Parlays are fine. They've gotten a bad rap by the "sharps" -- the 3 teamer actually offers slightly greater value than taking the three bets individually. The two 2 teamer is about the same value, slightly less. It is the 4+ parlays that offer trash value of exponential increase.
Kudos.
I'll post when I next have something. Cheers.
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Quote Originally Posted by LAC63:
To much juice for me I parlayed
Parlays are fine. They've gotten a bad rap by the "sharps" -- the 3 teamer actually offers slightly greater value than taking the three bets individually. The two 2 teamer is about the same value, slightly less. It is the 4+ parlays that offer trash value of exponential increase.
Three way wager here. home / tie / away full regulation.
In database history, favorites between -150 and -250 with a team 0.26 batting average or lower are 1218-577 +202.58 units SU against a starter with an ERA less than or equal to 4.5 (regular season, excluding the first month when stats like this don't mean much).
If the game goes into extra innings, the runline for this system isn't worth it so take the three way as the runline record is a solid 789-706 +231.25 +15.2% roi when the game ends in full regulation.
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For today:
$127 to win $127.88
CHICAGO CUBS 1X2 -1 +115
vs Washington Nationals
Three way wager here. home / tie / away full regulation.
In database history, favorites between -150 and -250 with a team 0.26 batting average or lower are 1218-577 +202.58 units SU against a starter with an ERA less than or equal to 4.5 (regular season, excluding the first month when stats like this don't mean much).
If the game goes into extra innings, the runline for this system isn't worth it so take the three way as the runline record is a solid 789-706 +231.25 +15.2% roi when the game ends in full regulation.
Sac, long time Lurker. Always respected your threads. So far, I'm gonna actually start tailing Herb and using the manipulated system. Lord knows my picks haven't been working...
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Sac, long time Lurker. Always respected your threads. So far, I'm gonna actually start tailing Herb and using the manipulated system. Lord knows my picks haven't been working...