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    All Forums | NFL Betting Forum

    phixer's nfl week 6 - who are you? whoho whoo whoo whoo?

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    phixer
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    phixer
    phixer
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    Posted: Oct. 14, 2015 - 7:08 PM ET #51

    Quote Originally Posted by DRE-DAY:

    Phix would you bet a 7 team parlay 
    glad to see you're still alive with your parlay craziness
    no. i certainly would not
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    Quote Originally Posted by DRE-DAY:

    Phix would you bet a 7 team parlay 
    glad to see you're still alive with your parlay craziness
    no. i certainly would not
     
    vc1028
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    Posted: Oct. 14, 2015 - 7:41 PM ET #52

    Phixer any thoughts on NE playing with with that chip on there shoulder from deflate gate. Saying they cheated,think they are tired of hearing bs  and just play to cover the spread every week and just thumb their nose to the Vegas odds 
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    Phixer any thoughts on NE playing with with that chip on there shoulder from deflate gate. Saying they cheated,think they are tired of hearing bs  and just play to cover the spread every week and just thumb their nose to the Vegas odds 
     
    Rip100
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    Posted: Oct. 14, 2015 - 8:16 PM ET #53

    Good luck this week dude, remember it's only a movie
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    Good luck this week dude, remember it's only a movie
     
    BallingLikeNE
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    Posted: Oct. 14, 2015 - 9:05 PM ET #54

    Quote Originally Posted by phixer:

    we are not going to bet the whole game cover by the saints, we're not going to bet cincinnati -3.5

    Hey Phix, always like to take a look at your threads to see what's cookin. You're not playing Cincy bc you believe the ATS covering will balance out?

    "i expect a rat tomorrow. that is something so one sided betted that it is hard to imagine vegas will let that one slip away"

    By rat you mean everyone on ATL? If Vegas won't let it slip away, doesn't that translate a NO win or at least cover?

     

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    Quote Originally Posted by phixer:

    we are not going to bet the whole game cover by the saints, we're not going to bet cincinnati -3.5

    Hey Phix, always like to take a look at your threads to see what's cookin. You're not playing Cincy bc you believe the ATS covering will balance out?

    "i expect a rat tomorrow. that is something so one sided betted that it is hard to imagine vegas will let that one slip away"

    By rat you mean everyone on ATL? If Vegas won't let it slip away, doesn't that translate a NO win or at least cover?

     

     
    BallingLikeNE
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    Posted: Oct. 14, 2015 - 9:12 PM ET #55

    Quote Originally Posted by undermysac:

    Nice Frank Zappa quote Phixer

    Saints and falcons...

    Sam Bradford threw 2 endzone pics against the saints secondary in the first half that were "his" fault, not the play of the D. The saints secondary leads the league in most deep balls allowed against. A defense is only as good as their back end...
    Im convinced the line is so low because of Julio Jones. I don't think he's going to play on a bad hammy, on a short week. And let's not forget the man has plates and screws in his foot. That type of thing may lead to other nagging ailements, perhaps the hammy is one.

    Feels like the books are prepared to take in ATL money w/ open arms...

    BOL THIS WEEK


    P.S. I'm taking dolphins ML this week w/ out looking at a single stat or trend
    If you have any thoughts...or we all just stay hush hush on this one till kick off

    thinking the same thing let's talk - sent you a friend request.

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    Quote Originally Posted by undermysac:

    Nice Frank Zappa quote Phixer

    Saints and falcons...

    Sam Bradford threw 2 endzone pics against the saints secondary in the first half that were "his" fault, not the play of the D. The saints secondary leads the league in most deep balls allowed against. A defense is only as good as their back end...
    Im convinced the line is so low because of Julio Jones. I don't think he's going to play on a bad hammy, on a short week. And let's not forget the man has plates and screws in his foot. That type of thing may lead to other nagging ailements, perhaps the hammy is one.

    Feels like the books are prepared to take in ATL money w/ open arms...

    BOL THIS WEEK


    P.S. I'm taking dolphins ML this week w/ out looking at a single stat or trend
    If you have any thoughts...or we all just stay hush hush on this one till kick off

    thinking the same thing let's talk - sent you a friend request.

     
    phixer
    phixer
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    Posted: Oct. 14, 2015 - 10:15 PM ET #56

    Quote Originally Posted by vc1028:

    Phixer any thoughts on NE playing with with that chip on there shoulder from deflate gate. Saying they cheated,think they are tired of hearing bs  and just play to cover the spread every week and just thumb their nose to the Vegas odds 
    dangerous game for those backing ne imo
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    Quote Originally Posted by vc1028:

    Phixer any thoughts on NE playing with with that chip on there shoulder from deflate gate. Saying they cheated,think they are tired of hearing bs  and just play to cover the spread every week and just thumb their nose to the Vegas odds 
    dangerous game for those backing ne imo
     
    phixer
    phixer
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    Posted: Oct. 14, 2015 - 10:17 PM ET #57

    Quote Originally Posted by BallingLikeNE:

    Hey Phix, always like to take a look at your threads to see what's cookin. You're not playing Cincy bc you believe the ATS covering will balance out?

    "i expect a rat tomorrow. that is something so one sided betted that it is hard to imagine vegas will let that one slip away"

    By rat you mean everyone on ATL? If Vegas won't let it slip away, doesn't that translate a NO win or at least cover?

     

    i'm full of contradictions. i now.i like o handicap that way. i like to see all the angles and then to decide which angle is a pure bs and which is not that pure bs. as long as they allare bs's
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    Quote Originally Posted by BallingLikeNE:

    Hey Phix, always like to take a look at your threads to see what's cookin. You're not playing Cincy bc you believe the ATS covering will balance out?

    "i expect a rat tomorrow. that is something so one sided betted that it is hard to imagine vegas will let that one slip away"

    By rat you mean everyone on ATL? If Vegas won't let it slip away, doesn't that translate a NO win or at least cover?

     

    i'm full of contradictions. i now.i like o handicap that way. i like to see all the angles and then to decide which angle is a pure bs and which is not that pure bs. as long as they allare bs's
     
    phixer
    phixer
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    Posted: Oct. 14, 2015 - 10:19 PM ET #58

    Quote Originally Posted by undermysac:

    Nice Frank Zappa quote Phixer

    Saints and falcons...

    Sam Bradford threw 2 endzone pics against the saints secondary in the first half that were "his" fault, not the play of the D. The saints secondary leads the league in most deep balls allowed against. A defense is only as good as their back end...
    Im convinced the line is so low because of Julio Jones. I don't think he's going to play on a bad hammy, on a short week. And let's not forget the man has plates and screws in his foot. That type of thing may lead to other nagging ailements, perhaps the hammy is one.

    Feels like the books are prepared to take in ATL money w/ open arms...

    BOL THIS WEEK


    P.S. I'm taking dolphins ML this week w/ out looking at a single stat or trend
    If you have any thoughts...or we all just stay hush hush on this one till kick off
    miami ml definitely seems possible to happen
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    Quote Originally Posted by undermysac:

    Nice Frank Zappa quote Phixer

    Saints and falcons...

    Sam Bradford threw 2 endzone pics against the saints secondary in the first half that were "his" fault, not the play of the D. The saints secondary leads the league in most deep balls allowed against. A defense is only as good as their back end...
    Im convinced the line is so low because of Julio Jones. I don't think he's going to play on a bad hammy, on a short week. And let's not forget the man has plates and screws in his foot. That type of thing may lead to other nagging ailements, perhaps the hammy is one.

    Feels like the books are prepared to take in ATL money w/ open arms...

    BOL THIS WEEK


    P.S. I'm taking dolphins ML this week w/ out looking at a single stat or trend
    If you have any thoughts...or we all just stay hush hush on this one till kick off
    miami ml definitely seems possible to happen
     
    brum49
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    Posted: Oct. 14, 2015 - 10:33 PM ET #59

    I understand your perspective and handicapping approach for the most part; and I know my concern has little to do with Vegas influence; but Rob Ryan is one of the worst defensive coaches in the NFL.  It seems like his in-game schemes are predictable.  I'm pretty sure The Saints' loss of home dominance started under him.

    I'll probably tease NO to the over

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    I understand your perspective and handicapping approach for the most part; and I know my concern has little to do with Vegas influence; but Rob Ryan is one of the worst defensive coaches in the NFL.  It seems like his in-game schemes are predictable.  I'm pretty sure The Saints' loss of home dominance started under him.

    I'll probably tease NO to the over

     
    ngv017
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    Posted: Oct. 15, 2015 - 12:44 AM ET #60

    TNF- Falcons-3.5 vs. Saints

    The trends I am looking to see balance out are head to head home team is 6-1 ATS and underdog is 9-3 ATS. combine that with TNF favorites this year being 0-3-2 ATS tells me the play is ATL-3.5

    We all know also that ATL is a 1 half team so far this year. So I will also be looking at ATL -2.5 1st half expecting them to be up big at half against the weak Saints D. If that happens look for the ATL 1 half team trend to continue and for the Saints second half line to cover but not cover for game. If ATL doesn't cover 1st half, bang the second half ATL line for a cover and the game cover.  

    Just my thoughts. BOL to everyone
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    TNF- Falcons-3.5 vs. Saints

    The trends I am looking to see balance out are head to head home team is 6-1 ATS and underdog is 9-3 ATS. combine that with TNF favorites this year being 0-3-2 ATS tells me the play is ATL-3.5

    We all know also that ATL is a 1 half team so far this year. So I will also be looking at ATL -2.5 1st half expecting them to be up big at half against the weak Saints D. If that happens look for the ATL 1 half team trend to continue and for the Saints second half line to cover but not cover for game. If ATL doesn't cover 1st half, bang the second half ATL line for a cover and the game cover.  

    Just my thoughts. BOL to everyone
     
    letsbreakem
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    Posted: Oct. 15, 2015 - 12:56 AM ET #61

    Quote Originally Posted by BayAreaVic:

    The Packers are due for a loss ats but to me I just can't bet against GB at home, and definetly not against a crappy Chargers team with sucha a terrible O-Line, the good news for them is that it won't be an early game. 

    The last 2 games Packers covered 9.5 point spreads with less than stellar games from Rodgers, he's also due for a big game. Think I'm staying away from this one or Packers on a teaser.

    And about the TNF game I don't know what to think about Atlanta, Julio Jones might be out and I don't know when will Freeman come back to earth. The defense definitely looks good. 

    I usually take the home team receiving points on divisional games and pretty much on every TNF SNF MNF  the dog has at least covered if not won SU (not a single favorite has covered yet in TNF 0-3 with 2 pushes on NE week 1 and Ravens week4). Will vegas finally throw a bone?


    Giants covered in week 3 on TNF.
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    Quote Originally Posted by BayAreaVic:

    The Packers are due for a loss ats but to me I just can't bet against GB at home, and definetly not against a crappy Chargers team with sucha a terrible O-Line, the good news for them is that it won't be an early game. 

    The last 2 games Packers covered 9.5 point spreads with less than stellar games from Rodgers, he's also due for a big game. Think I'm staying away from this one or Packers on a teaser.

    And about the TNF game I don't know what to think about Atlanta, Julio Jones might be out and I don't know when will Freeman come back to earth. The defense definitely looks good. 

    I usually take the home team receiving points on divisional games and pretty much on every TNF SNF MNF  the dog has at least covered if not won SU (not a single favorite has covered yet in TNF 0-3 with 2 pushes on NE week 1 and Ravens week4). Will vegas finally throw a bone?


    Giants covered in week 3 on TNF.
     
    NeverMind
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    Posted: Oct. 15, 2015 - 5:40 AM ET #62

    New Orleans wins SU and is the first of five undefeated team to go down setting "upset alerts" around the league come Sunday....

    Don't bet with your heart. Rivers and/or the Chargers defense let a lot of their bettors/fans down vs PIT - they are still pissed. With GB being the ATS covering machine and playing at home. It's a recipe for SD to keep the game really close and possibly having the lead late in the game before giving it back to GB for a SU win. It's crazy how people always say, SD just lost to Vick but how can they be winning against GB? That's how the NFL usually works. 
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    New Orleans wins SU and is the first of five undefeated team to go down setting "upset alerts" around the league come Sunday....

    Don't bet with your heart. Rivers and/or the Chargers defense let a lot of their bettors/fans down vs PIT - they are still pissed. With GB being the ATS covering machine and playing at home. It's a recipe for SD to keep the game really close and possibly having the lead late in the game before giving it back to GB for a SU win. It's crazy how people always say, SD just lost to Vick but how can they be winning against GB? That's how the NFL usually works. 
     
    lbckhmersk8er
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    Posted: Oct. 15, 2015 - 11:27 AM ET #63

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    SCC
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    Posted: Oct. 15, 2015 - 11:58 AM ET #64

    Everything says Atlanta -4 is the easy play here. undefeated team. high scoring. inside a dome so no weather factor. against a divisional rival that's pretty much a toilet of a season. But then you look at the other "easy bets" and the underdogs are winning these small margins straight up or at least covers the spread.

    NFL is is notorious. 

    That being said I don't want to over think it. Give me Atl -4! 
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    Everything says Atlanta -4 is the easy play here. undefeated team. high scoring. inside a dome so no weather factor. against a divisional rival that's pretty much a toilet of a season. But then you look at the other "easy bets" and the underdogs are winning these small margins straight up or at least covers the spread.

    NFL is is notorious. 

    That being said I don't want to over think it. Give me Atl -4! 
     
    legend41
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    Posted: Oct. 15, 2015 - 12:02 PM ET #65

    Quote Originally Posted by vc1028:

    Phixer any thoughts on NE playing with with that chip on there shoulder from deflate gate. Saying they cheated,think they are tired of hearing bs  and just play to cover the spread every week and just thumb their nose to the Vegas odds 

     Patriots are a DISGRACE to the game of football, bunch of fkn CHEATERS. NFL needs to ban that organization from the game! They have no business playing in this league!
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    Quote Originally Posted by vc1028:

    Phixer any thoughts on NE playing with with that chip on there shoulder from deflate gate. Saying they cheated,think they are tired of hearing bs  and just play to cover the spread every week and just thumb their nose to the Vegas odds 

     Patriots are a DISGRACE to the game of football, bunch of fkn CHEATERS. NFL needs to ban that organization from the game! They have no business playing in this league!
     
    penguins1503
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    Posted: Oct. 15, 2015 - 12:04 PM ET #66

    Senor Phixer. The fact that is a divisional game were both teams know each other very well but it seems they are going on opposite direction and the public perception is that Atlanta will win the game in a blow out fashion. I'll be taking N.O +3.5 & under 52. I believe that N.O. defense will bring their A game tonight and qb Breese will be feeding the ball to rb Ingram to take time off the clock and keep the Atl offense off the field. Good luck senor Phixer, and stay thirsty my friend
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    Senor Phixer. The fact that is a divisional game were both teams know each other very well but it seems they are going on opposite direction and the public perception is that Atlanta will win the game in a blow out fashion. I'll be taking N.O +3.5 & under 52. I believe that N.O. defense will bring their A game tonight and qb Breese will be feeding the ball to rb Ingram to take time off the clock and keep the Atl offense off the field. Good luck senor Phixer, and stay thirsty my friend
     
    Prophet1
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    Posted: Oct. 15, 2015 - 12:06 PM ET #67

    Phixer your final CARD?
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    Phixer your final CARD?
     
    turf2race
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    Posted: Oct. 15, 2015 - 2:05 PM ET #68

    What's your record on your ten unit plays?
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    What's your record on your ten unit plays?
     
    lbckhmersk8er
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    Posted: Oct. 15, 2015 - 5:04 PM ET #69

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    Irish1986
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    Posted: Oct. 15, 2015 - 5:23 PM ET #70

    Looking foward to tonight's plays phixer
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    Looking foward to tonight's plays phixer
     
    Cranks
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    Posted: Oct. 15, 2015 - 5:57 PM ET #71

    I like the Saints at home.  Best of luck on whatever you decide.
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    I like the Saints at home.  Best of luck on whatever you decide.
     
    JonnyTwoTime
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    Posted: Oct. 15, 2015 - 6:20 PM ET #72

    Quote Originally Posted by Prophet1:

    Phixer your final CARD?


    Get a life
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    Quote Originally Posted by Prophet1:

    Phixer your final CARD?


    Get a life
     
    noles252
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    Posted: Oct. 15, 2015 - 6:22 PM ET #73

    Saints FH
    Under 52 

    Although Saints full game looks good as wee in my humble opinion.

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    Saints FH
    Under 52 

    Although Saints full game looks good as wee in my humble opinion.

     
    Achilles1629
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    Posted: Oct. 15, 2015 - 6:25 PM ET #74

    So with about 76% on Atlanta ML and 74% on ATL to cover the spread, I'm going Saints here. Tempted to hit that ML....As for the total, 59% is on the Over and with the saints using the dink and dunk strategy along with trying to control that clock, I'm leaning under. 51 is a lot. I see a 23-20 game here. Phix, thoughts brotha? As always, love the insight, much appreciated
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    So with about 76% on Atlanta ML and 74% on ATL to cover the spread, I'm going Saints here. Tempted to hit that ML....As for the total, 59% is on the Over and with the saints using the dink and dunk strategy along with trying to control that clock, I'm leaning under. 51 is a lot. I see a 23-20 game here. Phix, thoughts brotha? As always, love the insight, much appreciated
     
     
    brum49
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    Posted: Oct. 15, 2015 - 6:47 PM ET #75

    Quote Originally Posted by legend41:


     Patriots are a DISGRACE to the game of football, bunch of fkn CHEATERS. NFL needs to ban that organization from the game! They have no business playing in this league!

    Being a "DISGRACE" in a league filled with abusers, druggies, egomaniacs, and athletes with no other job skills, is saying a mouthful.  EVERY franchise has a medical team trying to cover PED's; shrinks trying to harness anger issues; lawyers and accountants trying to pay as little as possible for the lower 75% skilled players, who are traumatizing their brains and bodies with every collision.  Seeking an advantage to win a game takes on many forms, with football PSI pretty benign

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    Quote Originally Posted by legend41:


     Patriots are a DISGRACE to the game of football, bunch of fkn CHEATERS. NFL needs to ban that organization from the game! They have no business playing in this league!

    Being a "DISGRACE" in a league filled with abusers, druggies, egomaniacs, and athletes with no other job skills, is saying a mouthful.  EVERY franchise has a medical team trying to cover PED's; shrinks trying to harness anger issues; lawyers and accountants trying to pay as little as possible for the lower 75% skilled players, who are traumatizing their brains and bodies with every collision.  Seeking an advantage to win a game takes on many forms, with football PSI pretty benign

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