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    All Forums | NBA Betting Forum

    DET + 3.5 @ SAS Medium Write up

    Rolexsports
    lik122
    BornToDie
    Jars
    umgmu
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    Rolexsports
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    Posted: Mar. 5, 2026 - 7:14 PM ET #1

    Record stands @ 2-0 + 5,000. This play would be larger because, I think Detroit wins SU or loses by 1 pt. My raw numbers have the spurs by - 1.285 so I’m getting more than 2 additional pts added value. Teams returning home after an extended road trip of 5 or more games are a putrid 48-60 ATS record ( 44.4 % ) since 2022/2023 seasons. Detroit hasn’t lost back to back games since 12/28/25. Bick is 25-18 ATS ( 58 % ) when facing a team he lost to in the previous matchup. Detroit are 5-1 ATS this season when facing a team they previously lost to. SAS won the first game by DD, that game Isaiah Stewart was out. Tonight Harrison Barnes is out for SA, both of these players are vital within the rotation. Detroit are 18-13 ATS vs teams with a winning record. Detroit are 7-0 SU & ATS as a road dog this season. Detroit are the # 1 team in forcing TO’s this season, which will give us extra possessions & pts tonight. Detroit’s defensive rating is #2, where SAS are #4. Detroits rating system is + 7.26, whereas SA is + 6.70, when I see this I know I’m in the right direction. SAS are a bottom 10 offense from beyond the arc, they score in the paint very well but, Detroit plays similar to a pack line defense, where they flood you defensively when you get to close to the rim. Detroit is the # 1 team in assist / TO ratio @ 1.456 , whereas SA are 20th @ 1.681, the lower the number the better rating. Detroit scores on average 56.6 pts in the paint , where as SA score 50.9 pts there. I’m old school, I like teams that drive the ball for higher % shots, and higher rates of getting those free pts at the line. Opponents FG % Detroit , 51.5 % , SAS 52.2%. Any one that reads my post or follow my plays no I’m a huge component of teams that play physically and not afraid of playing defense. The only reason this isn’t a large play, is because SA ranks right around 5 to 8 spots higher in SOS, which is one of my pet peeves. Give me Motown + 3.5 2200/2000 GL to all on Detroit tonight. 

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    Record stands @ 2-0 + 5,000. This play would be larger because, I think Detroit wins SU or loses by 1 pt. My raw numbers have the spurs by - 1.285 so I’m getting more than 2 additional pts added value. Teams returning home after an extended road trip of 5 or more games are a putrid 48-60 ATS record ( 44.4 % ) since 2022/2023 seasons. Detroit hasn’t lost back to back games since 12/28/25. Bick is 25-18 ATS ( 58 % ) when facing a team he lost to in the previous matchup. Detroit are 5-1 ATS this season when facing a team they previously lost to. SAS won the first game by DD, that game Isaiah Stewart was out. Tonight Harrison Barnes is out for SA, both of these players are vital within the rotation. Detroit are 18-13 ATS vs teams with a winning record. Detroit are 7-0 SU & ATS as a road dog this season. Detroit are the # 1 team in forcing TO’s this season, which will give us extra possessions & pts tonight. Detroit’s defensive rating is #2, where SAS are #4. Detroits rating system is + 7.26, whereas SA is + 6.70, when I see this I know I’m in the right direction. SAS are a bottom 10 offense from beyond the arc, they score in the paint very well but, Detroit plays similar to a pack line defense, where they flood you defensively when you get to close to the rim. Detroit is the # 1 team in assist / TO ratio @ 1.456 , whereas SA are 20th @ 1.681, the lower the number the better rating. Detroit scores on average 56.6 pts in the paint , where as SA score 50.9 pts there. I’m old school, I like teams that drive the ball for higher % shots, and higher rates of getting those free pts at the line. Opponents FG % Detroit , 51.5 % , SAS 52.2%. Any one that reads my post or follow my plays no I’m a huge component of teams that play physically and not afraid of playing defense. The only reason this isn’t a large play, is because SA ranks right around 5 to 8 spots higher in SOS, which is one of my pet peeves. Give me Motown + 3.5 2200/2000 GL to all on Detroit tonight. 

     
    lik122
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    Posted: Mar. 5, 2026 - 7:15 PM ET #2

    Let’s gooooooan_fight

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    Let’s gooooooan_fight

     
    BornToDie
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    Posted: Mar. 5, 2026 - 7:16 PM ET #3

    clover

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    clover

     
    Jars
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    Posted: Mar. 5, 2026 - 7:22 PM ET #4

     

    BOL tonight!  an_cheers

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    BOL tonight!  an_cheers

     
    umgmu
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    Posted: Mar. 5, 2026 - 7:27 PM ET #5

    Bol RSan_cheers.

    Very thorough analysis.

    The physicality can't be understated.

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    Bol RSan_cheers.

    Very thorough analysis.

    The physicality can't be understated.

     
    Rolexsports
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    Posted: Mar. 5, 2026 - 7:35 PM ET #6

    @umgmu

     No doubt about that homie..

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    @umgmu

     No doubt about that homie..

     
    lik122
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    Posted: Mar. 5, 2026 - 9:31 PM ET #7

    The Spurs are too good an_timeout

    Lets get him back tomorrow peace_5

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    The Spurs are too good an_timeout

    Lets get him back tomorrow peace_5

     
    lik122
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    Posted: Mar. 5, 2026 - 10:05 PM ET #8

    Down 8 only , let’s go pistonan_blowhorns 

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    Down 8 only , let’s go pistonan_blowhorns 

     
     
    bigred84
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    Posted: Mar. 6, 2026 - 12:43 AM ET #9

    great ink....peace_5

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    great ink....peace_5

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