Over reaction lines of the week

Look at last week with 2 undefeated vs winless matches

Bills -16.5 and dropped to -14.5     So obvious how bad the Saints were and how good the Bills are.. Was a no brainer to take the Bills right? Well didn't happen

Chargers -6.5 at the Giants rookie QB   I didn't think the Chargers would cover the spread but outright lose was surprising.. 

This week

Lions -10.5 at Bengals   same story here a hot team against team trying to find identity without Burrow.. Bengals are back home and will put up a better fight.. 

Colt -7 vs Raiders    Colts are probably the most surprising team this year and now adjusting the line accordingly.. They have been more then a 6pt fav 4 times in the last 3+ years and all 4 times they did not cover. and outright lost a few. This spot there is so much value on the Raiders as odds makers are taking a chance here.. 

Seattle -3.5 vs Tampa   I thought this line would be more of a pick.. With Baker as your QB this game should come down to the wire.. The match up between 2 stud Ohio State WRs. Tampa may outright win this game or worse case lose by a field goal

Agree with the first 2, both of those lines are higher than what I have. The Seattle line is deserved in my opinion based on how good their defense is and the offense has been decent too. I had that one at 3, so its just a tick higher, but I agree Tampa is definitely a live dog there and can definitely take it. 

@newmarket

BOL 

As much as I like Tampa  I don't like taking small road dogs..

Too much value on Bengals to pass up..   I also like fading high covers consensus