DK NFL Wildcard Round

Quote Originally Posted by Digitalkarma:

Jaguars ML +100     So last night the Jags were +1 opened at PK, this morning around 7 am pacific went up to +2, ML +114( or +112 I think) I was thinking to lay +2 and the ML at this time but gave it an hour to settle and maybe hope it goes to +2.5 and now it's at a PK. That forced me to play my hand now. Maybe it will go back to +1 or +2 later who knows I can always bet it again if it does. Anyway...   Sure this Jaguars team is young and inexperienced but don't let that fool you. This Jags defense is underrated and a rising talent and for one home playoff game they should be able to hang for 4 quarters against a sometimes hot, sometimes cold Chargers offense. I'm not gonna break this game down too deep. These teams are very similar and nearly equal talent wise reason why game is a PK'em, it wouldn't surprise me if it comes down to a last possession type game. This is where I think the Jags have the advantage: in coaching, defense and running game. Turnovers will also be a big factor too as both teams are capable of mucking things up at the wrong time.   I get the impression that Brandon Staley is a bad gambler and relies too much on analytics goes for 4th down for the sake of going for it cuz the numbers say it's the right thing to do. Doug Pederson has a better "feel" for when to go for it although he too sometimes overdoes it. After all Pederson is the one who started all that shit! And Staley is just a copycat!   Chargers inability to stop the running game also concerns me. I may be old school but in colder weather playoff games I will take teams that can play defense and run the ball over the finesse teams almost all the time. Sure you still need balanced offense and passing to win in this league but teams that are in the lead are suppose to run the ball to close out games and wear the opponent down. I'm not sure Chargers can do neither they are way too pass happy even with a lead.      The Jaguars blew the Chargers out early in season but am fully aware that Herbert's ribs were killing him at the time and so puzzling why they even started him. Yesterday was a reminder of Chargers questionable decision making. Why play the starters for 3.5 quarters in a meaningless game and get 2 important players hobbled off the field. Mike Williams is still on track to play but that looked bad, or bad look on Staley rather. Chargers always seem to be one play away from a freak injury to a key player from happening   For those reasons I can't put my money on Chargers. I know most will gravitate towards stud Justin Herbert and the more well known players on the Chargers. My initial lean was Chargers but after processing what I've seen lately I will go the opposite. Should be a closer game than last time either way now that Herbert is healthy and ready to rock. Just better hope Staley doesn't get in the way..    EDIT: Saw that William Hill currently has +1 and Even moneyline, I'll take the even

Quote Originally Posted by Europa:

@Digitalkarma Good luck tonight!

Quote Originally Posted by soup-can:

Yep, Bolts only run for 67. Another road loss.  Ekeler only got 35 on 13 attempts

Quote Originally Posted by lmb4321:

Bills...Giants...Ravens tomorrow?

Quote Originally Posted by lmb4321:

Bills...Giants...Ravens tomorrow?

Quote Originally Posted by lajohn:

Quote Originally Posted by lmb4321: Bills...Giants...Ravens tomorrow? 1W 2L

Quote Originally Posted by soup-can:

One thing is for sure, last few games the Bengals run game hasnt done squat and joey the pimp has thrown for 40-50 times. Both teams rank good to great in run defense. Both teams trending towards a defensive battle. Low total 40.5, i still think this goes under but maybe tease it up to 47 with Bmore catching 14