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    All Forums | NFL Betting Forum

    Can anyone explain SF line?

    «First Previous 12
    vbets
    wizard1183
    undermysac
    Paal
    MrFreedo
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    Posts: 44
    «First Previous 12
     
    vbets
    vbets
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    Posted: Jan. 14, 2023 - 11:42 AM ET #26

    Weather is the reason that the line moved. Wet and sloppy. 

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    Weather is the reason that the line moved. Wet and sloppy. 

     
    wizard1183
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    Posted: Jan. 14, 2023 - 11:46 AM ET #27

    @Paal

     It’s possible Seattle covers. But wins? They’re crap. If 49ers lose? I don’t see KC going to a SB either unless it’s KC vs TB again? But TB is trash

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    @Paal

     It’s possible Seattle covers. But wins? They’re crap. If 49ers lose? I don’t see KC going to a SB either unless it’s KC vs TB again? But TB is trash

     
    undermysac
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    Posted: Jan. 14, 2023 - 11:56 AM ET #28

    When Bator, Polar Bear, and the Claw reside on one thread, it shall be a good thread.

    Will it be hard for SF to beat Seattle 3 times in a season? I don't think so. Covering the spread is another story. 

    Sharp groups took Seattle at 10. Whether they are right is another story as well.

    Good Luck 

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    When Bator, Polar Bear, and the Claw reside on one thread, it shall be a good thread.

    Will it be hard for SF to beat Seattle 3 times in a season? I don't think so. Covering the spread is another story. 

    Sharp groups took Seattle at 10. Whether they are right is another story as well.

    Good Luck 

     
    Paal
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    Posted: Jan. 14, 2023 - 12:22 PM ET #29

    @wizard1183

     
    tb is trash? 

     

    oh boy 

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    @wizard1183

     
    tb is trash? 

     

    oh boy 

     
    MrFreedo
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    Posted: Jan. 14, 2023 - 12:33 PM ET #30

    Teaser protection. To get many on Seahorses…

    49ers covering machines

    to win 1u unless noted
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    Teaser protection. To get many on Seahorses…

    49ers covering machines

     
    Paal
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    Posted: Jan. 14, 2023 - 12:35 PM ET #31

    Niners -pts is a no brainer, looks great on paper 

     

    But this is the playoffs, new trends 0-0 

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    Niners -pts is a no brainer, looks great on paper 

     

    But this is the playoffs, new trends 0-0 

     
    KeyMaster
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    Posted: Jan. 14, 2023 - 12:39 PM ET #32

    Multiple reasons why the Niners cover:

    Bosa

    Samuel

    MacAffrey

    Aiyuk

    Kittle

    Too much talent, they will carry the Kid Purdy to the Win and Cover

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    Multiple reasons why the Niners cover:

    Bosa

    Samuel

    MacAffrey

    Aiyuk

    Kittle

    Too much talent, they will carry the Kid Purdy to the Win and Cover

     
    BigNiner
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    Posted: Jan. 14, 2023 - 1:14 PM ET #33

    @MrBator

     I used to have the exact numbers and they are definitely on several of my old posts somewhere on this site….

    Teams that won the first two matchups hit something like 70% on the third matchup as well.

    it is a complete myth that it is difficult to beat a team three times in one season. The only difficult feat is actually facing a team 3 times in a single season.

    Historically speaking, if a team has beaten a team twice and faces them a third time in the playoffs, they are likely to win again.

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    @MrBator

     I used to have the exact numbers and they are definitely on several of my old posts somewhere on this site….

    Teams that won the first two matchups hit something like 70% on the third matchup as well.

    it is a complete myth that it is difficult to beat a team three times in one season. The only difficult feat is actually facing a team 3 times in a single season.

    Historically speaking, if a team has beaten a team twice and faces them a third time in the playoffs, they are likely to win again.

     
    BigNiner
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    Posted: Jan. 14, 2023 - 1:28 PM ET #34

    https://www.covers.com/forum/nfl-betting-21/letsgopack---hope-you-are-okay-103607444/1#post-129921998

     

     

    Post #8

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    https://www.covers.com/forum/nfl-betting-21/letsgopack---hope-you-are-okay-103607444/1#post-129921998

     

     

    Post #8

     
    THEMUGG
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    Posted: Jan. 14, 2023 - 1:45 PM ET #35

    It pains me to say it, but Seattle is just out-manned. SF is loaded & healthy, Seahawks aren't 100%. 

     In last seasons WC round, 4 of the 6 wins (all home teams) were by 16 pts. or more. The only road team to win? SF @ Dallas.

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    It pains me to say it, but Seattle is just out-manned. SF is loaded & healthy, Seahawks aren't 100%. 

     In last seasons WC round, 4 of the 6 wins (all home teams) were by 16 pts. or more. The only road team to win? SF @ Dallas.

     
    BigNiner
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    Posted: Jan. 14, 2023 - 1:51 PM ET #36

    @THEMUGG

     On the other side, rookie quarterbacks are historically awful ATS and SU in their first NFL playoff start.

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    @THEMUGG

     On the other side, rookie quarterbacks are historically awful ATS and SU in their first NFL playoff start.

     
    undermysac
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    Posted: Jan. 14, 2023 - 1:54 PM ET #37

    @THEMUGG

     As a fan of the Seahawks, I'm sure that you are glad they made it to the playoffs. If I were one, I'd be there right with you.

    The reality is, they almost lost to the Rams and Baker Mayfield. The questionable ref call was big in that one.

    As a fan of football, man am I disappointed that the Lions didn't get in. They are 6th best by weighted dvoa, and finished their season on a hot 8-2 streak.

    Instead we get a handful of shitty teams in the playoffs that include the Seahawks. On top of it, their injury list is extra long.

    Also, the shittiest 2 teams of that list are probably the division winning Vikings and Bucs. But that's football. 

    peace_5

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    @THEMUGG

     As a fan of the Seahawks, I'm sure that you are glad they made it to the playoffs. If I were one, I'd be there right with you.

    The reality is, they almost lost to the Rams and Baker Mayfield. The questionable ref call was big in that one.

    As a fan of football, man am I disappointed that the Lions didn't get in. They are 6th best by weighted dvoa, and finished their season on a hot 8-2 streak.

    Instead we get a handful of shitty teams in the playoffs that include the Seahawks. On top of it, their injury list is extra long.

    Also, the shittiest 2 teams of that list are probably the division winning Vikings and Bucs. But that's football. 

    peace_5

     
    THEMUGG
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    Posted: Jan. 14, 2023 - 2:06 PM ET #38

    @undermysac

      Considering Seattle's RSW total was set @ 5.5, yeah, it's a great accomplishment. But it felt kind of dirty watching the Lions pull off the upset vs. GB to get the Seahawks into the playoffs. No one is gonna apologize for it as they've been on the other side of that in their history, but yeah, the Lions deserved a playoff spot. peace_5

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    @undermysac

      Considering Seattle's RSW total was set @ 5.5, yeah, it's a great accomplishment. But it felt kind of dirty watching the Lions pull off the upset vs. GB to get the Seahawks into the playoffs. No one is gonna apologize for it as they've been on the other side of that in their history, but yeah, the Lions deserved a playoff spot. peace_5

     
    Digitalkarma
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    Posted: Jan. 14, 2023 - 2:15 PM ET #39

    Quote Originally Posted by BigNiner:

    @MrBator  I used to have the exact numbers and they are definitely on several of my old posts somewhere on this site…. Teams that won the first two matchups hit something like 70% on the third matchup as well. it is a complete myth that it is difficult to beat a team three times in one season. The only difficult feat is actually facing a team 3 times in a single season. Historically speaking, if a team has beaten a team twice and faces them a third time in the playoffs, they are likely to win again.

     

    https://www.covers.com/forum/nfl-betting-21/dk-nfl-wildcard-round-103705479/5

     

    Found an article and pasted it on post #125. 

    Not sure how accurate those closing lines are but 12-6 SU, 9-9 ATS for the home team with the 2-0 edge in the season series. The number is right where it should be. Got the Niners winning anywhere by 10-14 pts. 

    Sip on that plus money honey!
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    Quote Originally Posted by BigNiner:

    @MrBator  I used to have the exact numbers and they are definitely on several of my old posts somewhere on this site…. Teams that won the first two matchups hit something like 70% on the third matchup as well. it is a complete myth that it is difficult to beat a team three times in one season. The only difficult feat is actually facing a team 3 times in a single season. Historically speaking, if a team has beaten a team twice and faces them a third time in the playoffs, they are likely to win again.

     

    https://www.covers.com/forum/nfl-betting-21/dk-nfl-wildcard-round-103705479/5

     

    Found an article and pasted it on post #125. 

    Not sure how accurate those closing lines are but 12-6 SU, 9-9 ATS for the home team with the 2-0 edge in the season series. The number is right where it should be. Got the Niners winning anywhere by 10-14 pts. 

     
    Paal
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    Posted: Jan. 14, 2023 - 2:23 PM ET #40

    Public knows it’s tough to beat the same team 3x in 1 season 

     

    yet, Vegas throws out nice meat on the bone +9.5 

    take the pts ? 

     

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    Public knows it’s tough to beat the same team 3x in 1 season 

     

    yet, Vegas throws out nice meat on the bone +9.5 

    take the pts ? 

     

     
    BigNiner
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    Posted: Jan. 14, 2023 - 3:12 PM ET #41

    Quote Originally Posted by Paal:

    Public knows it’s tough to beat the same team 3x in 1 season    yet, Vegas throws out nice meat on the bone +9.5  take the pts ?

    public THINKS it’s tough to beat the same team 3x, but that is a myth.

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    Quote Originally Posted by Paal:

    Public knows it’s tough to beat the same team 3x in 1 season    yet, Vegas throws out nice meat on the bone +9.5  take the pts ?

    public THINKS it’s tough to beat the same team 3x, but that is a myth.

     
    Gochu4u
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    Posted: Jan. 14, 2023 - 4:15 PM ET #42

    You guys are forgeting to include Niners’ 10 game win streak into the mix…. Can they keep it going?!?!

    No gamble No future
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    You guys are forgeting to include Niners’ 10 game win streak into the mix…. Can they keep it going?!?!

     
    theclaw
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    Posted: Jan. 14, 2023 - 4:26 PM ET #43

    From what I've seen on YouTube some very sharp groups are on the Seahawks driving the line down 

    Also saw 9ers gave up the most 50 yd pass plays this year of any team

    They gave up more then they did the past 2 years combined.

    Will Geno and Metcalf hookup for some big gains ?

    Very possible based on the info if correct, I assume it is, if it's posted on YouTube we know it's got to be correct.

     

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    From what I've seen on YouTube some very sharp groups are on the Seahawks driving the line down 

    Also saw 9ers gave up the most 50 yd pass plays this year of any team

    They gave up more then they did the past 2 years combined.

    Will Geno and Metcalf hookup for some big gains ?

    Very possible based on the info if correct, I assume it is, if it's posted on YouTube we know it's got to be correct.

     

     
     
    undermysac
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    Posted: Jan. 14, 2023 - 4:34 PM ET #44

    @theclaw

     TALANOA HUFANGA is a good strong safety with a real nose for the ball, and is great playing around the line of scrimmage. But, he has been caught peeking into the backfield multiple times this year, and susceptible in letting receivers get behind him.

    Play action could be key for the Hawks

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    @theclaw

     TALANOA HUFANGA is a good strong safety with a real nose for the ball, and is great playing around the line of scrimmage. But, he has been caught peeking into the backfield multiple times this year, and susceptible in letting receivers get behind him.

    Play action could be key for the Hawks

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