Posted:
#1
I laughed when our model picked this Bam quick hit below. I still recommend it, but obviously a little skeptical because of how ridiculous his Tuesday 83-point game was. It has a high EV not necessarily because of the raw 83-point output throwing any of the metrics off, but rather the 1st 3 minute data to dictate the likelihood of a first point. He had 7 points in the 1st 3 minutes which was high but not out of the question, especially because Miami is by far the highest scoring 1st-3 Minute team in the NBA this year.
###QUICK HITS###
MIA Bam Adebayo 1st Points Scorer 1stPt +355
###SPREADS-OVER/UNDERS###
MEM spread +4.5
PHO @ IND: under 225.5
BOS spread +7.5
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