Academy Awards?

Haven't seen them all but like "Dark Thirty" a lot.  I guess the deal with movies they hit everyone in a special place. Sounds like a lot of good movies.  I need to catch up as usual.

It seems like the leading nominee is between Argo and Lincoln?  I thought Life of Pi and Django were pretty good, so I can't wait to see the rest of them.  Lincoln will probably runaway with all of the awards

Life of Pi

Lincoln will probably runaway with all of the awards

after seeing Lincoln I thought it was "The Lox, Chream Cheese and Toasted Bagel" for ALL the major awards BUT, ex for Daniel Day-Lewis as Best Actor, it hasn't won ANYTHING at other major awards shows. I thought Tommy Lee Jones was outstanding and a sure winner as Thaddeus Stevens BUT he keeps losing Best Supporting Actor awards to Christoph Waltz in Django

the Academy also has "egg on their face" for NOT nominating Ben Affleck as best Director for Argo. he's WON the award at every other show which makes them look foolish

yea,it's not right. i always thought that the director and movie should always be nominated together. now i'm a little less confident with lincoln, but who knows.  maybe argo can't sweep all awards??  les miserables, lincoln, and argo are the three leading movies; i don't know if i could take a long shot, but i also don't know if i should take argo.

i don't know if i could take a long shot, but i also don't know if i should take argo.

the REAL Best Picture long shot is Django Unchained BUT I think the Hollywood "establishment", which controls the Oscars, HATES Quentin Tarantino's movies.

Argo seems to be winning Best Picture at all the other awards shows

Good preview of Academy awards might be preceding awards with many of the SAME VOTERS in the Academy.  Director, grammy and screen actors guild but not golden globe. 

No dominant favourite for best picture this year.  Interesting that top 3 films are based on American history.

Poor Ben Affleck, only once since Driving Miss Daisy (1989) has a film won best picture without having the director being nominated.  I think we can rule out Argo for now.  Wow.. but, who knows.

'89 list

• "A Fish Called Wanda" Charles Crichton
• "The Last Temptation of Christ" Martin Scorsese
• "Mississippi Burning" Alan Parker
• "Rain Man" Barry Levinson (oscar winner)
  
• "Working Girl" Mike Nichols

***Should be 1990***

Underdogs with best chance of winning if industry insiders repeat voting since many are Academy members.

Motion Picture Sound Editors (Life of Pi for sound editing).  Art Directors Guild (Anna Karemina for art production).  Directors Guild, Producers Guild and Annie awards  (Wreck it Ralph for animation).

In 25 years, Directors Guild and Producers Guild are 70-80% accurate in predicting best picture winner.  Both picked Argo in 2013.