Posted:
#676
Didn't wiz beat thunder and hornets beat spurs on same night last week? Lol. T
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6-0 posted plays... Reverse line moves
Posted:
#682
Quote Originally Posted by TriniMike:
grizz opened at -3 with chris paul expected to play, now the line is 3.5 with chris paul out and 65 percent still on clips... ur telling me chris paul is only worth half a point?
grizz opened at -3 with chris paul expected to play, now the line is 3.5 with chris paul out and 65 percent still on clips... ur telling me chris paul is only worth half a point?
Grizz opened at -3 with the expectation that Rudy G would play, then dropped to a pickem when he was ruled out, then moved to -3.5 when Paul was out. Line movements are based on injuries.
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Posted:
#687
Quote Originally Posted by TriniMike:
there must be massive, massive money coming in on the grizz game. line opened at grizz -3, dropped all the way to -1.5, now back to -2.5 all while over 70 percent on clippers... also, o/u opened at 185.5 at 3 pm yesterday, stayed right around there until 1 pm today, but has dropped 5 pts since, i'lm getting 180.5 now...looks like someone's punding the grizz and the under. with a 5 point move though, i think we might have missed the boat on the under. but there could be huge value on the grizz, since we can get in on almost the original line. never been so tempted to lay 2-3 units on an rlm play. might just leave them as the last team in any parlays i play today and let it ride... thoughts/
there must be massive, massive money coming in on the grizz game. line opened at grizz -3, dropped all the way to -1.5, now back to -2.5 all while over 70 percent on clippers... also, o/u opened at 185.5 at 3 pm yesterday, stayed right around there until 1 pm today, but has dropped 5 pts since, i'lm getting 180.5 now...looks like someone's punding the grizz and the under. with a 5 point move though, i think we might have missed the boat on the under. but there could be huge value on the grizz, since we can get in on almost the original line. never been so tempted to lay 2-3 units on an rlm play. might just leave them as the last team in any parlays i play today and let it ride... thoughts/
The Memphis Grizzlies (-1.5 at Justbet Sportsbook) are showing solid value as they host the LA Clippers tonight. We faded the Grizzlies successfully as they were playing their 5th game in 7 days in Dallas two nights ago. Memphis lost that game, 101-92. But the Grizzlies are one of the best bounce back teams in the NBA, and they're currently 4-1 ATS in their last five games after a straight up loss. They're also coming off of a much needed day of rest, and they're 4-1 ATS the last five times in this spot as well. They've lost their last two games against LA, and we like them to grab some revenge in front of the home crowd tonight. The Clippers have been a good road team, posting a 10-5 SU record. But they outscore they're opponents by an average of just 2.9 points/game when playing away from home. The Memphis Grizzlies play good defensive ball on their home court, limiting visitors to just 87.3 points/game. They also outscore their visitors by an average of 6.5 points/game. This Grizzlies Defense has shocked many high-powered offenses over the years. In fact, Memphis is 32-6 ATS over the last 3 years against opposing offenses that average greater than 99 points/game (the Clippers average 101.8 points/game). LA was upset at home 104-101 in their latest contest, by the Orlando Magic. Unlike the Grizzlies, the Clippers haven't fared well after such a performance. They're 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a SU loss. The Clippers are also 1-6 against the spread against strong home teams such as Memphis (winning >.600 of their home games). With the home team going 3-1-1 at the window in the last 5 meetings between these two, these recent trends stay true to this series as well. We'll gladly back the Memphis Grizzlies tonight at the Fedex Forum.
taken from iseewinners . com
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Posted:
#689
So here are my picks for today and for my bet with Dougie, if that's still on, regardless of who's hurt, who's on steroids and who's been getting wasted at Liv...
Utah Jazz +3 1 unit
Phoenix Suns +5.5 1 unit
PHO/OKC UNDER 200 1 unit
13-6-1 starting the day
Also putting a little something on Cavs +5.5 for my personal play, maybe even a lil on ML
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Posted:
#697
This thread is getting too long, can't even find picks from myself or Dougie to keep track... Depending on today's results, I might just start a fresh thread 2mor... Looking for a winning night, if not maybe this thread has lost it's mojo...
Follow, Fade or Ignore... BOL all... Picks are on post 690, if anyone's looking
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Posted:
#700
Quote Originally Posted by TheBest:
Only 2 REAL plays The under okc and phoenix.
Only 2 REAL plays The under okc and phoenix.
u should list utah as a personal play as it does not qualify as rlm.
line opened at 2.5 and went to +3 which is not rlm
There must have been heavy money dropped on that under around 8 am this morning as the under went from 23% to 41% then the total dropped quickly to 198.5 then has risen slowly over the rest of the day.
This shouldn't count as rlm either as the line reacted to a heavy wager.
Utah opened at -5.5 to -3.5 at a couple of places and dropped down to -2.5 with all the wagers coming in on Mia. So it does count as rlm at that time. It has slowly risen back up to -3 though. Kinda iffy on the rlm.
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