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NFL SEASON 2015-2016 PICKS

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Posts: 239

PUNKCASH

Prospect

Joined: Oct, 2011

Posts: 186

Posted: Oct. 16, 2015 - 11:25 PM ET #26

Quote Originally Posted by twostupiddogs:

PR,

Got a question on the Miami/Tenn game. I see you have Tenn, but based on the scheme I get Miami with a 19 and Tenn with 20.

Neither are in the ESPN 7, Should the pick be Miami?

Also n the Az/Steelers game, Az is a 26 and Pitt is a 225, but Az is in the Espn Power 7?

Am I missing something simple?

Actually the TEN/MIA & ARI/PIT is a NO PLAY but PR noticed that if you ever have a game that is noted as NO PLAY and you picked the team with the greater home pts average it was a winning strategy.

ARI (216)

PIT (222) <--- Pick

MIA (228) <--- Pick

TEN (225)

phixer

Banned

Joined: Jul, 2012

Posts: 4174

Posted: Oct. 17, 2015 - 1:29 AM ET #27

to improve your hit rate - i'd suggest applying your method only to the games that are not a single game per day/ no tnf's, snf's or mnf's. i'm pretty sure that if you applied back testing - you'd find that your hit rate would improve. not that it is bad now or anything like that - but your seeking for methods is refreshing and i think you should name the system - ganja system and not a pointsrator. give respect to the place you write from

NFL-1975

Veteran

Joined: Oct, 2013

Posts: 1780

Posted: Oct. 17, 2015 - 7:43 AM ET #28

Keep up the good work my friend and don't let the negativity get you down on these forums there is a lot of cappers on here that like to test and research methods such as yours for another angle to possible work and I would agree with Phixer the single games thurs-Sunday night and Monday seem to be the highest volume plays of the week thus leading to off balance lines. Keep up the hard work and remember the idiots that are negative and have nothing better to do with there time then cloud other people's forum listings with negativity are mostly. Jobless 20 something year olds that live in there moms basement and play video games for a living plus don't have the brains to understand your system or s clue about capping Bol sir

twostupiddogs

Prospect

Joined: Jan, 2007

Posts: 4

Posted: Oct. 17, 2015 - 1:49 PM ET #29

Punkcash

Can you accept my friend request? I wan to to send you a PM.

Quote Originally Posted by PUNKCASH:

Actually the TEN/MIA & ARI/PIT is a NO PLAY but PR noticed that if you ever have a game that is noted as NO PLAY and you picked the team with the greater home pts average it was a winning strategy.

ARI (216)

PIT (222) <--- Pick

MIA (228) <--- Pick

TEN (225)

PointsRator

Prospect

Joined: Oct, 2015

Posts: 421

Posted: Oct. 17, 2015 - 6:24 PM ET #30

Quote Originally Posted by phixer:

to improve your hit rate - i'd suggest applying your method only to the games that are not a single game per day/ no tnf's, snf's or mnf's. i'm pretty sure that if you applied back testing - you'd find that your hit rate would improve. not that it is bad now or anything like that - but your seeking for methods is refreshing and i think you should name the system - ganja system and not a pointsrator. give respect to the place you write from

Thanks. I will look into.

I also realize that if i play HT's instead of FT's in the games with teams who are considered favorites i win more often with a new method i'm testing. A sample is on page 1 of this thread.

Maxhtes

Prospect

Joined: Mar, 2015

Posts: 50

Posted: Oct. 17, 2015 - 8:22 PM ET #31

Quote Originally Posted by PointsRator:

Thanks. I will look into.

I also realize that if i play HT's instead of FT's in the games with teams who are considered favorites i win more often with a new method i'm testing. A sample is on page 1 of this thread.

How is nyj a play with 20.1 spread -6 and wash on 23.1 spread +6.

Nyj is not on the top 7.

Thank you.

Also your first half plays most of them do not match with the full time plays. Example you had falcons ft -3 which it was a loss but you had saints first half which it was a winner. Dont you think that it will be better to narrow the teams maybe into the ones that match the ht and ft like the philly game.? Thanks for sharing your system.

bay101

Prospect

Joined: Dec, 2012

Posts: 367

Posted: Oct. 17, 2015 - 8:52 PM ET #32

Quote Originally Posted by Maxhtes:

How is nyj a play with 20.1 spread -6 and wash on 23.1 spread +6.

Nyj is not on the top 7.

Thank you.

His system is that certain teams are overvalued, or in this case undervalued. It's his system that he saw buy flipping the lesser scored teams.

PointsRator

Prospect

Joined: Oct, 2015

Posts: 421

Posted: Oct. 17, 2015 - 9:01 PM ET #33

Quote Originally Posted by Maxhtes:

How is nyj a play with 20.1 spread -6 and wash on 23.1 spread +6.

Nyj is not on the top 7.

Thank you.

Not Every team that leads at HT will win the game. With that said, i'm just watch those specific games.

JoeDoz32

Prospect

Joined: Oct, 2015

Posts: 1

Posted: Oct. 18, 2015 - 12:06 AM ET #34

Hey PR,

I have Arizona at 216 Home TTL L10 and Pitt 222 Home TTlL L10. Also, Cards is Power Ranked at #6 on ESPN Power list. I would of went Cards until I seen your above projections. Please advise. Please tell me what to correct, no hurries.

Thanks,

Joe

miguelj

Rookie

Joined: Nov, 2007

Posts: 624

Posted: Oct. 18, 2015 - 9:59 AM ET #35

Thanks point for all the work you've done on this page.l hope we don't lose you like all other haters do to someone when they see something good going on thanks again points

Ganda

Legend

Joined: May, 2011

Posts: 46864

Posted: Oct. 18, 2015 - 11:21 AM ET #36

Good luck.

CPL XIX Winner. Punter. Scotch lover. Big Man.

RonPresidente

Prospect

Joined: Jan, 2015

Posts: 74

Posted: Oct. 18, 2015 - 11:32 AM ET #37

0-1 so far, lets get it today!

barneybeans

Captain

Joined: Mar, 2003

Posts: 9980

Posted: Oct. 18, 2015 - 12:56 PM ET #38

Could someone be so kind as to send me the spreadsheet and docs/images from the original thread? They are down. BarneyBeans is the name at G mail is the game. (pretty obvious, huh?)

I am looking to regression test AND also to find angles and add a few variables WHERE and IF Necessary.

Thanks so much!

The pen is mightier than the pigs

Ganda

Legend

Joined: May, 2011

Posts: 46864

Posted: Oct. 18, 2015 - 4:22 PM ET #39

I think this guy did alright so far today......

CPL XIX Winner. Punter. Scotch lover. Big Man.

RonPresidente

Prospect

Joined: Jan, 2015

Posts: 74

Posted: Oct. 18, 2015 - 4:30 PM ET #40

2-4 so far

PointsRator

Prospect

Joined: Oct, 2015

Posts: 421

Posted: Oct. 18, 2015 - 5:59 PM ET #41

Quote Originally Posted by RonPresidente:

2-4 so far

Look again or i can't count? Its 5-4. With 5 games to go.

Pcdat251

Prospect

Joined: Mar, 2015

Posts: 72

Posted: Oct. 18, 2015 - 7:10 PM ET #42

Pushes are plays?

PointsRator

Prospect

Joined: Oct, 2015

Posts: 421

Posted: Oct. 18, 2015 - 7:35 PM ET #43

Quote Originally Posted by Pcdat251:

Pushes are plays?

Of course. Read through the thread.

They were once "skippable games" but if you check post #99 on my previous thread page #4 (Link on front page). I added a Method #3 on how to deal with them. Please the read through.

Joe_Cool

Veteran

Joined: May, 2010

Posts: 1046

Posted: Oct. 18, 2015 - 8:05 PM ET #44

Hey PointsRator,

Thanks for posting your plays. However, could you clearly state which are plays for those of us who doesn't quite grasp your system? Thanks again...

PointsRator

Prospect

Joined: Oct, 2015

Posts: 421

Posted: Oct. 18, 2015 - 8:06 PM ET #45

Quote Originally Posted by PointsRator:

NFL WEEK 6

-------------------------------------------------------

New Orleans Saints vs Atlanta Falcons

Spread Prediction: FALCONS -3 - LOSS

-------------------------------------------------------

Buffalo Bills vs Cincinnati Bengals

Spread Prediction: BENGALS -2.5 - WON

Cleveland Browns vs Denver Broncos

Spread Prediction: BRONCOS -4 - LOSS

Detroit Lions vs Chicago Bears

Spread Prediction: PUSH - LIONS -2.5 - WON

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Houston Texans

Spread Prediction: JAGUARS +2 - LOSS

Minnesota Vikings vs Kansas City Chiefs

Spread Prediction: CHIEFS +4 - LOSS

New York Jets vs Washington Redskins

Spread Prediction: JETS -7 - WON

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Arizona Cardinals

Spread Prediction: PUSH - STEELERS +3 - WON

Tennessee Titans vs Miami Dolphins

Spread Prediction: PUSH - DOLPHINS +2.5 - WON

Seattle Seahawks vs Carolina Panthers

Spread Prediction: PANTHERS +7.5 - WON

Green Bay Packers vs San Diego Chargers

Spread Prediction: PACKERS -11.5 - LOSS

San Francisco 49ers vs Baltimore Ravens

Spread Prediction: 49ERS +1 - WON

Indianapolis Colts vs New England Patriots

Spread Prediction: PATRIOTS -8.5

-------------------------------------------------------

Philadelphia Eagles vs New York Giants

Spread Prediction: EAGLES -4

Joe_Cool

Veteran

Joined: May, 2010

Posts: 1046

Posted: Oct. 18, 2015 - 8:16 PM ET #46

Thanks. I meant as far as pushes, if you make them a play, please let us know in advance of the kick off. As you may have guessed, I am tailing your plays and appreciate you posting them...

RonPresidente

Prospect

Joined: Jan, 2015

Posts: 74

Posted: Oct. 18, 2015 - 8:23 PM ET #47

didn't realize pushes were plays!

Second2-Numbers

Veteran

Joined: Nov, 2013

Posts: 1687

Posted: Oct. 18, 2015 - 8:29 PM ET #48

For me ,when I put my wagers in I got DEN @ -3 so it's a PUSH on my book !

So far , it's look solid for this week !

Maxhtes

Prospect

Joined: Mar, 2015

Posts: 50

Posted: Oct. 18, 2015 - 9:15 PM ET #49

Quote Originally Posted by bay101:

His system is that certain teams are overvalued, or in this case undervalued. It's his system that he saw buy flipping the lesser scored teams.thank you bay i would really like to know the system so i can provide some data that might be helpful would you be able to pm me to answer a couple of other questions