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CrazyMilkMan's PBA Season 37 Betting Thread

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Posts: 4684

doy15

Captain

Joined: Mar, 2004

Posts: 8055

Posted: Oct. 11, 2011 - 7:32 AM ET #726

Quote Originally Posted by gomburzago:

It's all about public perception. Petron was a 4pt underdog due to the assumption that they will be limited by their depleted roster while Bmeg has its lineup almost complete - players coming back from injuries. That line(or I should say perception) was inaccurate as shown by the result - Petron not just covering but winning the game.

If it is Alaska +6, as you are predicting, I'll jump on it

Public perception?

I don't think the line was inaccurate. It's simply a matter of the dog beating the favorite. If they were to cross paths again, I'm pretty sure Petron would be 3-4 point dogs once again.

Good luck. I like BMEG even if at -9.5

gomburzago

Veteran

Joined: Jul, 2011

Posts: 1148

Posted: Oct. 11, 2011 - 11:09 AM ET #727

It would be an embarrassment for Alaska if they will lose by DD, in the very first game, against their former coach who left them

lts41

Hall of Fame

Joined: Jan, 2009

Posts: 24567

Posted: Oct. 11, 2011 - 11:28 AM ET #728

will play bmeg big if the line will be -5.5 or below

CrazyMilkMan

Hall of Fame

Joined: Oct, 2008

Posts: 25439

Posted: Oct. 11, 2011 - 10:36 PM ET #729

CrazyMilkMan    5   1
gomburzago   4   1
cinema   5   2
doy15   6   3
bong_til61   2   1
thebestpicks   6   3
threeHeat   3   2
bazgrol0413   7   5
shagz   6   5
jaggLer   9   8
JD17   2   2
moneymaker_07   2   2
BURTS                1   1
bet-lag    3   3
Bruce-wayne   2   2
cipalata81   1   1
Marlboro_Man   4   4
Bantam   4   4
singkofive   5   6
oddsbeater           4   5
dacaw   2   3
lifesagamble28   2   4
tribu_wakwak   2   4
filipinopride   2   5
ekgo_15   2   6
Animax   2   6
maxrage   0   1

CrazyMilkMan

Hall of Fame

Joined: Oct, 2008

Posts: 25439

Posted: Oct. 11, 2011 - 10:41 PM ET #730

Projected Line for October 2, 2011:
PBA
515pm Game: Shopinas +6.5 v Meralco 185.5
745pm Game: Alaska +6.0 v Derby Ace 181.5

Bet365 line:
n/a

MSW line:
n/a

Projected Scores:
Shopinas 77 - 81 Meralco
Alaska 89 - 85 Derby Ace

Mojo Chart
Talk N Text    A-
Ginebra B+
Petron B
Rain or Shine B-
Powerade B-
Shopinas C+
Alaska C
BMeg    C
Meralco C-
Barako Bulls    C-

Notes:
- No Cardona and Mercado for Meralco Bolts

CrazyMilkMan

Hall of Fame

Joined: Oct, 2008

Posts: 25439

Posted: Oct. 11, 2011 - 10:42 PM ET #731

Should read

October 12, 2011:

oddsbeater

Prospect

Joined: Sep, 2011

Posts: 183

Posted: Oct. 11, 2011 - 10:47 PM ET #732

i didnt post my gins -2 last game..hope it will be counted ...

CrazyMilkMan

Hall of Fame

Joined: Oct, 2008

Posts: 25439

Posted: Oct. 11, 2011 - 10:51 PM ET #733

NCAA Projected Line:
SSC+2.5 v SBC-3.5

Sudan won't play.

CrazyMilkMan

Hall of Fame

Joined: Oct, 2008

Posts: 25439

Posted: Oct. 11, 2011 - 10:53 PM ET #734

Quote Originally Posted by oddsbeater:

i didnt post my gins -2 last game..hope it will be counted ...

I also didn't post POW+3.5 (Sunday), EAC+14.5, LPU+5.5 and OVER 150.5 (Monday).

Animax

Veteran

Joined: Nov, 2007

Posts: 1996

Posted: Oct. 11, 2011 - 10:59 PM ET #735

Quote Originally Posted by CrazyMilkMan:

NCAA Projected Line:
SSC+2.5 v SBC-3.5

Sudan won't play.

is it confirmed na bud?? where's your source if you dont mind., leaning on SSC +2.5 i think this team are more eager to be at the top than sbc who wont be having a problem against letran with that twice to beat advantage on them.

dacaw

Veteran

Joined: Nov, 2007

Posts: 2946

Posted: Oct. 11, 2011 - 11:20 PM ET #736

if ssc wins su then ssc takes ist place
if sbc su then there will be a playoff for ist place
question is does sbc still want a playooff since let or jru are easy prey

oddsbeater

Prospect

Joined: Sep, 2011

Posts: 183

Posted: Oct. 11, 2011 - 11:24 PM ET #737

Quote Originally Posted by dacaw:

if ssc wins su then ssc takes ist place
if sbc su then there will be a playoff for ist place
question is does sbc still want a playooff since let or jru are easy prey

hhmmpp thats what im thinking

dacaw

Veteran

Joined: Nov, 2007

Posts: 2946

Posted: Oct. 11, 2011 - 11:31 PM ET #738

my lean ssc
beda will play to lose
no playoffs for ist place
another ssc vs sbc in the finals
most likely sudan will play in the finals

maxrage

Prospect

Joined: Feb, 2011

Posts: 109

Posted: Oct. 11, 2011 - 11:34 PM ET #739

Is MSW down? Do you have any news on when they will go online? Thanks!

gomburzago

Veteran

Joined: Jul, 2011

Posts: 1148

Posted: Oct. 11, 2011 - 11:40 PM ET #740

Quote Originally Posted by maxrage:

Is MSW down? Do you have any news on when they will go online? Thanks!

12nn

CrazyMilkMan

Hall of Fame

Joined: Oct, 2008

Posts: 25439

Posted: Oct. 11, 2011 - 11:48 PM ET #741

Sudan is ruled OUT for the whole season. I don't see why his status changes to day-to-day or probable. He'll probably sit in the bench though.

Beda will play hard. They are a proud team. Lim is a proud coach and they will play for pride here. Also, they should want to win for psychological reasons.

oddsbeater

Prospect

Joined: Sep, 2011

Posts: 183

Posted: Oct. 12, 2011 - 12:10 AM ET #742

pinny line:

meralco bolts -5.5

Cloverfield

Prospect

Joined: Oct, 2011

Posts: 6

Posted: Oct. 12, 2011 - 12:37 AM ET #743

Think the best plays today are SSC, and the under in the ALA-BMEG game!

bazgrol0413

Prospect

Joined: Oct, 2010

Posts: 133

Posted: Oct. 12, 2011 - 12:37 AM ET #744

Quote Originally Posted by CrazyMilkMan:

Sudan is ruled OUT for the whole season. I don't see why his status changes to day-to-day or probable. He'll probably sit in the bench though.

Beda will play hard. They are a proud team. Lim is a proud coach and they will play for pride here. Also, they should want to win for psychological reasons.

so you're on SBC on this CMM?