TEN + 7.5 vs. DEN

The first 8 minutes of this video are quite compelling, I think. NFL LIVE | How Bo Nix Passed Sean Payton's "QB Test" - Peter Schrager on if Broncos succeed with him

They finished 30th in points allowed.

Good for you.

The fact the books are offering the hook on top of the TD, plus the mispriced HFA (6 vs 3)= value

This dog will not barking.

Broncos were 8-0 ATS in 2024 when Favorites.  

Opponents: 

Chiefs in week 18 line -10 Chiefs resting players 

Raiders fell victim twice to the horses

Saints

Falcons 

Browns 

Colts

Panthers

That's quite the list 

The horses got the job done for sure and if the Titans don’t improve and impress they are going to get exploited for sure. 

In the above listed games there were only 2

 games with a line more than -7 Panthers -13 and Chiefs -10 

The Broncos of course are an improved team but so are the Titans.  I’m banking on the Titans improving significantly at QB this season.  

On the flip side, at this point, it’s a best guess and completely in the dark take.  Maybe a few preseason games are needed to be seen? 

What if Ward doesn’t play or what if he doesn’t play a lot?  That’s even better because if the Titans are not confident they will need him to improve and get him snaps to improve.  If they are confident then they don’t need to see more and risk a pre season injury. 

Good analysis.  Those weren't exactly the NFL's toughest dogs last season.