....IF CHIEFS score here (1st down from the 2)  then the STEELERS  will NOT win SU and very likely will not cover +3 either....

    TOUCHDOWN CHIEFS  an_beatup

     
    Europa
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    Posted: Dec. 25, 2024 - 3:32 PM ET #5948

    @fubah2

    Methstreams.come isn't showing KC@PIT now, it shows PHI @ WAS from last week. 

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    @fubah2

    Methstreams.come isn't showing KC@PIT now, it shows PHI @ WAS from last week. 

     
    fubah2
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    Posted: Dec. 25, 2024 - 4:45 PM ET #5949

    Quote Originally Posted by Europa:

    @fubah2 Methstreams.come isn't showing KC@PIT now, it shows PHI @ WAS from last week.

    I am watching the methstreams feed of Ravens @TEXANS right now (also a Netflix)

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    Quote Originally Posted by Europa:

    @fubah2 Methstreams.come isn't showing KC@PIT now, it shows PHI @ WAS from last week.

    I am watching the methstreams feed of Ravens @TEXANS right now (also a Netflix)

     
     
    Europa
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    Posted: Dec. 25, 2024 - 5:31 PM ET #5950

    @fubah2

    https://methstreams.com/get-nflstreams/2/

    no luck for me, guess I'll watch Women's Olympic Golf replay on Golf Channel. Thanks anyway, Fubah. peace_5

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    @fubah2

    https://methstreams.com/get-nflstreams/2/

    no luck for me, guess I'll watch Women's Olympic Golf replay on Golf Channel. Thanks anyway, Fubah. peace_5

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