Golden state is 7-4-1(ATS) without Curry this season.
What they lose in offense gain on defense. G.P. playing more minutes with Moody rotating to help limited Conley/Edwards to 9-27 shooting. B.Hield Managed to score 24 points last game with his average 11 per game last 10. Next man up on offense. Butler 3pts above his average, but he becomes more of a facilitator moving ball and scoring when opportunity is there...
The line reflects a 2.5 or 3 point advantage G.S. with Curry out. The rust did show for Minny the first game and it showed, but the defensive tenacity GS put on Minny was the reason they won the game.
I am still thinking 10.5 is a lot of points and it continues to go up.
Good luck what ever you all decide tomorrow.
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
Golden state is 7-4-1(ATS) without Curry this season.
What they lose in offense gain on defense. G.P. playing more minutes with Moody rotating to help limited Conley/Edwards to 9-27 shooting. B.Hield Managed to score 24 points last game with his average 11 per game last 10. Next man up on offense. Butler 3pts above his average, but he becomes more of a facilitator moving ball and scoring when opportunity is there...
The line reflects a 2.5 or 3 point advantage G.S. with Curry out. The rust did show for Minny the first game and it showed, but the defensive tenacity GS put on Minny was the reason they won the game.
I am still thinking 10.5 is a lot of points and it continues to go up.
I haven’t been doing this as long as most with the NBA (playoffs) but I can’t remember spreads being in the double digits like this consistently…all a bit inflated.
Play the game. Don’t let the game play you.
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I haven’t been doing this as long as most with the NBA (playoffs) but I can’t remember spreads being in the double digits like this consistently…all a bit inflated.
Finch called out 23 year old Edwards on his leadership. His body language in bad shooting games certainly supports that, but he is no Kobe winning 3 rings by 23. Minny makes a better effort tonight with sharper shooting and not so rusty, but GS defense keeps this within the number. Prop Hield over 15.5.
BOL
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Golden State +10.5
Finch called out 23 year old Edwards on his leadership. His body language in bad shooting games certainly supports that, but he is no Kobe winning 3 rings by 23. Minny makes a better effort tonight with sharper shooting and not so rusty, but GS defense keeps this within the number. Prop Hield over 15.5.
Yes, seems inflated but books with analytics are just trying to get even money.
Just some stats I came across with double digit favs during the NBA playoffs historically. In the second round, the fav covers about 50 percent of the time in 78 games. Tonight, bettors are expecting a bounceback with Minny.
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@MrFreedo
Yes, seems inflated but books with analytics are just trying to get even money.
Just some stats I came across with double digit favs during the NBA playoffs historically. In the second round, the fav covers about 50 percent of the time in 78 games. Tonight, bettors are expecting a bounceback with Minny.
@MrFreedo Yes, seems inflated but books with analytics are just trying to get even money. Just some stats I came across with double digit favs during the NBA playoffs historically. In the second round, the fav covers about 50 percent of the time in 78 games. Tonight, bettors are expecting a bounceback with Minny.
I thought the public was taking the points though
It's all probabilities
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Quote Originally Posted by tweets50:
@MrFreedo Yes, seems inflated but books with analytics are just trying to get even money. Just some stats I came across with double digit favs during the NBA playoffs historically. In the second round, the fav covers about 50 percent of the time in 78 games. Tonight, bettors are expecting a bounceback with Minny.
Quote Originally Posted by tweets50: @MrFreedo Yes, seems inflated but books with analytics are just trying to get even money. Just some stats I came across with double digit favs during the NBA playoffs historically. In the second round, the fav covers about 50 percent of the time in 78 games. Tonight, bettors are expecting a bounceback with Minny.I thought the public was taking the points though
In this particular game the "public" meaning ticket count is about 76 percent. However the money splits seem to even it out at 45/55 split suggesting sharp money is on Minny tonight.
Historically it's a 50/50 split on Favs covering double digit spreads in the second round playoff(only).
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Quote Originally Posted by SPark1:
Quote Originally Posted by tweets50: @MrFreedo Yes, seems inflated but books with analytics are just trying to get even money. Just some stats I came across with double digit favs during the NBA playoffs historically. In the second round, the fav covers about 50 percent of the time in 78 games. Tonight, bettors are expecting a bounceback with Minny.I thought the public was taking the points though
In this particular game the "public" meaning ticket count is about 76 percent. However the money splits seem to even it out at 45/55 split suggesting sharp money is on Minny tonight.
Historically it's a 50/50 split on Favs covering double digit spreads in the second round playoff(only).
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