Adding one more for tonight.
Rockets -10 [1u]
Yeah Hornets are melting down. I made a small play on Bulls money line in 3rd quarter to hedge. Hopefully I hit both. Got them at +155 and I have Hornets +4.5.
I had Bucks as well. Was never in doubt.
Yeah Hornets are melting down. I made a small play on Bulls money line in 3rd quarter to hedge. Hopefully I hit both. Got them at +155 and I have Hornets +4.5.
I had Bucks as well. Was never in doubt.
Didn't think Pistons were going to contribute to the total as much as they did. Was lucky to hit that parlay. I was looking for Bucks to hit over 130. BOL, brother. It could be a pretty decent night after all.
Didn't think Pistons were going to contribute to the total as much as they did. Was lucky to hit that parlay. I was looking for Bucks to hit over 130. BOL, brother. It could be a pretty decent night after all.
Should have left well enough alone. Thought I could hit a middle there but Bulls cooled down. I have had luck hitting middles like that before the break.
I am really perplexed by this Grizzlies Kings game. I have been riding the Grizzlies but that line was way too fishy for me.
Gonna tail you on Rockets for a sweat.
Good luck on both plays.
Should have left well enough alone. Thought I could hit a middle there but Bulls cooled down. I have had luck hitting middles like that before the break.
I am really perplexed by this Grizzlies Kings game. I have been riding the Grizzlies but that line was way too fishy for me.
Gonna tail you on Rockets for a sweat.
Good luck on both plays.
You as well. This Nets vs Sixers showing some life. Big quarter may save my over. Kings have been pretty unpredictable lately, but I have Kings scoring around 105 and up to 112 if they're lucky. Grizzlies have an average defense with a strong offense and incredibly fast pace. (105.5 vs 100.5). This game depends strictly on who controls the pace. I'm hoping that this break brings with it some newfound energy and gets these players running hard.
For instance, look at the Heat game. The Heat has a pace of 100.2 vs Atlanta 105.8. Atlanta controlled the game and that's why the score was so high.
I'm definitely looking for the same type of game for the Grizzlies.
You as well. This Nets vs Sixers showing some life. Big quarter may save my over. Kings have been pretty unpredictable lately, but I have Kings scoring around 105 and up to 112 if they're lucky. Grizzlies have an average defense with a strong offense and incredibly fast pace. (105.5 vs 100.5). This game depends strictly on who controls the pace. I'm hoping that this break brings with it some newfound energy and gets these players running hard.
For instance, look at the Heat game. The Heat has a pace of 100.2 vs Atlanta 105.8. Atlanta controlled the game and that's why the score was so high.
I'm definitely looking for the same type of game for the Grizzlies.
Yeah Miracling2 had a big play in on the under on this game. I couldn't touch that with a ten foot pole. I am happy just to watch this game. I like this Grizzlies team. They are gonna be a threat in a couple years I think.
Yeah Miracling2 had a big play in on the under on this game. I couldn't touch that with a ten foot pole. I am happy just to watch this game. I like this Grizzlies team. They are gonna be a threat in a couple years I think.
Mksniper, you were right to stay away from the Memphis game, but I did learn something new today which was very interesting. The regression was stacked very high against Kings (high 3-pointers pct, very few turnovers compared to average turnover per game stat). Rebounds which usually stays consistent throughout the game, Memphis had 11 more than Sac at halftime...
So, I wagered 1u on the 2nd half expecting a regression. It worked nicely, and I see now that the 3-point% regressed to 48% by the end of the game.
This was just a test, but perhaps this can work out to be a good strategy... we'll have to see.
Mksniper, you were right to stay away from the Memphis game, but I did learn something new today which was very interesting. The regression was stacked very high against Kings (high 3-pointers pct, very few turnovers compared to average turnover per game stat). Rebounds which usually stays consistent throughout the game, Memphis had 11 more than Sac at halftime...
So, I wagered 1u on the 2nd half expecting a regression. It worked nicely, and I see now that the 3-point% regressed to 48% by the end of the game.
This was just a test, but perhaps this can work out to be a good strategy... we'll have to see.
Yeah I tried to warn you. My numbers also had me making a play on Memphis yesterday but I have learned over the years that when the dessert hangs a line like that on you it's best to stay away. I had Memphis -3 and it opened at Kings -1 I believe. Just didn't feel right. Not to mention alot of talk on here about Memphis ML being a "Lock".
Still a winning day for you I believe.
Tonight's card looks much better but we shall see how that goes.
Yeah I tried to warn you. My numbers also had me making a play on Memphis yesterday but I have learned over the years that when the dessert hangs a line like that on you it's best to stay away. I had Memphis -3 and it opened at Kings -1 I believe. Just didn't feel right. Not to mention alot of talk on here about Memphis ML being a "Lock".
Still a winning day for you I believe.
Tonight's card looks much better but we shall see how that goes.
Let's discuss our lines here before finalizing wagers. I think my analysis with your intuition can synergize into something quite useful. As for Mem vs Chi, I will have to look into it further, but I think the holes in Bulls' roster did them in. I will have to look out for those situations as well. And yes, it was a profitable day for me.
Let's discuss our lines here before finalizing wagers. I think my analysis with your intuition can synergize into something quite useful. As for Mem vs Chi, I will have to look into it further, but I think the holes in Bulls' roster did them in. I will have to look out for those situations as well. And yes, it was a profitable day for me.
Cha vs Chi*...
The Memphis vs Kings game was a coin toss. My simulation had Grizzlies blowing out the Kings, but Kings were hot yesterday. Two of their players were top 5 3-point shots last night... it was an outlier. Vegas couldn't have known that.
Cha vs Chi*...
The Memphis vs Kings game was a coin toss. My simulation had Grizzlies blowing out the Kings, but Kings were hot yesterday. Two of their players were top 5 3-point shots last night... it was an outlier. Vegas couldn't have known that.
Let's discuss our lines here before finalizing wagers. I think my analysis with your intuition can synergize into something quite useful. As for Mem vs Chi, I will have to look into it further, but I think the holes in Bulls' roster did them in. I will have to look out for those situations as well. And yes, it was a profitable day for me.
I have made a 0.5 unit play on Pelicans -4.5 as of now. Lillard out and he is the meat and bones of that team. They do not perform well with him in games unless he is going off for 35+ points. Pelicans are 3-0 ATS and SU this year against Blazers. I understand the logic of teams stepping up with there star out but I don't think the Blazers have the talent to hang here.
Let's discuss our lines here before finalizing wagers. I think my analysis with your intuition can synergize into something quite useful. As for Mem vs Chi, I will have to look into it further, but I think the holes in Bulls' roster did them in. I will have to look out for those situations as well. And yes, it was a profitable day for me.
I have made a 0.5 unit play on Pelicans -4.5 as of now. Lillard out and he is the meat and bones of that team. They do not perform well with him in games unless he is going off for 35+ points. Pelicans are 3-0 ATS and SU this year against Blazers. I understand the logic of teams stepping up with there star out but I don't think the Blazers have the talent to hang here.
With all of that being said this does look like the "trap" line of the day bench only 0.5 units on the play as of now. I believe that this line will be closer to -6 by gametime potentially with the chance for a middle of it goes to -6.5 or higher.
With all of that being said this does look like the "trap" line of the day bench only 0.5 units on the play as of now. I believe that this line will be closer to -6 by gametime potentially with the chance for a middle of it goes to -6.5 or higher.
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