My AI's summary for this match up based on few internal systems and databases.
• Twins @ White Sox Breakdown
Game: Twins 27-29 at White Sox 28-27, today at 2:10 PM ET at Rate Field. White Sox lead the series 2-1. Current public
preview lists Kendry Rojas vs Davis Martin, with White Sox around -139 and total around 7.5; our workbook snapshot has
White Sox -155, Twins +125, total 7.5
Official Play
- White Sox/Twins Under 7.5 -110 — 2U
Why Under
- Promoted Common Total, 88/100
- Triggered by Best Round Robin Totals Filters + Covers Experts
- Main filter records:
- Covers + SP rank + Starter ERA: 32-5-2, +23.82U, 61.1% ROI
- Covers + SP rank + Starter K-BB: 27-6-2, +18.71U, 53.5% ROI
Pitching
- Twins: Kendry Rojas, 1.26 ERA, 1.47 WHIP, 14.1 IP
- White Sox: Davis Martin, 2.04 ERA, 1.02 WHIP, 61.2 IP
- Model starter average: 1.65 ERA
- Starter recent xwOBA control: .235
- Starter K-BB support: 20.2
- Martin has the cleaner profile: more innings, better WHIP, much better K-BB.
Side View
- No official side play.
- Raw point grid: MIN +1 / CWS -1
- Active MVal/Core9: Twins +4, White Sox -4
- But Twins have lineup downgrade: 4 missing Core9 bats, replacement delta -14.44
- Market disagrees with Twins: White Sox moved -140 to -155
- OddsShark slightly likes White Sox: CWS 4.6, MIN 4.5
- Public: 71% White Sox
- Covers side: White Sox ML
So side is a conflict/pass: internal MVal leans Twins, but market, OddsShark, public, Covers, and current lineup
strength lean White Sox.
F5 View
- No official F5 play.
- White Sox F5 -0.5 is only a Watch.
- Davis Martin #1/5 vs Kendry Rojas #2/8
- White Sox F5 edge:
- K-BB edge +15.4%
- Lineup xwOBA edge +0.014
- Recent offense edge +3.31
- F5 attack edge +6.84
Bottom Line
The clean play is the Under 7.5 -110 for 2U. Side is a pass because the model and market are split. F5 has a White Sox
lean, but it is not promoted.
Use above info as you wish ;)
My AI's summary for this match up based on few internal systems and databases.
• Twins @ White Sox Breakdown
Game: Twins 27-29 at White Sox 28-27, today at 2:10 PM ET at Rate Field. White Sox lead the series 2-1. Current public
preview lists Kendry Rojas vs Davis Martin, with White Sox around -139 and total around 7.5; our workbook snapshot has
White Sox -155, Twins +125, total 7.5
Official Play
- White Sox/Twins Under 7.5 -110 — 2U
Why Under
- Promoted Common Total, 88/100
- Triggered by Best Round Robin Totals Filters + Covers Experts
- Main filter records:
- Covers + SP rank + Starter ERA: 32-5-2, +23.82U, 61.1% ROI
- Covers + SP rank + Starter K-BB: 27-6-2, +18.71U, 53.5% ROI
Pitching
- Twins: Kendry Rojas, 1.26 ERA, 1.47 WHIP, 14.1 IP
- White Sox: Davis Martin, 2.04 ERA, 1.02 WHIP, 61.2 IP
- Model starter average: 1.65 ERA
- Starter recent xwOBA control: .235
- Starter K-BB support: 20.2
- Martin has the cleaner profile: more innings, better WHIP, much better K-BB.
Side View
- No official side play.
- Raw point grid: MIN +1 / CWS -1
- Active MVal/Core9: Twins +4, White Sox -4
- But Twins have lineup downgrade: 4 missing Core9 bats, replacement delta -14.44
- Market disagrees with Twins: White Sox moved -140 to -155
- OddsShark slightly likes White Sox: CWS 4.6, MIN 4.5
- Public: 71% White Sox
- Covers side: White Sox ML
So side is a conflict/pass: internal MVal leans Twins, but market, OddsShark, public, Covers, and current lineup
strength lean White Sox.
F5 View
- No official F5 play.
- White Sox F5 -0.5 is only a Watch.
- Davis Martin #1/5 vs Kendry Rojas #2/8
- White Sox F5 edge:
- K-BB edge +15.4%
- Lineup xwOBA edge +0.014
- Recent offense edge +3.31
- F5 attack edge +6.84
Bottom Line
The clean play is the Under 7.5 -110 for 2U. Side is a pass because the model and market are split. F5 has a White Sox
lean, but it is not promoted.
Use above info as you wish ;)
BIG update, Twins just confirmed new SP, Simeon Woods Richardson: 0-6, 7.20 ERA
which is their worst pitcher.
This completely kills the Under angle and any hope Twins are winning this one.
This should be illegal change out pitchers like that in last hour, from teams best(#1 or #2) to absolutely worst.
BIG update, Twins just confirmed new SP, Simeon Woods Richardson: 0-6, 7.20 ERA
which is their worst pitcher.
This completely kills the Under angle and any hope Twins are winning this one.
This should be illegal change out pitchers like that in last hour, from teams best(#1 or #2) to absolutely worst.

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