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TIME TO WIN

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lawpepperdine

Prospect

Joined: Oct, 2016

Posts: 2

Posted: Oct. 14, 2016 - 11:03 PM ET #451

I am also interested to see this response. I think the lack of line movement despite the majority of money on ATL suggests sea might be the right pick there.

Pete Carrol is a really good coach, SEA has great homefiled advantage and huge benefit by coming off a bye. Plus all seattle guys getting healthy. Only real SEA issue is oline and I am not sure ATL can do much to stop it.

That said, kind of tough to give a hot team like atlanta 6 points. That potential for a backdoor cover looms large. Ultimately though the lack of line movement depsite good money on ATL definitely raises my eyebrow.

Madden21

Veteran

Joined: Oct, 2015

Posts: 1160

Posted: Oct. 14, 2016 - 11:12 PM ET #452

Looking at 7 games currently.

My goal is to eliminate 4-5 of them so I will have 2-3 plays tomorrow probably by 10pm or 11pm PST.

We all had a very nice win last night for TNF. under dog Chargers win outright which was very nice.

19-8 ATS!!!

Madden21

Veteran

Joined: Oct, 2015

Posts: 1160

Posted: Oct. 14, 2016 - 11:18 PM ET #453

The Seattle game is actually one of the games I'm looking at. Sticks out like a sore thumb. The line is very odd. Atlanta hasn't been respected and they are an offensive superpower so it is weird. Seattle plays great defense. Looking more into this one. Thoughts anyone?

Dogjimbo

MVP

Joined: Oct, 2008

Posts: 17476

Posted: Oct. 15, 2016 - 12:57 AM ET #454

Quote Originally Posted by Madden21:

The Seattle game is actually one of the games I'm looking at. Sticks out like a sore thumb. The line is very odd. Atlanta hasn't been respected and they are an offensive superpower so it is weird. Seattle plays great defense. Looking more into this one. Thoughts anyone?

Seattle is looking very good right now, (getting healthy) Atlanta is playing with a lot of swag. The total in this game is very low. (imo)

I'm leaning Hawks, But I'm all over the over 45.5.

BOL 21

Brady96749

Prospect

Joined: Sep, 2016

Posts: 12

Posted: Oct. 15, 2016 - 2:38 AM ET #455

I think Beasley and Freeney have to make some big plays in this game for Atl to get the win. Without a critical sack in the 4th we could see some last minute magic by Wilson for the win. With that being said Im leaning towards a small play on Atl. Just to make the game more intresting.

DGambler25

Prospect

Joined: Dec, 2015

Posts: 303

Posted: Oct. 15, 2016 - 9:25 AM ET #456

Hi Sir,

Waiting for your leans this weekend. BOLTA.

az0811

Prospect

Joined: Oct, 2016

Posts: 47

Posted: Oct. 15, 2016 - 9:55 AM ET #457

Something is amiss with this line, begs pick Atlanta. The Falcons have had a phenomenal start to the season since laying a dud at home to Tampa Bay, which in my opinion, led to the Falcons being undervalued/underestimated the past few weeks. This Sunday will be their 4th game in 5 weeks away from home, 3 of those in the Mid-West/West Coast time zones, 2 of those back-to-back. That type of schedule is bound to effect them and I think this week it will. Seattle will be playing of a bye. (Does anybody know Pete Carroll's ATS record of a bye with Seattle?) If playing, I'll be on Seattle, thinking they should roll this week.

MrFace

Rookie

Joined: Oct, 2012

Posts: 621

Posted: Oct. 15, 2016 - 10:10 AM ET #458

Quote Originally Posted by Brady96749:

I think Beasley and Freeney have to make some big plays in this game for Atl to get the win. Without a critical sack in the 4th we could see some last minute magic by Wilson for the win. With that being said Im leaning towards a small play on Atl. Just to make the game more intresting.

Before you go jumping on the OVER look at what the score was against the 3rd ranked defense Atl played last week in Denver. Now Atlanta is in Seattle, with the 1st ranked D, high winds, and the possibility of rain...oh, and the 12th man. Just something to think about

Harlanguru

Prospect

Joined: Oct, 2016

Posts: 41

Posted: Oct. 15, 2016 - 10:23 AM ET #459

Quote Originally Posted by DGambler25:

Hi Sir,Waiting for your leans this weekend. BOLTA.

I second that i already messed up not tailing you on the Thursday winner n that sux. Tailing each play how many r u down to now

Tikal

Prospect

Joined: Oct, 2013

Posts: 5

Posted: Oct. 15, 2016 - 11:27 AM ET #460

Im leaning Hawks right now because of the bye. Most elite teams play well off a bye and you have the Falcons traveling across country. ATL defense is not that good. I'll make a pick after my buddy lets me know ATL mental state. Eagles are my fav bird to play right now....

Brady96749

Prospect

Joined: Sep, 2016

Posts: 12

Posted: Oct. 15, 2016 - 1:34 PM ET #461

Quote Originally Posted by MrFace:

Good point Mrface, thanks. I was actually leaning on a play on Atl instead of the total. We should also keep in mind Dan Quinn was the super bowl winning dc for the seahawks just a few years ago..... Madden I will wait for your post on this game before I pull the trigger because on the flip side on of the many things to be concerned about when going against Seattle at home. Im worried about the long flight.

DJCHINO1

Prospect

Joined: May, 2013

Posts: 256

Posted: Oct. 15, 2016 - 5:38 PM ET #462

Quote Originally Posted by az0811:

Something is amiss with this line, begs pick Atlanta. The Falcons have had a phenomenal start to the season since laying a dud at home to Tampa Bay, which in my opinion, led to the Falcons being undervalued/underestimated the past few weeks. This Sunday will be their 4th game in 5 weeks away from home, 3 of those in the Mid-West/West Coast time zones, 2 of those back-to-back. That type of schedule is bound to effect them and I think this week it will. Seattle will be playing of a bye. (Does anybody know Pete Carroll's ATS record of a bye with Seattle?) If playing, I'll be on Seattle, thinking they should roll this week.

Great Question… I was wondering the same thing. (Pete Carroll's record after a bye week)

Yahtzee

Tikal

Prospect

Joined: Oct, 2013

Posts: 5

Posted: Oct. 15, 2016 - 6:23 PM ET #463

Here you go! Looks like Pete is 2-2 of a bye....

https://walterfootball.com/betting_bye.php

Quickiies

Prospect

Joined: Jan, 2013

Posts: 56

Posted: Oct. 15, 2016 - 7:15 PM ET #464

How many times have we seen good teams go to seattle to die? 2 long road games in a row against physical opponents probably too much for Atlanta. That travel across the country is brutal. I would lean hawks, but 6 points is a lot and I'm not putting money on it

Madden21

Veteran

Joined: Oct, 2015

Posts: 1160

Posted: Oct. 15, 2016 - 10:18 PM ET #465

So many good games this weekend. Going to post all am games first to see how that goes and then maybe a couple afternoon treats. Bought the hook where I could.

Chicago -1

Washington +3

Baltimore +4

Madden21

Veteran

Joined: Oct, 2015

Posts: 1160

Posted: Oct. 15, 2016 - 10:41 PM ET #466

Probably will have afternoon games tomorrow. Also looking at SNF.

Madden21

Veteran

Joined: Oct, 2015

Posts: 1160

Posted: Oct. 15, 2016 - 11:20 PM ET #467

Adding:

Tennessee -7

Harlanguru

Prospect

Joined: Oct, 2016

Posts: 41

Posted: Oct. 16, 2016 - 12:13 AM ET #468

On em all madden thx hope u release some good late games really wanna bet the Seattle game. Can u tell us ur lean or if that is wanna ur picks u might share

Madden21

Veteran

Joined: Oct, 2015

Posts: 1160

Posted: Oct. 16, 2016 - 2:28 AM ET #469

Yes Seattle is one of the potential games.

lawpepperdine

Prospect

Joined: Oct, 2016

Posts: 2

Posted: Oct. 16, 2016 - 2:33 AM ET #470

Ten makes me nervous. Who are they to be favored by more than 3 over anyone. I know the browns are a trash team, but they actually score points and have been in a lot of games. Last week for ten was the first game ten scored more than 20 all season. Tough taking a middle of the road low octane team giving a td.

As for your other plays, i like them. Do you give analysis on why you like your picks. I mean your record speaks for itself but i am curious what makes you like the sides on the 4 games this week

Madden21

Veteran

Joined: Oct, 2015

Posts: 1160

Posted: Oct. 16, 2016 - 3:02 AM ET #471

Quote Originally Posted by lawpepperdine:

Ten makes me nervous. Who are they to be favored by more than 3 over anyone. I know the browns are a trash team, but they actually score points and have been in a lot of games. Last week for ten was the first game ten scored more than 20 all season. Tough taking a middle of the road low octane team giving a td.

As for your other plays, i like them. Do you give analysis on why you like your picks. I mean your record speaks for itself but i am curious what makes you like the sides on the 4 games this week

Tennessee makes me nervous too, we will see.

Usually I'll just post my picks, it takes so many hours to cap a game, so it's much easier to post it her on covers than explain it, sometimes I'll give some insight, like when the one person had no clue why I liked SD on Thursday. Just takes a lot of time so I figure picks are easier.p jus to post game.

Madden21

Veteran

Joined: Oct, 2015

Posts: 1160

Posted: Oct. 16, 2016 - 3:05 AM ET #472

TO EVERYONE

Sorry that it's taken me a while to get back to some of your PMs. Two reasons, one I've been very busy capping and also with outside activities, and for the other reason, some people I cannot reply to because you need to accept my friend request before I'm allowed to send you a PM.

The good news is that I've spent the past 90 minutes replying to ALL messages so check your inbox, I've replied to anyone that PMed me,