If the game was a pure shoot-out, Cavs would take it. Unless the Wizards just feeds Bradley Beal all night.
So far so good...
Pacers -6.5 [1u]
Celtics -7 [2u]
Pelicans -5 [1u]
Spurs/Jazz Game Total Over 224 [1u]
Mavericks -4 [1u]
Suns/Raptors Game Total Over 229 [1u] (thanks for the idea Vladv26)
I'm also adding some parlays into the mix today
Mavericks -4 + Pelicans -5.5 [1u]
Mavericks -7 + Celtics -7.5 + Pelicans -5.5 [0.5u]
So far so good...
Pacers -6.5 [1u]
Celtics -7 [2u]
Pelicans -5 [1u]
Spurs/Jazz Game Total Over 224 [1u]
Mavericks -4 [1u]
Suns/Raptors Game Total Over 229 [1u] (thanks for the idea Vladv26)
I'm also adding some parlays into the mix today
Mavericks -4 + Pelicans -5.5 [1u]
Mavericks -7 + Celtics -7.5 + Pelicans -5.5 [0.5u]
I guess Cavs were a play after all.
Yeah I am 1 - 1 headed into the Pelicans game. Should have sat out the Raptors game. Thought the sun's has some value. They were down 6 at a point in the 4th.
Good luck.
Hope you hedged abit.
I guess Cavs were a play after all.
Yeah I am 1 - 1 headed into the Pelicans game. Should have sat out the Raptors game. Thought the sun's has some value. They were down 6 at a point in the 4th.
Good luck.
Hope you hedged abit.
Hedged? I stayed away from the Raptors game since we were on opposite sides. If Pels win cover, I'll be hitting 4 parlays... crossing my fingers
Hedged? I stayed away from the Raptors game since we were on opposite sides. If Pels win cover, I'll be hitting 4 parlays... crossing my fingers
NO Pelicans going to win by 20 points tonight
1Q, 2nd Q, 1H, -4FG, ML and parlay and teased them with the Celtics. I am balls deep into the Pelicans this evening.
NO Pelicans going to win by 20 points tonight
1Q, 2nd Q, 1H, -4FG, ML and parlay and teased them with the Celtics. I am balls deep into the Pelicans this evening.
I hope you hedged on all your parlays brother with Blazers ****
I hope you hedged on all your parlays brother with Blazers ****
Nope... it's fine. I'll eventually get so good that hedges would just be a cut into my profit margin. This is just practice.
Nope... it's fine. I'll eventually get so good that hedges would just be a cut into my profit margin. This is just practice.
So far so good...
Pacers -6.5 [1u]
Celtics -7 [2u]
Pelicans -5 [1u]
Spurs/Jazz Game Total Over 224 [1u]
Mavericks -4 [1u]
Suns/Raptors Game Total Over 229 [1u] (thanks for the idea Vladv26)
I'm also adding some parlays into the mix today
Mavericks -4 + Pelicans -5.5 [1u]
Mavericks -7 + Celtics -7.5 + Pelicans -5.5 [0.5u]
So far so good...
Pacers -6.5 [1u]
Celtics -7 [2u]
Pelicans -5 [1u]
Spurs/Jazz Game Total Over 224 [1u]
Mavericks -4 [1u]
Suns/Raptors Game Total Over 229 [1u] (thanks for the idea Vladv26)
I'm also adding some parlays into the mix today
Mavericks -4 + Pelicans -5.5 [1u]
Mavericks -7 + Celtics -7.5 + Pelicans -5.5 [0.5u]
Great feeling to wake up to a nice healthy balance in the account
Pacers -6.5 [1u]
Celtics -7 [2u]
Pelicans -5 [1u]
Spurs/Jazz Game Total Over 224 [1u]
Mavericks -4 [1u]
Suns/Raptors Game Total Over 229 [1u]
Parlays:
Mavericks -4 + Pelicans -5.5 [1u]
Mavericks -7 + Celtics -7.5 + Pelicans -5.5 [0.5u]
Official Record: 16-10 +9.85u
Great feeling to wake up to a nice healthy balance in the account
Pacers -6.5 [1u]
Celtics -7 [2u]
Pelicans -5 [1u]
Spurs/Jazz Game Total Over 224 [1u]
Mavericks -4 [1u]
Suns/Raptors Game Total Over 229 [1u]
Parlays:
Mavericks -4 + Pelicans -5.5 [1u]
Mavericks -7 + Celtics -7.5 + Pelicans -5.5 [0.5u]
Official Record: 16-10 +9.85u
Nice work froggy. Looking forward to your saturday plays. GL
Nice work froggy. Looking forward to your saturday plays. GL
It's the 3rd day back since all-star break. Even if teams haven't played any games yet, I'm sure they're getting a lot of practice, shaking off the rust in their joints...
I think I'll list all the games, post my commentary and then post my leans and whether I'm taking a line or not, followed by a recap on my picks. Whether this format continues, we'll see.
As always, following my picks is completely your choice. I've only been doing this for 5 weeks, so heed with caution.
Kings @ Clippers
Kings returned with great excitement right off the bat two nights ago against the Grizzlies trumping them (129-124). They were on fire that night. This is Clippers' first game back from the All-Star break, but right before their break, they were defeated in a very ugly game versus the Twolves (115-142). A common trend I see is this: teams coming back from the all-star break are sluggish in the 1Q and warmed up by the 2nd or 3rd. I feel like we'll see that in the Clips tonight and the Kings are already warmed up and performing well.
Kings are getting +10 and I'm thinking this hot vs cold disparity is a good bet.
Pick: Kings +10 [1u]
Nets @ Hornets
The line doesn't make a whole lot of sense, but I'll bite. Nets are only laying -3.5. It smells like a trap, but I'm also thinking that the low score expectations are what's causing a contracted line which is probably a normal occurrence. I also think they're giving Hornets too much credit for their win against Bulls.
Pick: Nets -3.5 [1u]
Mavericks @ Hawks
Man oh man! This game is going to be explosive! I really want to take the Hawks here, but 6 points isn't enough of a cushion and the Doncic + Porzingis combo is giving me the shakes. Even if Mavs are playing their 2nd game in their back-to-back, I still fear them. However, I'm loving Trae's explosive performance. In these moments, I wish the over/under was lower, but 239 feels fair. I'll be buying a point just for safety.
Pick: Over 238 [1u]
Suns @ Bulls
This one is tricky. I know that the general public is leaning Suns here, but I don't buy it. Bulls absolutely do not want to start the 2nd half of the season with two consecutive losses, especially at home (again). The Suns played a tough match the night before and lost. Both teams are warmed up, but I think the Suns assumed their match against the Bulls would be easy and remain cocky. Meanwhile, I'm thinking that the Bulls are building up on their motivation to bring home this win. Bulls are getting +2 pts here, but for the added risk, I would take the money line for value.
Pick: Bulls ML [1u]
Cavs @ Heat
This sucks! If Cavs were rested, I would take Cavs and their 13 points. Now, I think there's no play here because Heat wants a win here bad, and they're at home. This will be a ATS thin value scenario and I'm not comfortable taking a stand on this one.
76ers @ Bucks
Bucks only laying 8.5 points here. Yes, please. Even if this is considered a revenge game, Bucks are at home and both teams are warmed up.
Pick: Bucks -8.5 [1u]
Rockets @ Jazz
Jazz team is sick right now, along with Golden State, Knicks, and a few others. I'm fading Jazz as long as the lines don't get ridiculous. Plus, we're getting 2 points.
Pick: Rockets +2 [1u]
Picks:
Kings +10 [1u]
Nets -3.5 [1u]
Mavericks @ Hawks Over 238 [1u]
Bulls ML [1u]
Bucks -8.5 [1u]
Rockets +2 [1u]
Parlays
(Kings +10) + (Rockets +2) + (Nets -3.5) [1u]
It's the 3rd day back since all-star break. Even if teams haven't played any games yet, I'm sure they're getting a lot of practice, shaking off the rust in their joints...
I think I'll list all the games, post my commentary and then post my leans and whether I'm taking a line or not, followed by a recap on my picks. Whether this format continues, we'll see.
As always, following my picks is completely your choice. I've only been doing this for 5 weeks, so heed with caution.
Kings @ Clippers
Kings returned with great excitement right off the bat two nights ago against the Grizzlies trumping them (129-124). They were on fire that night. This is Clippers' first game back from the All-Star break, but right before their break, they were defeated in a very ugly game versus the Twolves (115-142). A common trend I see is this: teams coming back from the all-star break are sluggish in the 1Q and warmed up by the 2nd or 3rd. I feel like we'll see that in the Clips tonight and the Kings are already warmed up and performing well.
Kings are getting +10 and I'm thinking this hot vs cold disparity is a good bet.
Pick: Kings +10 [1u]
Nets @ Hornets
The line doesn't make a whole lot of sense, but I'll bite. Nets are only laying -3.5. It smells like a trap, but I'm also thinking that the low score expectations are what's causing a contracted line which is probably a normal occurrence. I also think they're giving Hornets too much credit for their win against Bulls.
Pick: Nets -3.5 [1u]
Mavericks @ Hawks
Man oh man! This game is going to be explosive! I really want to take the Hawks here, but 6 points isn't enough of a cushion and the Doncic + Porzingis combo is giving me the shakes. Even if Mavs are playing their 2nd game in their back-to-back, I still fear them. However, I'm loving Trae's explosive performance. In these moments, I wish the over/under was lower, but 239 feels fair. I'll be buying a point just for safety.
Pick: Over 238 [1u]
Suns @ Bulls
This one is tricky. I know that the general public is leaning Suns here, but I don't buy it. Bulls absolutely do not want to start the 2nd half of the season with two consecutive losses, especially at home (again). The Suns played a tough match the night before and lost. Both teams are warmed up, but I think the Suns assumed their match against the Bulls would be easy and remain cocky. Meanwhile, I'm thinking that the Bulls are building up on their motivation to bring home this win. Bulls are getting +2 pts here, but for the added risk, I would take the money line for value.
Pick: Bulls ML [1u]
Cavs @ Heat
This sucks! If Cavs were rested, I would take Cavs and their 13 points. Now, I think there's no play here because Heat wants a win here bad, and they're at home. This will be a ATS thin value scenario and I'm not comfortable taking a stand on this one.
76ers @ Bucks
Bucks only laying 8.5 points here. Yes, please. Even if this is considered a revenge game, Bucks are at home and both teams are warmed up.
Pick: Bucks -8.5 [1u]
Rockets @ Jazz
Jazz team is sick right now, along with Golden State, Knicks, and a few others. I'm fading Jazz as long as the lines don't get ridiculous. Plus, we're getting 2 points.
Pick: Rockets +2 [1u]
Picks:
Kings +10 [1u]
Nets -3.5 [1u]
Mavericks @ Hawks Over 238 [1u]
Bulls ML [1u]
Bucks -8.5 [1u]
Rockets +2 [1u]
Parlays
(Kings +10) + (Rockets +2) + (Nets -3.5) [1u]
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