Had surgery last week. Was posting pics last week from my hospital bed.
Was in hospital for 3 days/nights, not a big deal, pretty routine stuff. Was there for Thanksgiving. Checked out the next day.
Back home now and doing very, very well. Doing PT now but kind of slow at getting things done.
My Other System much like I talked about, off back to back losing records is the time to up our plays which I did.
On a 4-0 ATS run in this spot.
Now I'll go back to a half unit play with a fade on the Texans.
I could of had KC at -3 (-120) but didn't take it. Then had it at -3 (-125) and didn't take it.
I just came off 2 weeks with 3 pushes coz I did get the 3 without the hook. So I should of known better.
Now the -3 not available without paying a very high price.
The public seems to be coming in on Texans from what I am hearing on you tube. This does seem like a spot to buy KC at a low price.
Backing Packers off a top 3 performer week 1 and off a 10 win season.
Weeks 2-8 Pack went 2-5 ATS but the 2cd half thus far Packers 2-2 ATS
However, I could make a case the Bears would be a Bounce Factor Fade. But it does not fit perfectly.
But a case could be made for it, all the principles are there.
and the public is coming in on Bears from what I am hearing on you tube from guys know alot more about this then I do.
I won't count it in BF record. Packers really need this game if they are to win division. A win here would put them in good position.
Packers clearly the better team but are not really playing all that consistent.
Bears playing more consistent I can understand the love by the public getting a decent amount of pts.
I think the play is Packers or no play
Glad to hear you are recovering. Hospital food on Thansgobbling Day must have been a bit disappointing.
TC, you can check the Covers consensus by going to the top of this page and clicking on Sports/NFL/Scores and Matchups.
Currently CHI is at 61%; that's a huge public dog of which public handicappers have been leery. HOU is currently at 49%; not quite a public dog, but a much higher % than most dogs get.
I'm on TEN and they are at 28%.
I usually look at oddsshark but they're relatively close in the odds you see. The rule of thumb has been to oppose teams getting 80% or more on the spread. This week that's Denver and Seattle. I always found it made sense to avoid those teams when in a confidence pool, because public confidence is the kiss of death.
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