Great job Sharp, great job! Wondering why you're not on Carolina against Atlanta this week?
Atlanta/Carolina is a tough game to judge. Pretty close to being even in every category, but Atlanta with the clear advantage in O and D lines. Projection may be a little skewed based on Newton's 0.0 interception rate, past three, slanting the TO numbers clearly on Carolina's side. Giving him the league average puts this game right about at a toss-up. Which is how I see it. Even turnovers and a 3 point with either way (probably Atl), +1 for either side and a 4-7 point win, +2 and a 7-11 point win. Too close to bet in my opinion, but I definitely think Carolina is the right side. My prediction (not projection) is a 23-20 Atlanta win.
Great job Sharp, great job! Wondering why you're not on Carolina against Atlanta this week?
Atlanta/Carolina is a tough game to judge. Pretty close to being even in every category, but Atlanta with the clear advantage in O and D lines. Projection may be a little skewed based on Newton's 0.0 interception rate, past three, slanting the TO numbers clearly on Carolina's side. Giving him the league average puts this game right about at a toss-up. Which is how I see it. Even turnovers and a 3 point with either way (probably Atl), +1 for either side and a 4-7 point win, +2 and a 7-11 point win. Too close to bet in my opinion, but I definitely think Carolina is the right side. My prediction (not projection) is a 23-20 Atlanta win.
Sharp, any chance you can discuss your thoughts on:
Chi @ Minn STL @ Buff
Thanks mate, BOL this week
Interesting game in Chi/Min - Chicago has a clear passing advantage. If they recognize that and let Cutler air it out, they'll probably win by a score. Although, Chicago's lack of any type of running game here might make them one-dimensional, which should help the Vikes minimize the Bears' passing advantage. Minn has a huge edge in the run game and should definitely be trying to utilize that and keep Chicago's offense off the field. If down early and forced to throw - could be a long day for the Vikes, though. Advantage in the trenches to the Vikes, and with such a huge rushing advantage and decent advantage with regard to turnovers (Chi forced turnovers is regressing back to normal rates), I'd be on Minnesota at 3.5 or more. Just my interpretations of that stats, I could be wrong.
Fairly even game in Buffalo. Slight edge for the Bills in both the pass and run game, even in regard to the lines. Think this one, like a few others this week, comes down to turnovers. Even turnovers and the Bills win by 3-7, -1 and it's a field goal game for either side, -2 and Rams win by 3-7. So, I give the edge to the Bills - think they're the right side - but turnovers could easily sway it to look like an easy Rams win. Too close to bet.
Sharp, any chance you can discuss your thoughts on:
Chi @ Minn STL @ Buff
Thanks mate, BOL this week
Interesting game in Chi/Min - Chicago has a clear passing advantage. If they recognize that and let Cutler air it out, they'll probably win by a score. Although, Chicago's lack of any type of running game here might make them one-dimensional, which should help the Vikes minimize the Bears' passing advantage. Minn has a huge edge in the run game and should definitely be trying to utilize that and keep Chicago's offense off the field. If down early and forced to throw - could be a long day for the Vikes, though. Advantage in the trenches to the Vikes, and with such a huge rushing advantage and decent advantage with regard to turnovers (Chi forced turnovers is regressing back to normal rates), I'd be on Minnesota at 3.5 or more. Just my interpretations of that stats, I could be wrong.
Fairly even game in Buffalo. Slight edge for the Bills in both the pass and run game, even in regard to the lines. Think this one, like a few others this week, comes down to turnovers. Even turnovers and the Bills win by 3-7, -1 and it's a field goal game for either side, -2 and Rams win by 3-7. So, I give the edge to the Bills - think they're the right side - but turnovers could easily sway it to look like an easy Rams win. Too close to bet.
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