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    All Forums | NBA Betting Forum

    6-0 posted plays... Reverse line moves

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    nuggins
    jdkingllc
    Willthethrill73
    DA_BOYS
    TriniMike
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    nuggins
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    Posted: Jan. 14, 2013 - 12:18 PM ET #651

    Morning Gents...hope the weekend was profitable for all except the DBags...

    So, how's the contest doing? I didn't pop in at all over the weekend and I'd rather not scroll through the thread w/ BDouche on the loose...
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    Morning Gents...hope the weekend was profitable for all except the DBags...

    So, how's the contest doing? I didn't pop in at all over the weekend and I'd rather not scroll through the thread w/ BDouche on the loose...
     
    jdkingllc
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    Posted: Jan. 14, 2013 - 12:24 PM ET #652

    Quote Originally Posted by TriniMike:

    i wouldn't go that far, butwho knows... maybe someone saw lebron getting wated last night at liv...lol

    Heat on a west coast road trip, slept in utah last night, doubt the boys were out parting, Lebron and company 1-2 on road trip focused to keep the offensive momentum rolling after a blow out victory and look to get to 2-2 on the west coast swing against a team they previously beat by nearly 20 at home.  Vegas knows Heat will win, you know Heat will win, the only thing attracting money to the Jazz is a suspicious line.  Jazz have played four games in six days and will put up a 14 in one of the frames to secure a Heat win and cover.

    Heat 2.5

    0-0 posted plays

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    Quote Originally Posted by TriniMike:

    i wouldn't go that far, butwho knows... maybe someone saw lebron getting wated last night at liv...lol

    Heat on a west coast road trip, slept in utah last night, doubt the boys were out parting, Lebron and company 1-2 on road trip focused to keep the offensive momentum rolling after a blow out victory and look to get to 2-2 on the west coast swing against a team they previously beat by nearly 20 at home.  Vegas knows Heat will win, you know Heat will win, the only thing attracting money to the Jazz is a suspicious line.  Jazz have played four games in six days and will put up a 14 in one of the frames to secure a Heat win and cover.

    Heat 2.5

    0-0 posted plays

     
    Willthethrill73
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    Posted: Jan. 14, 2013 - 12:27 PM ET #653

    Jazz, Grizzlies, Wolves and Suns are the rlm picks I am seeing guys any others I am missing?  I know the caves and bobcats look right too but its so hard to trust those teams
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    Jazz, Grizzlies, Wolves and Suns are the rlm picks I am seeing guys any others I am missing?  I know the caves and bobcats look right too but its so hard to trust those teams
     
    Willthethrill73
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    Posted: Jan. 14, 2013 - 12:37 PM ET #654

    Cavs I meant
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    Cavs I meant
     
    DA_BOYS
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    Posted: Jan. 14, 2013 - 12:39 PM ET #655

    Utah and Pho both look like rlm with at least 1 point movement and heavy betting #'s.

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    Utah and Pho both look like rlm with at least 1 point movement and heavy betting #'s.

     
    TriniMike
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    Posted: Jan. 14, 2013 - 1:14 PM ET #656

    not well nuggs, think i started forcing plays over the weekend, just to get them out early... shook that off, looking for a great night tonight... dougie has just popped in and dropped his picks. no negativity whatsoever, since friday.

       ulwen, i know exactly what you mean. when you see teams like okc, spurs, heat etc. it's hard to go against them with small line on crappy teams. for instance, that hornets plus 2.5 vs rockets. didn't make sense, but hornets won. i try my best to just look at team a and team b, but it's tough too fool ur mind to do that
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    not well nuggs, think i started forcing plays over the weekend, just to get them out early... shook that off, looking for a great night tonight... dougie has just popped in and dropped his picks. no negativity whatsoever, since friday.

       ulwen, i know exactly what you mean. when you see teams like okc, spurs, heat etc. it's hard to go against them with small line on crappy teams. for instance, that hornets plus 2.5 vs rockets. didn't make sense, but hornets won. i try my best to just look at team a and team b, but it's tough too fool ur mind to do that
     
    duranizm
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    Posted: Jan. 14, 2013 - 1:15 PM ET #657

    RLM is not all when we cap games in NBA. i DO trust NBA is all about matchup, matchup, that's all. nevertheless, Suns will be the play maybe, sounds funny ridiculosly. guys here seem to lean Jazz, however, board competenece between these two teams are pretty same. the key is if M Chalmers do tomorrow, he can have it all in this matchup. plus, Clippers Under can be the best among other option.
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    RLM is not all when we cap games in NBA. i DO trust NBA is all about matchup, matchup, that's all. nevertheless, Suns will be the play maybe, sounds funny ridiculosly. guys here seem to lean Jazz, however, board competenece between these two teams are pretty same. the key is if M Chalmers do tomorrow, he can have it all in this matchup. plus, Clippers Under can be the best among other option.
     
    x3shift
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    Posted: Jan. 14, 2013 - 1:23 PM ET #658

    Quote Originally Posted by Willthethrill73:

    Jazz, Grizzlies, Wolves and Suns are the rlm picks I am seeing guys any others I am missing?  I know the caves and bobcats look right too but its so hard to trust those teams


    already locked mine in on sac ML (part of system play, calvs may cover, but hopefully dont win)
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    Quote Originally Posted by Willthethrill73:

    Jazz, Grizzlies, Wolves and Suns are the rlm picks I am seeing guys any others I am missing?  I know the caves and bobcats look right too but its so hard to trust those teams


    already locked mine in on sac ML (part of system play, calvs may cover, but hopefully dont win)
     
    twfc
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    Posted: Jan. 14, 2013 - 2:14 PM ET #659

    My plays tonight will be PHX +5 and under on LAC-MEM. Line opened at 195 now at 191 with 84% hitting the OVER lolwut?
    However, its still quite early and some big money might move the lines again before the game. I rushed it yesterday with NOH and CLE, both looked like rlm then the line moved right before the game..
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    My plays tonight will be PHX +5 and under on LAC-MEM. Line opened at 195 now at 191 with 84% hitting the OVER lolwut?
    However, its still quite early and some big money might move the lines again before the game. I rushed it yesterday with NOH and CLE, both looked like rlm then the line moved right before the game..
     
    duranizm
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    Posted: Jan. 14, 2013 - 2:26 PM ET #660

    Quote Originally Posted by twfc:

    My plays tonight will be PHX +5 and under on LAC-MEM. Line opened at 195 now at 191 with 84% hitting the OVER lolwut?
    However, its still quite early and some big money might move the lines again before the game. I rushed it yesterday with NOH and CLE, both looked like rlm then the line moved right before the game..


    this is not my thread, so hesitant a bit. however, you MUST think matchup first dude. if 'seem-to-be' RLM is on, and guys know what it means, bookies will be dead already. it is not that simple & easy dude. think wide & open when you cap games. if you keep following those movement blindly, you will be in trouble. i'm not talking about RLM is BS, don't get me wrong.
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    Quote Originally Posted by twfc:

    My plays tonight will be PHX +5 and under on LAC-MEM. Line opened at 195 now at 191 with 84% hitting the OVER lolwut?
    However, its still quite early and some big money might move the lines again before the game. I rushed it yesterday with NOH and CLE, both looked like rlm then the line moved right before the game..


    this is not my thread, so hesitant a bit. however, you MUST think matchup first dude. if 'seem-to-be' RLM is on, and guys know what it means, bookies will be dead already. it is not that simple & easy dude. think wide & open when you cap games. if you keep following those movement blindly, you will be in trouble. i'm not talking about RLM is BS, don't get me wrong.
     
    TriniMike
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    Posted: Jan. 14, 2013 - 2:45 PM ET #661

    you're right duranizm... i don't only bet based on rlm.. i cap other games too. i took patsand knicks under pretty heavy yesterday with no rlm present. 

    the theory that i trust in rlm is that we're following the big money or sharps on what they are playing. do they always win, no. if they did they'd be called bill gates..lol

    but it seems that they win a lot more than they lose and if we can mimic that we'll be in good enough shape to cover the losses from our own bets..he, he, he.

    like i've said before, this thread was started as an experiment in rlm plays and to get feedback from other rlm players. i try to never stop learning. i started off insanely hot and didn't cool until this weekend. 

    i think i'm going to lay off of betting nba games based on rlm on weekends that, i would guess, most of the money is on nfl playoffs or superbowl. it takes o much less money to move lines when no one's betting the game.

    also, i try not to look at records, or matchup teams when i bets soley based on rlm. my thoughts are that vegas has already thought of every angle imaginable and reflected that in their line. 
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    you're right duranizm... i don't only bet based on rlm.. i cap other games too. i took patsand knicks under pretty heavy yesterday with no rlm present. 

    the theory that i trust in rlm is that we're following the big money or sharps on what they are playing. do they always win, no. if they did they'd be called bill gates..lol

    but it seems that they win a lot more than they lose and if we can mimic that we'll be in good enough shape to cover the losses from our own bets..he, he, he.

    like i've said before, this thread was started as an experiment in rlm plays and to get feedback from other rlm players. i try to never stop learning. i started off insanely hot and didn't cool until this weekend. 

    i think i'm going to lay off of betting nba games based on rlm on weekends that, i would guess, most of the money is on nfl playoffs or superbowl. it takes o much less money to move lines when no one's betting the game.

    also, i try not to look at records, or matchup teams when i bets soley based on rlm. my thoughts are that vegas has already thought of every angle imaginable and reflected that in their line. 
     
    swanman87
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    Posted: Jan. 14, 2013 - 2:47 PM ET #662

    again even though Miami is strugglin on road, the line movement is not necessairly RLM, they will be missing James Jones tonight and Battier didnt participate in shoot around due to a sore Hamstring he also will likely not play tonight
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    again even though Miami is strugglin on road, the line movement is not necessairly RLM, they will be missing James Jones tonight and Battier didnt participate in shoot around due to a sore Hamstring he also will likely not play tonight
     
    TriniMike
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    Posted: Jan. 14, 2013 - 2:47 PM ET #663

    not calling anything too early today... will have picks around 5-6 pm..
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    not calling anything too early today... will have picks around 5-6 pm..
     
    swanman87
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    Posted: Jan. 14, 2013 - 2:49 PM ET #664

    www.proplayerstatus.com for must up todate updates on injuries, rosters etc
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    www.proplayerstatus.com for must up todate updates on injuries, rosters etc
     
    TriniMike
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    Posted: Jan. 14, 2013 - 2:54 PM ET #665

    i've hung out with james jone a few times and though he's a really cool kid, he's not making lines move on heat games. battier is a big defensive presence for the heat, no need for his offense now that they have miller healthy and ray allen, the celtic traitor. i'm not convinced battier is a line mover either... plus he hasn't played for a while now
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    i've hung out with james jone a few times and though he's a really cool kid, he's not making lines move on heat games. battier is a big defensive presence for the heat, no need for his offense now that they have miller healthy and ray allen, the celtic traitor. i'm not convinced battier is a line mover either... plus he hasn't played for a while now
     
    TriniMike
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    Posted: Jan. 14, 2013 - 3:08 PM ET #666

    there must be massive, massive money coming in on the grizz game. line opened at grizz -3, dropped all the way to -1.5, now back to -2.5 all while over 70 percent on clippers... also, o/u opened at 185.5 at 3 pm yesterday, stayed right around there until 1 pm today, but has dropped 5 pts since, i'lm getting 180.5 now...looks like someone's punding the grizz and the under. with a 5 point move though, i think we might have missed the boat on the under. but there could be huge value on the grizz, since we can get in on almost the original line. never been so tempted to lay 2-3 units on an rlm play. might just leave them as the last team in any parlays i play today and let it ride... thoughts/
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    there must be massive, massive money coming in on the grizz game. line opened at grizz -3, dropped all the way to -1.5, now back to -2.5 all while over 70 percent on clippers... also, o/u opened at 185.5 at 3 pm yesterday, stayed right around there until 1 pm today, but has dropped 5 pts since, i'lm getting 180.5 now...looks like someone's punding the grizz and the under. with a 5 point move though, i think we might have missed the boat on the under. but there could be huge value on the grizz, since we can get in on almost the original line. never been so tempted to lay 2-3 units on an rlm play. might just leave them as the last team in any parlays i play today and let it ride... thoughts/
     
    dr_unit
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    Posted: Jan. 14, 2013 - 3:14 PM ET #667

    I think memphis is the play either way, but are we aware chris paul isnt playing? Id almost prefer it if he played as lac might come out more focused without their best player
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    I think memphis is the play either way, but are we aware chris paul isnt playing? Id almost prefer it if he played as lac might come out more focused without their best player
     
    sabermaths
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    Posted: Jan. 14, 2013 - 3:15 PM ET #668

    utah and phoenix tonight
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    utah and phoenix tonight
     
    sabermaths
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    Posted: Jan. 14, 2013 - 3:15 PM ET #669

    didnt know cp3 is out. hmmm, and rudy? best if we not touch this game
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    didnt know cp3 is out. hmmm, and rudy? best if we not touch this game
     
    Freezie
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    Posted: Jan. 14, 2013 - 3:18 PM ET #670

    hey i just saw this "Memphis is 13-4 ATS against teams with a winning record this season and a perfect 7-0 ATS against teams that have won 70% of their games." Can any of you guys confirm that? I cant find stats on this for some reason 
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    hey i just saw this "Memphis is 13-4 ATS against teams with a winning record this season and a perfect 7-0 ATS against teams that have won 70% of their games." Can any of you guys confirm that? I cant find stats on this for some reason 
     
    TriniMike
    TriniMike
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    Posted: Jan. 14, 2013 - 3:20 PM ET #671

    chris paul is out... not so much rlm, but like grizz
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    chris paul is out... not so much rlm, but like grizz
     
    Aubsdad
    Aubsdad
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    Posted: Jan. 14, 2013 - 3:26 PM ET #672

    Quote Originally Posted by TriniMike:



     my thoughts are that vegas has already thought of every angle imaginable and reflected that in their line. 



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    Quote Originally Posted by TriniMike:



     my thoughts are that vegas has already thought of every angle imaginable and reflected that in their line. 



     
    TriniMike
    TriniMike
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    Posted: Jan. 14, 2013 - 3:29 PM ET #673

    keeping an eye on jazz, suns, suns under... maybe bobcats...
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    keeping an eye on jazz, suns, suns under... maybe bobcats...
     
    sabermaths
    sabermaths
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    Posted: Jan. 14, 2013 - 3:32 PM ET #674

    if we play the system, it would be the first time i will be fading okc and miami same night...lmao

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    if we play the system, it would be the first time i will be fading okc and miami same night...lmao

     
     
    TriniMike
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    Posted: Jan. 14, 2013 - 3:38 PM ET #675

    i hear yuh sabe... i'm still gonna ride this system out, though
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    i hear yuh sabe... i'm still gonna ride this system out, though
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