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    All Forums | NBA Betting Forum

    NBA DEBACLE 2013 2012 - 56%

    «First Previous 789 ... 171819 Next Last»
    uclalumnus
    PGAromes82
    mikeypao
    stepback3
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    «First Previous 789 ... 171819 Next Last»
     
    uclalumnus
    uclalumnus
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    Posted: Dec. 11, 2013 - 4:45 PM ET #151

    Clippers under 197.  1 unit.  Looking again at the numbers and the Clips are 2-4 on the under when facing an Eastern Conf opponent and 0-4 on the under versus what I would consider the crap EC teams.
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    Clippers under 197.  1 unit.  Looking again at the numbers and the Clips are 2-4 on the under when facing an Eastern Conf opponent and 0-4 on the under versus what I would consider the crap EC teams.
     
    uclalumnus
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    Posted: Dec. 11, 2013 - 4:46 PM ET #152

    That should read EC opponent on the road
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    That should read EC opponent on the road
     
    PGAromes82
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    Posted: Dec. 11, 2013 - 4:49 PM ET #153

    Love the pick. Totally agree. I think Boston has trouble at times scoring and Clippers have slowed down their pace on the road. BOL
    “You don’t get what you hope for, you get what you work for!”
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    Love the pick. Totally agree. I think Boston has trouble at times scoring and Clippers have slowed down their pace on the road. BOL
     
    PGAromes82
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    Posted: Dec. 11, 2013 - 4:51 PM ET #154

    Problem with taking Minny under is that the Wolves can kill you again. They will cover the over by themselves. Just keep scoring. Philly might not even need to get to a 100. BOL
    “You don’t get what you hope for, you get what you work for!”
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    Problem with taking Minny under is that the Wolves can kill you again. They will cover the over by themselves. Just keep scoring. Philly might not even need to get to a 100. BOL
     
    uclalumnus
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    Posted: Dec. 11, 2013 - 6:03 PM ET #155

    PGA - completely aware but they are on a B2B.  Hopefully they get up early and cruise.  Philly is zero threat without MCW. 

    GL  

    Adding Pels under 204.  1 unit.  Line keeps moving up and Im hoping its after effects from the Minn Det game last night.  At 204, cant pass it up when last 3 since 2012 have failed to reach 200 (195, 191, 176).

    Pels -2.5  1 unit.  Detroit on a B2B and get this, Pels are 6-2 vs East Co. foes. with the one loss the 2nd game of the season at Orland and the other the season opener vs Indiana.  Two wins at home and 4 on the road!  Conversely, Detroit is 1-7 vs Western Conference teams.  OUCH.  
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    PGA - completely aware but they are on a B2B.  Hopefully they get up early and cruise.  Philly is zero threat without MCW. 

    GL  

    Adding Pels under 204.  1 unit.  Line keeps moving up and Im hoping its after effects from the Minn Det game last night.  At 204, cant pass it up when last 3 since 2012 have failed to reach 200 (195, 191, 176).

    Pels -2.5  1 unit.  Detroit on a B2B and get this, Pels are 6-2 vs East Co. foes. with the one loss the 2nd game of the season at Orland and the other the season opener vs Indiana.  Two wins at home and 4 on the road!  Conversely, Detroit is 1-7 vs Western Conference teams.  OUCH.  
     
    uclalumnus
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    Posted: Dec. 11, 2013 - 6:14 PM ET #156

    Grizz under 191.  1 unit.  Tony Allen out.  In addition to Poindexter, and Gasol.  Its up to Prince and Mike Miller to keep up with Westbrook and Durant?   This has 98-82 all over it.
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    Grizz under 191.  1 unit.  Tony Allen out.  In addition to Poindexter, and Gasol.  Its up to Prince and Mike Miller to keep up with Westbrook and Durant?   This has 98-82 all over it.
     
    uclalumnus
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    Posted: Dec. 11, 2013 - 11:37 PM ET #157

    WOW.  Thought the Minn bet was shot.

    Pulled out a 5-4 day despite misreading the Bulls game and the Pels being lame and allowing Detroit to go into OT.

    5-4 on the day for +2.6 units.

    Overall 88
    -75-3 for +13.2 units
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    WOW.  Thought the Minn bet was shot.

    Pulled out a 5-4 day despite misreading the Bulls game and the Pels being lame and allowing Detroit to go into OT.

    5-4 on the day for +2.6 units.

    Overall 88
    -75-3 for +13.2 units
     
    uclalumnus
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    Posted: Dec. 12, 2013 - 1:14 AM ET #158

    Clippers -2.5  1 unit.  Wary of the Clippers on a back to back but the Nets...they cant win three games in a row.  Not possible.  Man the Clippers have been on the road alot.  Looking forward to the first few home games where the line will be shorter and the O/U lower.

    Clippers under 199.5  1 unit.  Same reasons as today - Clippers slow it down on the road and well, the Nets cant score.

    Houston line dropping, will wait for a tighter line to take Portland.
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    Clippers -2.5  1 unit.  Wary of the Clippers on a back to back but the Nets...they cant win three games in a row.  Not possible.  Man the Clippers have been on the road alot.  Looking forward to the first few home games where the line will be shorter and the O/U lower.

    Clippers under 199.5  1 unit.  Same reasons as today - Clippers slow it down on the road and well, the Nets cant score.

    Houston line dropping, will wait for a tighter line to take Portland.
     
    uclalumnus
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    Posted: Dec. 12, 2013 - 2:14 AM ET #159

    Looking back on picks and found in multi unit picks, or picks I felt very strongly about, I had the following record so far

    For 2 unit: 14-10-1
    For 3 unit:  1-1
    For 4 unit:  2-0

    So overall 17-11-1 in large bets or 60% and +13.7 units.
    Small bets that made up the rest I was 71-64-2 or 53% and +.6 units.

    Going to keep track moving forward

    Another benefit was I had done my unit count wrong and was off by 1.1 unit.  Must have extra counted a loss.

    Overall still 88-75-3 but for +14.3 units.
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    Looking back on picks and found in multi unit picks, or picks I felt very strongly about, I had the following record so far

    For 2 unit: 14-10-1
    For 3 unit:  1-1
    For 4 unit:  2-0

    So overall 17-11-1 in large bets or 60% and +13.7 units.
    Small bets that made up the rest I was 71-64-2 or 53% and +.6 units.

    Going to keep track moving forward

    Another benefit was I had done my unit count wrong and was off by 1.1 unit.  Must have extra counted a loss.

    Overall still 88-75-3 but for +14.3 units.
     
    uclalumnus
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    Posted: Dec. 12, 2013 - 3:33 PM ET #160

    Clippers down to -1.5.  Against the grain again.

    Portland -3.  As user LakeTahoeKid pointed out Howard and the Rockets shot 55% and Howard hit 9-12 from the free throw line.  The Blazers shot only 41%.  I think that might be the difference this time.  1 unit
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    Clippers down to -1.5.  Against the grain again.

    Portland -3.  As user LakeTahoeKid pointed out Howard and the Rockets shot 55% and Howard hit 9-12 from the free throw line.  The Blazers shot only 41%.  I think that might be the difference this time.  1 unit
     
    PGAromes82
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    Posted: Dec. 12, 2013 - 3:37 PM ET #161

    Love Clips under and Portland over. Reasons in my thread. Portland overs at home have been cash cows. Their 3 point shooting is excellent at home. Thia game goes way over as long as Parsons start and Lin can come in off the bench. These 2 add to Houston who are limited in scoring options without them IMO. They have played horrible without Parsons in the lineup. BOL
    “You don’t get what you hope for, you get what you work for!”
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    Love Clips under and Portland over. Reasons in my thread. Portland overs at home have been cash cows. Their 3 point shooting is excellent at home. Thia game goes way over as long as Parsons start and Lin can come in off the bench. These 2 add to Houston who are limited in scoring options without them IMO. They have played horrible without Parsons in the lineup. BOL
     
    uclalumnus
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    Posted: Dec. 12, 2013 - 4:52 PM ET #162

    PGA - good info, thanks!  

    Gun shy of that 214 though...

    Going to add another unit of Clips -1.5  1 unit.  I mean, the Nets just won, probably are talking to themselves how good they were against the Celtics (a game they almost lost) and now CP3 and Blake and DJ and Collison destroy them with athleticism.

    So for record keeping it will be a 2 unit play.  If Clips make this messy and win by 2, I'll put it in as 1 L and 1 W.  Otherwise 1L or 1 W for 2 units.


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    PGA - good info, thanks!  

    Gun shy of that 214 though...

    Going to add another unit of Clips -1.5  1 unit.  I mean, the Nets just won, probably are talking to themselves how good they were against the Celtics (a game they almost lost) and now CP3 and Blake and DJ and Collison destroy them with athleticism.

    So for record keeping it will be a 2 unit play.  If Clips make this messy and win by 2, I'll put it in as 1 L and 1 W.  Otherwise 1L or 1 W for 2 units.


     
    uclalumnus
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    Posted: Dec. 13, 2013 - 12:04 AM ET #163

    OK, hate adding 2nd halves but cant pass on fading Howard in a close game like this.  Big game, time to choke big guy...

    Portland 2nd half -2.5  1 unit.  
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    OK, hate adding 2nd halves but cant pass on fading Howard in a close game like this.  Big game, time to choke big guy...

    Portland 2nd half -2.5  1 unit.  
     
    uclalumnus
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    Posted: Dec. 13, 2013 - 1:25 AM ET #164

    Well Howard didnt choke but the Blazers were just too much.

    Lost the big bet but got the other 3.

    3-1 for +.8 units.

    Overall now 91-76-3 for +14.0 units


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    Well Howard didnt choke but the Blazers were just too much.

    Lost the big bet but got the other 3.

    3-1 for +.8 units.

    Overall now 91-76-3 for +14.0 units


     
    mikeypao
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    Posted: Dec. 13, 2013 - 1:41 AM ET #165

    Do you keep track of your ATS & O/U bets?

    Seems like your O/U is pretty accurate.
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    Do you keep track of your ATS & O/U bets?

    Seems like your O/U is pretty accurate.
     
    uclalumnus
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    Posted: Dec. 13, 2013 - 2:15 AM ET #166

    Big card

    Pacers 183.5.  2 units.  Bobcats will probably look to just get it over with.  Chicago level of futility against this defense.  

    Pacers -12.  1 unit.  Pacers dont seem to take nights off either.

    76ers under 206.  1 unit.  No MCW?  No over.  Philly played Toronto to a 206 final on Nov 20th..with MCW.  I think things will be slower this go round.

    Celtics -3.  1 unit.  Fade the Knicks.  Boston blasted them at MSG.  Cant see the outcome changing that much when the game is at the Garden.  

    Memphis under 193.5  1 unit.  This total is inflated because the Pels and Grizzlies last games went high.  Last four between them have been no higher that 181.  

    OKC -12.  1 unit.  Look out Slowbe, OKC about to wreck you.  Just looked terrible out of sync and slow so far.  Kobe can still shoot but Westbrook may run backwards around him.  Friday night in OKC, crown will be going nuts.

    Will take Pacers and Kings 1st halves when available.
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    Big card

    Pacers 183.5.  2 units.  Bobcats will probably look to just get it over with.  Chicago level of futility against this defense.  

    Pacers -12.  1 unit.  Pacers dont seem to take nights off either.

    76ers under 206.  1 unit.  No MCW?  No over.  Philly played Toronto to a 206 final on Nov 20th..with MCW.  I think things will be slower this go round.

    Celtics -3.  1 unit.  Fade the Knicks.  Boston blasted them at MSG.  Cant see the outcome changing that much when the game is at the Garden.  

    Memphis under 193.5  1 unit.  This total is inflated because the Pels and Grizzlies last games went high.  Last four between them have been no higher that 181.  

    OKC -12.  1 unit.  Look out Slowbe, OKC about to wreck you.  Just looked terrible out of sync and slow so far.  Kobe can still shoot but Westbrook may run backwards around him.  Friday night in OKC, crown will be going nuts.

    Will take Pacers and Kings 1st halves when available.
     
    uclalumnus
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    Posted: Dec. 13, 2013 - 2:16 AM ET #167

    Mikeypao - hadnt really, let me compile...
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    Mikeypao - hadnt really, let me compile...
     
    uclalumnus
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    Posted: Dec. 13, 2013 - 3:03 AM ET #168

    Mikeypao - looks like you were on the money.  

    PS record 49-50-1 - 49.5%
    O/U record 42-26-2 - 61%
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    Mikeypao - looks like you were on the money.  

    PS record 49-50-1 - 49.5%
    O/U record 42-26-2 - 61%
     
    stepback3
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    Posted: Dec. 13, 2013 - 3:56 AM ET #169

    nice picks! leaning also with the Pacers and Mem under, Pacers and OKC Spread. GL  
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    nice picks! leaning also with the Pacers and Mem under, Pacers and OKC Spread. GL  
     
    uclalumnus
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    Posted: Dec. 13, 2013 - 11:11 AM ET #170

    Going to catch up unit bets as well so its from the same starting point.

    For 1 unit: 74-64-2 +3.6
    For 2 unit: 14-11-1 +3.8
    For 3 unit:  1-1 -.3
    For 4 unit:  2-0 +8

    PS record 49-50-1
    O/U record 42-26-2 

    Also I didnt add last nights winnings up correctly, should have been +14.3 to +15.1

    Overall still 88-75-3 but for +15.1 units.

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    Going to catch up unit bets as well so its from the same starting point.

    For 1 unit: 74-64-2 +3.6
    For 2 unit: 14-11-1 +3.8
    For 3 unit:  1-1 -.3
    For 4 unit:  2-0 +8

    PS record 49-50-1
    O/U record 42-26-2 

    Also I didnt add last nights winnings up correctly, should have been +14.3 to +15.1

    Overall still 88-75-3 but for +15.1 units.

     
    uclalumnus
    uclalumnus
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    Posted: Dec. 13, 2013 - 11:43 AM ET #171

    Adding Knicks under 191.  1 unit.  Not sure how I missed that.  Despite the Boston crush a thon in NY, the game still was only 187.  Most games between the two go under and Im sure the Knicks' minds will be on getting out of Boston for some late night clubbing back in NY, they dont play again until Monday.
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    Adding Knicks under 191.  1 unit.  Not sure how I missed that.  Despite the Boston crush a thon in NY, the game still was only 187.  Most games between the two go under and Im sure the Knicks' minds will be on getting out of Boston for some late night clubbing back in NY, they dont play again until Monday.
     
    Buquim
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    Posted: Dec. 13, 2013 - 12:06 PM ET #172

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    uclalumnus
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    Posted: Dec. 13, 2013 - 5:34 PM ET #173

    Buquim - lets get it!  

    Adding Nuggets -10.5.  1 unit.  Ty Lawson back so start your engines.  Run, run, run time.

    Nuggets over 200.5  1 unit.  Just hoping that the Jazz keep up.  Hoping for a 120-98 blowout.  Home fans deserve it as the Nuggets haven't been home in almost a month.



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    Buquim - lets get it!  

    Adding Nuggets -10.5.  1 unit.  Ty Lawson back so start your engines.  Run, run, run time.

    Nuggets over 200.5  1 unit.  Just hoping that the Jazz keep up.  Hoping for a 120-98 blowout.  Home fans deserve it as the Nuggets haven't been home in almost a month.



     
    PGAromes82
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    Posted: Dec. 13, 2013 - 6:03 PM ET #174

    Not sure I agree with Nuggets -10.5. Jazz have been playing better lately and I dont think the Nuggets are really that good. DD is a big spread for this team to cover. Its kinf of like that Minny -13 spread the other night. I liked Minny but they probably shouldnt be favored by that much at any time. All your other plays look solid. BOL
    “You don’t get what you hope for, you get what you work for!”
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    Not sure I agree with Nuggets -10.5. Jazz have been playing better lately and I dont think the Nuggets are really that good. DD is a big spread for this team to cover. Its kinf of like that Minny -13 spread the other night. I liked Minny but they probably shouldnt be favored by that much at any time. All your other plays look solid. BOL
     
     
    uclalumnus
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    Posted: Dec. 13, 2013 - 6:05 PM ET #175

    One more, this one thanks to FunkFreaker for bringing it to my attention.

    Hawks -5.5  1 unit.  Looking it over, dont see how the home team doesnt cover the 3 possession spread.  Washington still without Beal and the Hawks and Wizards have mirror image records at home and on the road.  If Atlanta can put up enough of a fight, the Wizards will be just looking forward to that night out at Atlanta strip clubs.

    10 plays....
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    One more, this one thanks to FunkFreaker for bringing it to my attention.

    Hawks -5.5  1 unit.  Looking it over, dont see how the home team doesnt cover the 3 possession spread.  Washington still without Beal and the Hawks and Wizards have mirror image records at home and on the road.  If Atlanta can put up enough of a fight, the Wizards will be just looking forward to that night out at Atlanta strip clubs.

    10 plays....
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