Sunday: 2-2
Monday: 2-2
Tuesday: 2-3
Wednesday: 8-0
Thursday: 1-1
I'm feeling a bit off with the Kings@Pacers games. No real angle to look at you can't even use the head to head matchup because it was before both teams had any changes. It's pretty hard to call a Kings game because you just don't know when they'll show up. They can, at one time, give a good team a hard time and be a complete ass the next time around. Pacers on the other hand is looking to solidify it's hold on the 8th spot with 10 games left in their schedule. This game is one of those that they have to win to completely distance themselves from the 8th spot chase. They have 5 more teams to play that is above .500 and they'll probably not take any chances giving up winnable games like this one. Kings doesn't have any advantage over the Pacers. Size-wise, the Pacers have the bangers to hustle downlow and as long as Psycho T continues playing like crazy, they'll be close to impossible against the Kings (21.0 points and 7.6 rebounds over the past 10 games). A no play here since the Kings is a team who hardly stops scoring even down, say 30+. Pacers have the guys to run them out of their home court but I'm not too comfortable with 7.5 points. The total is also pretty high but not so much for an under play since both can score 100 easy. Pacers plays better defense at home and so a little lean on the over but not so much. A lot of games tomorrow so it's not too bad to pass up on this one.
I know the Knicks are bad and would even be exposed some more with the Bucks' D but you can't overlook the Bucks being a 9-24 road team and a so-so 16-17 ATS at that. If Redd returns to this game, there's one reason to play the Knicks. Melo, Amare and Chauncey combined for 69 and 67 points against the Bucks in their last 2 games which is the only consistent thing going for them when I look at the head to head. Bucks have Salmons, Delfino, Jennings and Bogut producing consistently against the Knicks producing 67 and 79. The more I look at the box scores the more I feel the play should be the Bucks. Only 3 games behind the Pacers with 12 to more games to play and 7 of which are teams running for a palyoff spot which means every game will be huge for them. Anyway, I checked the Knicks thinking the line 6.5 is quite high for this game and found out that in the 7-10 ATS with Melo (3-5 ATS at home), 4 of those wins are by blow out but still not much to give you a solid confidence with the Knicks. Don't tail me here but since my gut is telling me something's up and the Knicks gets it I'm playing New York Knicks -6.5. I think I'm looking forward to this game as it could be their statement game when everyone is putting too much pressure on them.
Cavs are playing hard in their remaining game and I'll be picking the spots on where to fade them. This is one good spot to fade them. Pistons doesn't have any where else to go. Tanking games won't even get them a significant positioning with the lottery balls. Anyway, I won't be making much of a writeup here. It's pretty similar to the Nets@Cavs game except the Pistons will be a bit better since they are a more prideful team and still the better team overall. I'm not really going to mention their effort against the Heat as a plus. IMO it more of a caution for me and for you guys as well with the amount you'll be throwing here. I tell you not to go crazy because it's set up like "Pistons played Heat very well and only laying 3 against the Cavs, its free money!". As usual play with caution. Detroit Pistons -3.0.
Memphis is two games above the 9th spot in the West and man they are playing really well but It's not enough to make you want to play against the Bulls. This Chicago team has so much confidence right now that they're pretty ready to take on anyone. With their health coming to them and guys on a high morale, it's crazy not to like them in this spot. Earlier this year, the Bulls won by 12 doing it without Boozer and Noah's service. Zach went 21 and 13 in that game and pretty much have a hard time now with a healthy Bulls team. If this was way back, the UNDER would be a play of the whatever. It's pretty close to the L word but with the way Rose is spear heading the Bulls' offense, they could easily go over 189. Anyway, tough schedule for the Grizz having the Spurs right after this game. The play is Chicago Bulls -8.5.
T'Wolves just had a good game against the Mavs till they sucked in the later minutes. Oklahoma is blowing bad teams here and there but seem to find the T'Wolves as their ATS kryptonite. The Wolves has pushed them in all three games and could easily cover given 16 points of a spread. Then again, they'll be feeling Kevin Love's absence here now that he's averaging roughly around 25 points and 20 board against the Thunders this season. They did managed a good job against the Mavs without him but obviously missed his services. The best play here is to wait for the second half. The Wolves can either play like last night against the Mavs or completely get over run by Durant and Co. 16 is a bit too much if you're a Thunder backer as well so 2nd half will pretty much get us a better line given the circumstances.
No play here at the moment until I can get a good read on David West's status. He did fell pretty bad and I doubt X-Ray would show anything. Whether West plays or not, I think I'll be leaning on the Suns who still eyes at a possible 8th spot (though 3 games behind the Grizz). They did come pretty close against the Hornets a couple of days back and gave a scare with a flurry of three pointers at the end game. I'm thinking the UNDER here as well if West is out. Hornets will pretty much try and drag it to a slower pace since they don't have enough offense to out shoot the Suns at home.
Toronto Raptors @ Golden State Warriors OVER 218 but still a lean but it has scorefest written all over.
Los Angeles Clippers +9.5. Too much number for a healthy looking Clippers team. I don't see them winning but pretty much cover and pull it off in the later minutes. Blake has yet to be spectacular against the Lakers.
BOL.