2-0 sides for 4.5 units & 1/2
0-1 totals for -2 units...
Well i have been putting together homework assignment #3 which focuses on 2 Thursday night games with pretty interesting angles...
The first game i wrote about in another thread, but it concerns the dolphins, who i have been loving since parcells took the reigns..
i like to play trends as well as motivation in the preseason and here is one game i will be hitting as hard as i can hit a preseason game.. (3 units)
Listen to this.. Teams off of back to back home wins in the preseason are 34-21-1 ats when taking to the road in preseason since 1983...
NOW... if they are going on the road after a double digit win (which MIAMI is) then they are 20-7 ats..
AND.. if these teams off of double digit wins are dogs, the number becomes 16-4 ats!!!
that's 80%!!!
So i am locking in pick #1-
Miami +3 (i bought the extra 1/2 point to be safe) for 3 units
Now the other game i was interested in researching was the Pats/Skins...
At first glance i loved the skins getting points at home.. sign me up right??
not, so fast... teams in their 2nd home preseason game are just 6-14-2 ats after taking on the previous years' super bowl champ...
uh oh...
and nfc teams in their 2nd of back to back home games are 52-70-5 ats when hosting afc teams...
well, that's an odd trend, but that's just the beginning...
Bill Belichick is 5-2 su and 5-1-1 ats in his last 7 game 3's (preseason)...
He is also 16-1-1 ats in preseason wins as a favorite and MOST IMPORTANTLY
last year the pats were 0-4 preseason su/ats and you see how last year went for the pats............
No way am i backing the home dogs here... in fact i am laying-
2 units on the pats -3 before the line goes higher, as i see the mirage has it at -4 and the hard rock has it at -3.5,,.. they must both have this info too!!
Patriots -3 for 2 units
Good Luck and let's make some money!!