BALTIMORE RAVENS +1 TO THE BANK................LARGE

Quote Originally Posted by PokerBeerKush:



Vegas set this line based on public perception of baltimore, and a little bit indi.

Cinci, beat the Ravens in Balt fair and square the first time they met, having similar records, Balt was a heavy 8 point fav. The public obviously was more faithfull to the ravens over cinci due to last years performance(Even though Palmers back now better then ever lol),

So the second time these teams met, In Cinci, Balt was -3.5 IN CINCI!!! EVEN THOUGH CINCI HAD BEATEN BALT ALRDY IN BALT!!! (And unlike the SD, DEN rematch scenario, there are no injuries/returning players)

Indi, due to some close wins (It doesn't matter how you win if you win) has the public thinking 'THEY ARE DUE FOR A LOSS' And a hungry Baltimore (Who in all fairness gets rolling usually late in the season) is going to win.

No matter how you put it, the only way I can see the Colt's 'DESERVING' an even line, would be playing @ Pitt, NE, Minn or NO.

I believe the line should have been -3.5 for the colts based on performance.

****HOWEVER**** Like I said, Baltimore always gets rollin' this time of a year, and a weak Colts secondary will help Balt's O put up numbers aswell, (Although vice-versa applies to this statement, not because Balt's secondary sucks, but because Its manning-wayne)

I believe this game is a gamble and could go either way, although the vegas line caters to public perception. I'm going to sit back and watch this controversy unfold, and people kick themselves, when there are much safer bets this week.

BOL

NFL Season: 53-43-4

I'm taking my annual NFL road trip this weekend to Baltimore.  Friends and I made the plans earlier this year.  All Giant fans, we never thought the Colts would be undefeated and I didnt think the Ravens would be struggling BUT I couldnt agree with your write more.

I pictured this game to be Colts -6.5, okay maybe hoping, so I could jump on Baltimore and enjoy a good underdog cover this Sunday.  Unfortunatly the Colts -1 has taken me by surprise.

I do think Vegas is praying on a public perception that the Baltimore defense is great when most of us unerstand its not what it once was BUT again, the potential for an impressive game is there.  Sunday is Baltimore's (and Ray Rays) opportunity to prove they can still step it up.  They will come to play.

Also, do not be fooled by Monday Nights game plan and the lack of points against the Browns.  Running up the score was never their goal, they wanted to work on their running game and control the clock, which kinda happend.  And dont over look that they did shut out a professional football team (professional..ehh debatable) but for the sake of arguement a shut out is impressive, especially Monday Night on the road.

The colts will also have to deal with the challangs of playing outdoors under expected inclemate weather (sucks for me too).  All and all, its tough to go undefeated and this could be a trap game.  I would have felt much better at +6.5 but now Ill be forced to lose big or enjoy a very very tough cover. 

GL  

Quote Originally Posted by shrimp1958:

Did U have 2 B so honest in your analysis....The D is not the same,but that being said they R 12 points from the fewest points allowed this year...As a Raven fan,I hope they win,their  season is on the line...5-5 will leave them with 2 much work 2 do...But I'll B cheering my ass off on Sunday afternoon 4 the Purple and Gold.....

LOl sorry I had to bro, I get so tired of explaining to people who give me crap about being a Ravens fan "what happened to  your Defense man?" I tell them, this was setup to fail a good 3 or 4 years ago. Ozzie and our D still get praise from the ridiculous invincible Defense from our Superbowl win in 2000. Little do outsiders know this defense has not been anywhere remotely close to that for quite some time now. A lot of that was just covered up with Rex Ryan who quite frankly is a genius like his Dad Buddy at making bad look good, and good look great!

Well Rex is gone now and the Truth hurts like a beeyatch, trust me, I wanted to win that Vikings game so bad, and the Pats and at least one of the Bengals games, but watching this Ravens d as a true fan is as Sad as Mike Tyson get beat up and humbled by the likes of Buster, holyfield and Lennox Lewis. It's just sad! Winning some money will help ease the pain though!

Haha you gotta love serb, A diehard colt fan, that said your boys are going down this sunday.

The Pats have elected 2 punt the football instead and the game will B resumed from there on Saturday afternoon.....

Quote Originally Posted by Serb89:





LOL Shrimp, that is fucking hilarious!

Guy calm down man, its only a sport for a start why do you get so worked up when people talk about there colts, does manning give you a slice of his paycheck??????? no, calm down, every post i read of yours is as if your angry...chill out. I cant say anything to convince you but all i know is the ravens are going 6-4 on sunday, end of.

BAL still covered the spread against CLE

IMO BAL line starts around -4 than the books figure that IND fans will jump all over it so they set it at -1.  Why.  First it increases BAL money that off sets the public side which we know is Manning, and it sets the bar for the IND side.  Cash flow.

heres something that you should keep an eye on,

https://www.covers.com/postingforum/post01/showmessage.aspx?spt=21&sub=100588852

At the end of the day Vegas is not crazy, but to think they don't get it wrong from time to time is insane. They are humans just like us folks, if I only have to use one example that should convince you of this game, just think a few weeks back when Vegas had the Ravens going into Cincy as a 3 point favorite, i'm a die hard Ravens fan and I couldn't get to my Sportsbook fast enough to bet BIG on the Bengals to win AND they were giving me points? WOW that was easy money, I bet with my brain and not my heart, I have NEVER missed a Ravens game and I can tell you all reading right now, we will NOT beat the colts and I will be shocked if we lose by less than 10 points, but regardless, we will NOT beat the Colts.

I am just waiting for the line when we go to Green Bay as I fully expect Rodgers to carve up our extremely pathetic Secondary, and hopefully this will convince Ozzie to draft some big physical CB's with speed to get this D back to it's dominant self, a true pass rushing DE wouldn't hurt either.

only problem is the ravens will win but your entitled to your opinion, guy the texans gave them a run for there money in there back yard the 49ers did aswell, and your saying at home we cant beat this team? you know what im done saying the ravens will win this, il be here on sunday afternoon after watching the ravens post game conference as coach harbaugh says "boy, 1 heck of a game right, we deserved that win".

Looks like i woke the serbian beast, bengals +6.5 was a trap????????????? who said that you doughnut, get off my page man with your dumbass talk,your just pissed that the patriots exposed HUMONGOUS holes in your team and your mad but its ok dude its only sport maybe get a girlfriend and you wont fantasize so much about peyton....ok dillhole

See now this is how a HUMAN BEING discusses and talks sports not like serb89, who gets angry everytime he sees the words mediocre team and colts in the same sentence LOL