The Good. -The Eagles are more likely secured for a playoffs spot here with almost 95% without considering the result of this game against the Chargers. -The Chargers have around 56-62% chance of making the playoffs. -In the event that the Eagles will lose this game against the Chargers their percentage of making the playoffs is still at 85-89%. That is not bad at all. -If the Chargers lose this game their percentage of making the playoffs will drop to 50%. -Omarion Hampton RB1 for the Chargers will be back and this is a good relief for Justin Herbert playing with his off hand in cast. They will capitalize their rush offense against the fully depleted run defense of the Eagles. -A.J. Brown is doing A.J. Brown things getting 110+ receiving yards for the past 2 games after complaining that he is not getting involved in the offense. Confidence is back for this kid.
The Bad. -With 5 games remaining for each team, they cant afford consecutive losses. Eagles will face the Raiders next at home, definitely they can manhandle Geno Smith and his crew. The Chargers on the other hand will visit Andy "Dementia" Reid at Arrowhead, and the Chargers know they dont play well on the road. -With consecutive losses, for the Eagles their percentage will significantly drop to 75% if they lose against the Chargers and the Raiders. If the Chargers will lose this game against the Eagles and next the Chiefs, their chances of making the playoffs is computed to be around 35-40%. Their time is running out.
The Ugly. -The Eagles will play this game without Jalen Carter, their run defense anchor. With Carter their defense is part top 5 of the league, without him, they are part of the bottom 5. Last game versus the Eagles they allowed 230+ rush yards even with Carter playing. They got punched in the mouth! -The Eagles offense last 4 games are just disgusting to look at; 15.5ppg, 5.4avg yards/play, 41% offense sr% and we dont want to talk about their defense as it is part of the bottom 5 of the league. -The public is leaning on the Eagles to win this game getting >80% of the bets for the ML and >75% on the spread. This game opened at 3.5 and despite getting the public money on the Eagles, the spread has moved down respecting the value on the Chargers.
Pick: Chargers +2.5 -I dont think the Eagles will go to SoFi Stadium and beat the shit out of the Chargers, most likely this will be a back and forth game with an error on an extra point that will keep the spread dead or alive. After the loss of the Chiefs last night, the Chargers have this game to stay ahead from them and stay in contest for a playoff spot. Remember that Mahomes is not yet totally out of the playoffs but only for the Division Title so the Chargers cant get caught slacking here. Meanwhile, this game could be meaningless for the Eagles as their next 4 games will be against bottom teams. They can beat the Raiders and the Redskins even if Saquon Barkely and Jalen Hurts will run only using one leg. There is so much more at stake for the Chargers and almost no room for error. Also, the Chargers won against the Broncos this season, a legit team IMO so I think its time we start respecting Justin Herbert and their defense at SoFi Stadium. The last team to make an error losses.
Good luck!
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
The Good. -The Eagles are more likely secured for a playoffs spot here with almost 95% without considering the result of this game against the Chargers. -The Chargers have around 56-62% chance of making the playoffs. -In the event that the Eagles will lose this game against the Chargers their percentage of making the playoffs is still at 85-89%. That is not bad at all. -If the Chargers lose this game their percentage of making the playoffs will drop to 50%. -Omarion Hampton RB1 for the Chargers will be back and this is a good relief for Justin Herbert playing with his off hand in cast. They will capitalize their rush offense against the fully depleted run defense of the Eagles. -A.J. Brown is doing A.J. Brown things getting 110+ receiving yards for the past 2 games after complaining that he is not getting involved in the offense. Confidence is back for this kid.
The Bad. -With 5 games remaining for each team, they cant afford consecutive losses. Eagles will face the Raiders next at home, definitely they can manhandle Geno Smith and his crew. The Chargers on the other hand will visit Andy "Dementia" Reid at Arrowhead, and the Chargers know they dont play well on the road. -With consecutive losses, for the Eagles their percentage will significantly drop to 75% if they lose against the Chargers and the Raiders. If the Chargers will lose this game against the Eagles and next the Chiefs, their chances of making the playoffs is computed to be around 35-40%. Their time is running out.
The Ugly. -The Eagles will play this game without Jalen Carter, their run defense anchor. With Carter their defense is part top 5 of the league, without him, they are part of the bottom 5. Last game versus the Eagles they allowed 230+ rush yards even with Carter playing. They got punched in the mouth! -The Eagles offense last 4 games are just disgusting to look at; 15.5ppg, 5.4avg yards/play, 41% offense sr% and we dont want to talk about their defense as it is part of the bottom 5 of the league. -The public is leaning on the Eagles to win this game getting >80% of the bets for the ML and >75% on the spread. This game opened at 3.5 and despite getting the public money on the Eagles, the spread has moved down respecting the value on the Chargers.
Pick: Chargers +2.5 -I dont think the Eagles will go to SoFi Stadium and beat the shit out of the Chargers, most likely this will be a back and forth game with an error on an extra point that will keep the spread dead or alive. After the loss of the Chiefs last night, the Chargers have this game to stay ahead from them and stay in contest for a playoff spot. Remember that Mahomes is not yet totally out of the playoffs but only for the Division Title so the Chargers cant get caught slacking here. Meanwhile, this game could be meaningless for the Eagles as their next 4 games will be against bottom teams. They can beat the Raiders and the Redskins even if Saquon Barkely and Jalen Hurts will run only using one leg. There is so much more at stake for the Chargers and almost no room for error. Also, the Chargers won against the Broncos this season, a legit team IMO so I think its time we start respecting Justin Herbert and their defense at SoFi Stadium. The last team to make an error losses.
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