NFL Week 12 plays

3* TEXANS +5' over Bills - C.J. Stroud is out again for Houston, but there's not enough of a difference between Stroud's passer rating and that of backup Davis Mills to justify this big number. The Texans have the best defense in the league, allowing just 258.1 yards and 16.3 points a game. On offense, RB Nick Chubb could have a big night against a Bills defense that's allowing 153 yards a game on the ground at 5.4 yards a pop! This feels like a 20-17 type of game, and I wouldn't be shocked if the Texans win outright!

GL  on your play  I like your style @Boisestateand8 

I guess I should've said 20-17 in the FIRST HALF! 

3* TEXANS +5'   Wow! What a performance by the Houston defense! And a nice way to start the weekend! 

@D-Town

Getting this one in early

5* CHIEFS -3' over Colts - top play of the month in both college and pro. The Chiefs have their backs to the wall and have NEVER lost three in a row with Andy Reid and Patrick Mahomes. They don't even lose two in a row that often. KC has absolutely no wiggle room if they hope to make the playoffs, and I expect a similar effort to the Lions game earlier this year. The Colts have been the surprise team of the NFL at 8-2 (with the possible exception of the Patriots), but in their last two games Daniel Jones has been sacked 12 times and has turned the ball over seven times! Indy is off a bye, but I have to wonder if Jones is starting to regress to the player he was.

I don't see anything else on the early slate worth taking, but I have my eye on a couple of late games. 

@Boisestateand8

Congrats on that Texans' pick and write-up, Nostradamus. 

Nice Texans pick! Let's keep it going with KC! GL

@Buffalobob89074  Hopefully Nostradumbass doesn't make an appearance! 

 @pointnshoot24  BOL to you too! 

B8 

@Fuse 

@Boisestateand8

 bol

GL  on your plays  @Boisestateand8 

3* CARDINALS +2 over Jaguars - Tremendous line value on Arizona here, based on last week's results. The Cardinals were blown out by the 49ers last week, 41-22, but had 207 more total yards! And I'm just not sold on Jags QB Trevor Lawrence, who has a 79.4 passer rating.

3* Browns +3 over RAIDERS - The Browns haven't won a game on the road since Week Two.......of last season! But their defense is by far the best unit on the field in this one. As long as Shedeur Sanders doesn't blow it Cleveland should win this. The Raiders have been a hot mess this season, behind Pete Carroll and Chip Kelly.

BOL!

CHIEFS God what a frustrating game. They outplayed the Colts everywhere but the scoreboard. 

CARDINALS  How the hell do you lose a game with a +4 turnover advantage? 

Browns   At least the day wasn't a complete disaster. 

Yea i was on cards today too. Felt great about it at so many times until they finally lost.