Great day, we have NBA product overseas in Berlin today and at the O2 in London this weekend. I don't want to force a play so thought a healthy discussion might help make the right bet, if a bet at all. Of note: I only bet bt/w $33-$333 depending on the situation, it's not enough to do any damage to me on a bad night so pls if you tail don't risk the farm b/c I have convincing write-ups and am hot. I just like to put my thoughts down to think out the angles and get feedback positive or negative no worries.
My initial thoughts are under 1st half Grizz/Magic as this is the 1st ever NBA regular season game in Berlin and the players may need time to get used to the sight lines at Uber arena. Last season when Spurs played Pacers in Paris at Accor arena, players had just come off Summer Olympics a few months prior where everyone was used to playing in that building. Now no one is used to playing in this new venue. What do you guys think as when total comes out it'll be around 118.5? It's almost an auto bet for me on Global games to take 1st half under, if it loses it loses. Also, the Magic -4.5 seems sus to me as they have the Wagner bros who are both playing and De Silva all from Germany and bros from Berlin so a huuuuge home court advantage against a struggling, maligned Grizz team embroiled in the Ja trade talk and yet only 4.5 dogs, something is off there.
3 Prime games, let's have a good day!
33% winning percentage
1
To remove first post, remove entire topic.
Great day, we have NBA product overseas in Berlin today and at the O2 in London this weekend. I don't want to force a play so thought a healthy discussion might help make the right bet, if a bet at all. Of note: I only bet bt/w $33-$333 depending on the situation, it's not enough to do any damage to me on a bad night so pls if you tail don't risk the farm b/c I have convincing write-ups and am hot. I just like to put my thoughts down to think out the angles and get feedback positive or negative no worries.
My initial thoughts are under 1st half Grizz/Magic as this is the 1st ever NBA regular season game in Berlin and the players may need time to get used to the sight lines at Uber arena. Last season when Spurs played Pacers in Paris at Accor arena, players had just come off Summer Olympics a few months prior where everyone was used to playing in that building. Now no one is used to playing in this new venue. What do you guys think as when total comes out it'll be around 118.5? It's almost an auto bet for me on Global games to take 1st half under, if it loses it loses. Also, the Magic -4.5 seems sus to me as they have the Wagner bros who are both playing and De Silva all from Germany and bros from Berlin so a huuuuge home court advantage against a struggling, maligned Grizz team embroiled in the Ja trade talk and yet only 4.5 dogs, something is off there.
massive home game for the magic here, as this is also the first game back for Franzthis game is very difficult to cap, both teams have terrible ATS recordOrlando as favorite: 11-18 Grizz as underdog: 8-16 (worst in the league)However Orlando has been pretty impressive against western conf teams: 7-4 ats wiseMagic or no play for meSW, in fact, I think if Orlando somehow trailing in the first half , we might have good value on the magic ML
good luck see you at the half
33% winning percentage
0
Quote Originally Posted by yorosan:
massive home game for the magic here, as this is also the first game back for Franzthis game is very difficult to cap, both teams have terrible ATS recordOrlando as favorite: 11-18 Grizz as underdog: 8-16 (worst in the league)However Orlando has been pretty impressive against western conf teams: 7-4 ats wiseMagic or no play for meSW, in fact, I think if Orlando somehow trailing in the first half , we might have good value on the magic ML
I've lost my last 3 bets so maybe the worm is turning, watch out. I watched the Warriors shoot 50+ 3s 1st half against my poor Blazers in the 1st half and have to think Knicks w their size will get those rebounds, they have size advantage all over the court on Ws. Plus, I like the fact Knicks get this quick no travel b2b to erase that poor experience they had in Sac last night, get back on the horse.
Knicks +7.5
Knicks +4.5 +132
33% winning percentage
0
I've lost my last 3 bets so maybe the worm is turning, watch out. I watched the Warriors shoot 50+ 3s 1st half against my poor Blazers in the 1st half and have to think Knicks w their size will get those rebounds, they have size advantage all over the court on Ws. Plus, I like the fact Knicks get this quick no travel b2b to erase that poor experience they had in Sac last night, get back on the horse.
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