Thoughts on Cease?

This SP for San Diego has fukked me several times this season and costed me in parlays. 

He is shit on the road going 1-9 , 5.57 ERA while SD has a strong bullpen so if he goes 5-6 like he has been they have a shot. But it won't be without sweating your ass off hoping from inning to inning that he doesn't implode and give up 4-5. He is actually far better in day games but Wrigley and Cubs are really strong at home. Cease has actually been getting better slowly as the season went on but he's not reliable like in the past. 

I don't like fading SD I have backed them all season. I went with the Over in this game because we have two strong offenses and potentially suspect pitching.

I'm just curious who has the balls to back Cease in this situation. I think Cubs are the play.

Cease owns the Cubs in his career. They are hitting .194 against him as a team.

He consistently sucks in big games.  He consistently sucks on the road.  He's a bit of a wild card and capable of throwing a gem, but not likely.

Padres bats are cold and the Cubs have the LHP to shut them down.  They could have really used Laureano yesterday.  Cubs or nothing.  

@JimmyGape

 These aren't same Cubs though and they are at full strength. 

I don't fade that team when they get in a groove. I would rather just stay away but the odds are tempting... maybe a trap. 

Cubs can hit homers too and Cease gives them up .

Seems way too easy though 

All the Cubs players that are currently in unforms combined stats career against Dylan Cease they are batting .194 as a team. They are the same Cubs.

Cubs 

@Coin86

 I like Cubs team total over 3.5 +125. Cease will get hit no doubt

its really only Ian Happ struggled vs dylan cease on this Cubs lineup, Castro got the most ABs from that stats, and hes not even in the lineup, deceiving stats.

Cubs and OVER