Posted:
#526
just to be clear Ulwen... when you see 82% on OKC, that's 82% of the BETS, the $ is on Portland, that's who we follow
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6-0 posted plays... Reverse line moves
Posted:
#528
Seems like half of today's NBA games are good candidates for RLM. I'm still a little skeptical of betting NBA on a Sunday when most of the big money movers are probably on NFL playoffs. I'm Making 2 early picks today for both RLM and Dougie's picks...
13-4 on posted picks starting the day
Hornets +6.5 1 Unit
Under 48.5 in Patriots game 1 UNIT
I know there's been minimal movement on the o/u in the Pats game and I KNOW I'm gonna get ripped for taking it, but I've been watching it all week. I believe there's so much $ and bets coming in for these playoff games, the #'s get diluted by gameday...
I'll be looking at more NBA games throughout the day, if I get a chance, I'll post some more picks. On a side note, not related to RLM, Under in knicks game should be a good play. Games that are before 2:00 pm usually stay under the total...
Follow, Fade or Ignore, it's all good... BOL All
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Posted:
#530
Quote Originally Posted by swanman87:
Hey Trin,
Here is what I am seeing so far tomorrow. Again I'm noticing more than scores and odds percentages mirror vegasinsider.com. I prefer using thespread.com
New Orleans open +7.5 at knicks (64%) now +7 (.5pt move)
bucks +2.5 at Toronto(66%) now +2 (.5 pt move)
GSW +5.5 (60%) at denver now +6 (.6 move)
Maryland +6.5 at Miami FL (55%) now +6 (.5pt move) however big difference between scores and odds, it has 85% on Maryland
There is a lot of heavy percentages on teams right now, and manu within our over 60% requirement however line hasnt budged/ will monitor and update tmr morning.
also looks like falcons have 55% of bets when it open at -3 with 104 juice however its down to -2.5 with -125
show pats -10 (65%) and is currently still the same
Looking good!
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Posted:
#532
Quote Originally Posted by BradyWearsUGGZ:
i use a similar system mike ive watched maybe two NBA games this year have no clue about injuries/ whos on what team i strictly watch the lines. think im 20-8 in my thread or something. your flaw is not watching where the juice is at what time and where the bets are going along with the reverse lines throughout the day. pacers today -11.5 to -13 line remained juiced while bets flowed on pacers. people started betting on the bobcats 13.5 line started dropping back to -11.5 juice remained on pacers. vegas knows what they're doing.
keep an eye on the bucks game tomorrow.
i use a similar system mike ive watched maybe two NBA games this year have no clue about injuries/ whos on what team i strictly watch the lines. think im 20-8 in my thread or something. your flaw is not watching where the juice is at what time and where the bets are going along with the reverse lines throughout the day. pacers today -11.5 to -13 line remained juiced while bets flowed on pacers. people started betting on the bobcats 13.5 line started dropping back to -11.5 juice remained on pacers. vegas knows what they're doing.
keep an eye on the bucks game tomorrow. I like what you're saying... I'll definitely start paying more attention to that!!!
What are you're thoughts on today's picks?
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GL Kemosabe
Posted:
#538
anyone have any thoughts on the Seahawks/Falcons game? The line opened at +3/-3 the public was pretty even with it.. Then all of a sudden Vegas decided to drop the line to -1 juiced all to hell making the Falcons the larger public favorite as we speak. Now the line sits at that akward -2.5 where most Seahawks backers would take the 3 knowing Falcons games are often close. This game is confusing me a bit. I am from Seattle so I will stay away from this game earlier but I like to know what Vegas is thinking and why they would do this. Do they want us to take the Falcons and not the Seahawks? Or is this tom foolery messing with the sharps?
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Posted:
#539
Quote Originally Posted by BradyWearsUGGZ:
spurs game is looking great. line reversed a whole point to get more $ on the spurs with the line continuosly remaining juiced. a whopping 70% remain on the spurs also. gl mike!
this was false information btw. I was looking at the wrong game. Hornets pick is solid! Knicks are juiced still after dropping a full point.
spurs game is looking great. line reversed a whole point to get more $ on the spurs with the line continuosly remaining juiced. a whopping 70% remain on the spurs also. gl mike!
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Posted:
#548
Quote Originally Posted by YouwinIllplace:
What site are you using to see money, not bet ticket? sportsbookspy or scoresandodds?
money is seen through the line movement. for example, -5 moves to -5.5. money is on -5 so books move the line up to -5.5 in order to get more money on the +5.5 side.
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