The Value of Intuition

Going into the Cle. @ Det. gm. 5 matchup, I saw what basically everyone else saw, that it looked like a dead cinch home team type of series. Detroit was 5-1 at home this playoff season (4-2 ATS, 2-0 this series), and Cle. was 0-5 (0-5 ATS) on the road. Looked easy (maybe too easy), and I made the decision to take Detroit for 1.5 u, buying down to -2.5, something I don't typically do. Maybe that was the start of the tipoff right there - not having the confidence to lay the conventional spread.

Anyway, right after I placed the bet, I got this sick feeling. I had had this feeling twice before, once I heeded it, once I didn't. Both times, though, the feeling proved its merit. I was unwilling to potentially get caught with my pants down again. so I bought out of the bet and ate the juice. I really didn't feel that Cle. ML was worth the risk, so at that point I had no position on the game.

Then, as it got close to gametime, I recalled what one of the well respected cappers on here said about the Cavs winning - if the Cavs were to win, it would be an over. That clicked in my head, and when I saw that the Cavs ML/ov 210.5 parlay was paying +359, I started to feel some excitement (intuition at play again). And I made a smallish play on the parlay (although the payoff wasn't so small). So my intuition here guided me away from the loser and onto the winner.

This may be somewhat overstated, but it's been said that a gambler's intuition is his best tool. 

 

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@Stew Baker

 I love your write up @Stew Baker...unfortunately I did NOT have that intuition... 

@Asianhottie

 Unfortunately, I only wish that I had it more!

I had a tiny amount of intuition that game. Took Det -1 1st Q and won by a point. So I had about as little as possible. And luck helps too.

Did you have intuition when the Pistons were up by nine points with two minutes left and they had a 95% chance of winning the game at that point? The Pistons had a meltdown and gave away the game. Anyone that predicted that is not being honest. 

Intuition after the game has ended is diabolical.

they probably call this 'sports gamblers intuition'

Quite frankly, at that point, I was more hopeful than concerned. That being said, I have seen someone with strong intuitive powers call some incredible things.

Intuitive powers are often not tapped. Most people have more intuition than they realize. I'm not a highly intuitive person, but I do have flashes once in a while.

we always remember it more when it wins then when it loses.  I bet all of us has said man I wish I wouldve played that instead of this when our leans wins, but hardly anyone remembers or say I'm glad I didnt play that when a leans loses.

I'm familiar with the concept you're talking about. However, I'm not talking about leans or hunches. I made the bet on the Pistons and I got this sick feeling immediately after. Another time this same thing happened and I didn't heed it, to my chagrin. Another time, in 2024 in the playoffs, I laid -1 1/2 on Dallas at home against OKC. They were up big at the half, but out of the blue I got this sick feeling about the bet and I bought off of it. OKC came back and won SU.

These are distinct feelings and I remember all the times that they've come up, up till now, which is 3. If you've had strong intuitive flashes, you would know what I'm talking about. 

I had it a couple of times on dates. As soon as her clothes came off I instantly regretted coming in for another drink

@River_fish

 

@River_fish

At least you know what the feeling is like. Intuition would be if you had an inner signal before you went in for another drink!