Posted:
#1
EAGLES
Going with the better defense. Few will argue that Eagles have a more superior defense than Arizona
- Eagles have the best scoring defense in the NFC regular season and NFC playoffs
- Over the last 6 games, Eagles gave up 10.7ppg (Cards 25ppg)
- Over the season, Eagles gave up 18.1ppg (Cards 26.6ppg)
- Eagles played 3 home and 3 road games their last 6. Cards played 4 home and 2 road games their last 6. Eagles went 5-1 ATS and the Cards went 4-2 ATS. The ability to win and cover in the process is generally a mark of a good team.
Power Ranking based on last 6 games: Philly has a +13.6ppg disparity and Cards are +0.3. Cards playing at home would make the line +10.3.
Power Ranking based on Season: Philly has a +7.94ppg disparity and Cards are +0.06. Cards playing at home makes the line +4.88
Playoff Power Ranking: The Cards have a power ranking of +13. The Eagles have a power ranking of +12. This is based on the point differencial average in their two wins.
Yes the Cards have played great in the playoffs. Yes their crowd will be in a frenzy come game-time. Yes Kurt Warner has a solid playoff track record. Yes teams that beat a defending superbowl champ have a poor ATS record in their next game. Yes home teams are 56-30 or something all time in conference championship games. All that said, I still feel that the Cardinals will hard pressed to prevail. If the game is close, the Eagles stand a good chance to get a stop or generate a crucial turnover. Eagles have held their opponents to 14 or fewer points in 11 of 18 games, the Cards have done it on 5 occasions. Defense has been known to be the difference maker time and time again. If the Cards outplay the Eagles in this area, hats off to them. I do not see it happening.
Good Luck
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