Posted:
#1
2019 Record: 2-1
Cowboys over Seahawks 30 Units W
Raptors over Spurs 1 Unit L
Eagles over Saints 4 Units W
+28.4 Units
If the line is too high? We can't bet it, obviously.
But if the line is too low, we are too much of a skeptic to bet it and we back off. We believe we are being goaded to bet it, only to lose (and many times we DO lose with those 'too good to be true' lines).
This one is perfect. I wanted to see the Lakers as a 6.5 pt favorite right under the classic key number of 7 (not to high or low), but still, to the sharps, a spread that represents a gross overvaluing of a Laker team that has lost 5 of 7 and lost 6 of 7 ATS.
So the sharps will jump on the Bulls. But I say go square and take the Lakers right now. That is why I posted this at 10pm the night before right when the line came out.
Why? They just got their as*es handed to them at home by a team that had a winning percentage under .200.
But that last game was not as easy as perceived. With Lebron out the Lakers have been lazily wading through games, the spotlight off them, their team leader obviously not there on the court to chastise them for their woeful play.
The Cavs in their one visit to LA had this game circled for a LONG time. So whether Lebron is on the court or not, they wanted to bring everything last night and they did. So the loss really isn't all that shocking.
If you want total dejection personified, you have to watch this:
https://fadeawayworld.net/2019/01/14/lakers-look-absolutely-miserable-after-latest-lost-to-cavs/
Grief and despair, right down to the general manager...
So for this year, with Lebron on this team playing or not, this is ROCK BOTTOM imo. Much like the Eagles Saints 48-7 thrashing.
And the Rock Bottom Angle needs one of two requirements for the next game ATS:
1) Play a very poor team on the road so the line is light;
OR
2) Play a good team at home highly motivated.
1 is preferable to 2. And 1 can be switched for home to road if the line is right.
This line of Lakers -6.5 translates to Bulls +.5 at home. That is the perfect line. It's asking the Lakers to win straight up away (or win in a mildly dominant fashion at home).
And the parenthetical is very reasonable in my eyes under the classic key number of 7.
You just had the WORST team in the league snap a 12 game losing steak against you now you have the second worst team coming in with a 7 game losing streak.
This is and always has been a proud Laker franchise (so much so you even see friggin Rob Pelinka hanging his head in that clip, this losing permeating all levels), and not one but TWO losses to the two worst teams at home, on a combined 19 game losing streak, is unacceptable.
I look for LA to come out strong and win by 12-14 making 6.5 more than attractive.
Line will go up if you see this late. (I think, I've been wrong many times in that regard).
LAKERS -6.5 over BULLS
0
How can one of the most illustrious franchises in all of sports not have a shooting coach when the sport is all about shooting the ball? Did Donald Sterling buy the team? Are they trying to save money? Anyway, hope the FT shooting does not sink this bet. 
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