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    All Forums | MLB Betting Forum

    ONE...BET...A...DAY...

    «First Previous 123 ... 8910 Next Last»
    smacksmiter
    Wildbetsmn
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    «First Previous 123 ... 8910 Next Last»
     
    smacksmiter
    smacksmiter
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    Posted: Apr. 13, 2019 - 2:41 PM ET #201

    Quote Originally Posted by barneybeans:

    Remember...pigs get fat...but hogs get slaughtered...very good old saying to keep in mind as it does apply to sports wagering...That being said...Cubs are a strong ML contender today imo...The Angels without Trout are looking pretty weak...In a reference to Wall Street (a different type of gambling) I always heard, "The bulls and the bears make money, the pigs get slaughtered".

     

    Nice run bro.


    Thanks brutha...

    Amazing...this is the day Chris Davis breaks out....

    PM for the skinny on the down low
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    Quote Originally Posted by barneybeans:

    Remember...pigs get fat...but hogs get slaughtered...very good old saying to keep in mind as it does apply to sports wagering...That being said...Cubs are a strong ML contender today imo...The Angels without Trout are looking pretty weak...In a reference to Wall Street (a different type of gambling) I always heard, "The bulls and the bears make money, the pigs get slaughtered".

     

    Nice run bro.


    Thanks brutha...

    Amazing...this is the day Chris Davis breaks out....

     
    smacksmiter
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    Posted: Apr. 13, 2019 - 6:39 PM ET #202

    Adding...

    Houston/Seattle OVER 8.5...-115...10 units...

    Cincinatti Team Total OVER 4.5... -133...5 units...

    St. Louis OVER 5.5...-107...5 units...

    Ok...I'm done now...I have liked today's card WAYYYY too much...

    PM for the skinny on the down low
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    Adding...

    Houston/Seattle OVER 8.5...-115...10 units...

    Cincinatti Team Total OVER 4.5... -133...5 units...

    St. Louis OVER 5.5...-107...5 units...

    Ok...I'm done now...I have liked today's card WAYYYY too much...

     
    smacksmiter
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    Posted: Apr. 14, 2019 - 11:48 AM ET #203

    Somehow...even while I was putting the bet in yesterday...I knew I was in trouble...but I didn't stop myself...


    Just a brutal, brutal day...made extra bad by my bad bankroll discipline...

    A very good reality check...good to have early in the season...

    Yesterday...1-11........ -81.35 units...

    Basically lost everything I won for the year...


    Overall record now... 32-24.... +0.84 units...

    *sigh*....starting the year over new...

    Might be back later with a pick...

    PM for the skinny on the down low
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    Somehow...even while I was putting the bet in yesterday...I knew I was in trouble...but I didn't stop myself...


    Just a brutal, brutal day...made extra bad by my bad bankroll discipline...

    A very good reality check...good to have early in the season...

    Yesterday...1-11........ -81.35 units...

    Basically lost everything I won for the year...


    Overall record now... 32-24.... +0.84 units...

    *sigh*....starting the year over new...

    Might be back later with a pick...

     
    Wildbetsmn
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    Posted: Apr. 14, 2019 - 11:57 AM ET #204

    I was right there with ya yesterday. I should know better when there are tons of plays I love

     

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    I was right there with ya yesterday. I should know better when there are tons of plays I love

     

     
    smacksmiter
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    Posted: Apr. 14, 2019 - 1:06 PM ET #205

    Going with ...

    Oakland Run Line....EVEN...10 units...

    Good luck today!

    PM for the skinny on the down low
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    Going with ...

    Oakland Run Line....EVEN...10 units...

    Good luck today!

     
    smacksmiter
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    Posted: Apr. 14, 2019 - 1:09 PM ET #206

    Can't resist one more...

    Oakland Team Total OVER 5.5...-112... 10 units...

    That's all for today...!

    I promise!!


    PM for the skinny on the down low
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    Can't resist one more...

    Oakland Team Total OVER 5.5...-112... 10 units...

    That's all for today...!

    I promise!!


     
    supermanbets
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    Posted: Apr. 14, 2019 - 2:43 PM ET #207

    You go 1-11 yesterday and come back with a runline game with no value -140 moneyline to even money runline doesn’t equate to any value whatsoever.. goodluck .. watch every a’s game.. wouldn’t dare back Anderson on the road with his 6.12 era last year.. Oakland’s pitchers can’t pitch on the road 

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    You go 1-11 yesterday and come back with a runline game with no value -140 moneyline to even money runline doesn’t equate to any value whatsoever.. goodluck .. watch every a’s game.. wouldn’t dare back Anderson on the road with his 6.12 era last year.. Oakland’s pitchers can’t pitch on the road 

     
    tinfoils
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    Posted: Apr. 14, 2019 - 2:55 PM ET #208

    A bunch of us took it on the chin yesterday. Good luck smack!
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    A bunch of us took it on the chin yesterday. Good luck smack!
     
    smacksmiter
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    Posted: Apr. 14, 2019 - 4:04 PM ET #209

    Quote Originally Posted by supermanbets:

    You go 1-11 yesterday and come back with a runline game with no value -140 moneyline to even money runline doesn’t equate to any value whatsoever.. goodluck .. watch every a’s game.. wouldn’t dare back Anderson on the road with his 6.12 era last year.. Oakland’s pitchers can’t pitch on the road 


    My brutha, I greatly appreciate your feedback...which I am absolutely certain is given in the spirit of constructive criticism...

    I want you to know I greatly appreciate your input and baseball knowledge...I have noted your comments...you know your stuff...

    This play is more of a play against Texas, in my mind...however, your point is taken...I was leaning heavily on the OVER as well...sad I didn't play it now..

    But keep your comments coming...I like it...and ...feel free to start your own selection thread as I would really like to see who you like every day...

    I feel it would benefit the entire Covers board...

    PM for the skinny on the down low
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    Quote Originally Posted by supermanbets:

    You go 1-11 yesterday and come back with a runline game with no value -140 moneyline to even money runline doesn’t equate to any value whatsoever.. goodluck .. watch every a’s game.. wouldn’t dare back Anderson on the road with his 6.12 era last year.. Oakland’s pitchers can’t pitch on the road 


    My brutha, I greatly appreciate your feedback...which I am absolutely certain is given in the spirit of constructive criticism...

    I want you to know I greatly appreciate your input and baseball knowledge...I have noted your comments...you know your stuff...

    This play is more of a play against Texas, in my mind...however, your point is taken...I was leaning heavily on the OVER as well...sad I didn't play it now..

    But keep your comments coming...I like it...and ...feel free to start your own selection thread as I would really like to see who you like every day...

    I feel it would benefit the entire Covers board...

     
    supermanbets
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    Posted: Apr. 14, 2019 - 5:48 PM ET #210

    You take criticism.. while yes constructive... like a man... I hope they hold this lead for you.. and hope Fernando Rodney doesn’t enter this game .. and yea .. wind blowing out .. over hit early 

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    You take criticism.. while yes constructive... like a man... I hope they hold this lead for you.. and hope Fernando Rodney doesn’t enter this game .. and yea .. wind blowing out .. over hit early 

     
    supermanbets
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    Posted: Apr. 14, 2019 - 5:50 PM ET #211

    And yea typically I’m very selective .. couple plays a week... maybe one play a day at most.. learned I like to focus just best on the board.. I have leans everyday just don’t typically post leans .. but yea we can throw info off each other.. goal is to all make money 

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    And yea typically I’m very selective .. couple plays a week... maybe one play a day at most.. learned I like to focus just best on the board.. I have leans everyday just don’t typically post leans .. but yea we can throw info off each other.. goal is to all make money 

     
    smacksmiter
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    Posted: Apr. 14, 2019 - 6:19 PM ET #212

    Quote Originally Posted by supermanbets:

    And yea typically I’m very selective .. couple plays a week... maybe one play a day at most.. learned I like to focus just best on the board.. I have leans everyday just don’t typically post leans .. but yea we can throw info off each other.. goal is to all make money 


    Absolutely the goal is to make money...I take no legitimate criticism negatively...Hope you post your games more often, my brutha...

    Texas mounted a huge comeback...pretty crazy game..

    PM for the skinny on the down low
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    Quote Originally Posted by supermanbets:

    And yea typically I’m very selective .. couple plays a week... maybe one play a day at most.. learned I like to focus just best on the board.. I have leans everyday just don’t typically post leans .. but yea we can throw info off each other.. goal is to all make money 


    Absolutely the goal is to make money...I take no legitimate criticism negatively...Hope you post your games more often, my brutha...

    Texas mounted a huge comeback...pretty crazy game..

     
    supermanbets
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    Posted: Apr. 14, 2019 - 6:41 PM ET #213

    Yea .. Soria is no good.. they have a day off tomorrow... they should have brought in trivino.. bad managing .. at least ya split .. 

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    Yea .. Soria is no good.. they have a day off tomorrow... they should have brought in trivino.. bad managing .. at least ya split .. 

     
    smacksmiter
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    Posted: Apr. 15, 2019 - 12:58 PM ET #214

    Got the push yesterday...1-1... EVEN on units...

    Overall record now 33-25... +.084 units...

    One or two plays today...for sure I am locking in ...

    Miami Marlins +125...for 5 units...

    Yu is terrible...auto fade for me...also like the way Trevor Richards is pitching this year so far...overall, these teams are comparable in a lot of stats...I'll take my shot at fading Yu with plus money every time...



    PM for the skinny on the down low
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    Got the push yesterday...1-1... EVEN on units...

    Overall record now 33-25... +.084 units...

    One or two plays today...for sure I am locking in ...

    Miami Marlins +125...for 5 units...

    Yu is terrible...auto fade for me...also like the way Trevor Richards is pitching this year so far...overall, these teams are comparable in a lot of stats...I'll take my shot at fading Yu with plus money every time...



     
    tinfoils
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    Posted: Apr. 15, 2019 - 2:50 PM ET #215

    Good luck smack!

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    Good luck smack!

     
    supermanbets
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    Posted: Apr. 15, 2019 - 3:33 PM ET #216

    I replied in the other yu darvish thread.. Miami is off a 14 inning game .. a loss.. gassed and deflated... this will more than likely be a bullpen game... Miami bullpen is worked and Chicago off a travel day / early ppd... line jumped from -125 to -155... sharps did that .. public suckered into buying it back down to -140... I wouldn’t touch this game personally but you might wanna think about the Miami triple A offense and taxed bullpen.. not saying your wrong but if .. I’d be surprised if cubs didn’t win 

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    I replied in the other yu darvish thread.. Miami is off a 14 inning game .. a loss.. gassed and deflated... this will more than likely be a bullpen game... Miami bullpen is worked and Chicago off a travel day / early ppd... line jumped from -125 to -155... sharps did that .. public suckered into buying it back down to -140... I wouldn’t touch this game personally but you might wanna think about the Miami triple A offense and taxed bullpen.. not saying your wrong but if .. I’d be surprised if cubs didn’t win 

     
    smacksmiter
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    Posted: Apr. 15, 2019 - 4:43 PM ET #217

    Quote Originally Posted by supermanbets:

    I replied in the other yu darvish thread.. Miami is off a 14 inning game .. a loss.. gassed and deflated... this will more than likely be a bullpen game... Miami bullpen is worked and Chicago off a travel day / early ppd... line jumped from -125 to -155... sharps did that .. public suckered into buying it back down to -140... I wouldn’t touch this game personally but you might wanna think about the Miami triple A offense and taxed bullpen.. not saying your wrong but if .. I’d be surprised if cubs didn’t win 


    I was aware of those details prior to making the bet...but thanks for reiterating them..

    Line now down to Miami +122...

    Wondering how the "public" is moving this line down when the Cubs are a much more "public" team than the Marlins...and I believe even the public, is aware of the Miami tanking strategy for the year...

    While Yu Darvish still has a "public" reputation as a good pitcher...which he no longer is and never will be in my book...

    My thoughts...the public is who drove the line up initially based on the Cubs public persona and Yu's old reputation...and the sharps are now driving it down after looking at the game closely and realizing Miami is starting a much better pitcher...

    We'll find out tonight...

    PM for the skinny on the down low
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    Quote Originally Posted by supermanbets:

    I replied in the other yu darvish thread.. Miami is off a 14 inning game .. a loss.. gassed and deflated... this will more than likely be a bullpen game... Miami bullpen is worked and Chicago off a travel day / early ppd... line jumped from -125 to -155... sharps did that .. public suckered into buying it back down to -140... I wouldn’t touch this game personally but you might wanna think about the Miami triple A offense and taxed bullpen.. not saying your wrong but if .. I’d be surprised if cubs didn’t win 


    I was aware of those details prior to making the bet...but thanks for reiterating them..

    Line now down to Miami +122...

    Wondering how the "public" is moving this line down when the Cubs are a much more "public" team than the Marlins...and I believe even the public, is aware of the Miami tanking strategy for the year...

    While Yu Darvish still has a "public" reputation as a good pitcher...which he no longer is and never will be in my book...

    My thoughts...the public is who drove the line up initially based on the Cubs public persona and Yu's old reputation...and the sharps are now driving it down after looking at the game closely and realizing Miami is starting a much better pitcher...

    We'll find out tonight...

     
    smacksmiter
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    Posted: Apr. 15, 2019 - 6:53 PM ET #218

    Adding...

    Cincinnati... +155... 3 units...I'll take a shot at Kershaw here on his first start post rehab...usually it takes him at least a couple of starts to get back in his groove...

    St. Louis +122...I'll take Hudson over Peralta here...St. Louis has a +16 run differential vs -6 for the Brewers...

    Toronto/Minnesota F5...U 4.5... +105...5 units...riding my friend undermysac on this one...liked his analysis...

    That's more than enough for tonight...but...I have a strong lean on the OVER Cleveland/Seattle game tonight...will decide later on if I play it or not...

    PM for the skinny on the down low
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    Adding...

    Cincinnati... +155... 3 units...I'll take a shot at Kershaw here on his first start post rehab...usually it takes him at least a couple of starts to get back in his groove...

    St. Louis +122...I'll take Hudson over Peralta here...St. Louis has a +16 run differential vs -6 for the Brewers...

    Toronto/Minnesota F5...U 4.5... +105...5 units...riding my friend undermysac on this one...liked his analysis...

    That's more than enough for tonight...but...I have a strong lean on the OVER Cleveland/Seattle game tonight...will decide later on if I play it or not...

     
    smacksmiter
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    Posted: Apr. 15, 2019 - 7:00 PM ET #219

    Sorry...that's 3 units on the St. Louis play...

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    Sorry...that's 3 units on the St. Louis play...

     
    smacksmiter
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    Posted: Apr. 15, 2019 - 7:19 PM ET #220

    Trevor Richards pitching absolutely terribly early on...

    Hope he can get it together before this gets really bad...

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    Trevor Richards pitching absolutely terribly early on...

    Hope he can get it together before this gets really bad...

     
    smacksmiter
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    Posted: Apr. 15, 2019 - 7:21 PM ET #221

    So many Cubs fans at Miami tonight...sounds like they are in Chicago...

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    So many Cubs fans at Miami tonight...sounds like they are in Chicago...

     
    supermanbets
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    Posted: Apr. 15, 2019 - 7:30 PM ET #222

    Yea honestly not a fan of Richards .. like I said bullpen game.. both starting pitchers are bad in my opinion .. just cubs have a big league lineup and the marlins lineup is filled with mostly minor leaguers who can’t hit and veterans past there prime .. 

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    Yea honestly not a fan of Richards .. like I said bullpen game.. both starting pitchers are bad in my opinion .. just cubs have a big league lineup and the marlins lineup is filled with mostly minor leaguers who can’t hit and veterans past there prime .. 

     
    smacksmiter
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    Posted: Apr. 15, 2019 - 7:31 PM ET #223

    Trevor Richards is not on his game tonight...

    In 18 innings pitched this year up until this game... 0 walks...

    Tonight...in 1 inning... 4 walks...

    Missing his spots bad and the ump is not helping, very tight on the strike zone..

    Grabbed a LIVE OVER 9.5 -112 right before those runs came in for 2 units...this baby is going to FLY over...

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    Trevor Richards is not on his game tonight...

    In 18 innings pitched this year up until this game... 0 walks...

    Tonight...in 1 inning... 4 walks...

    Missing his spots bad and the ump is not helping, very tight on the strike zone..

    Grabbed a LIVE OVER 9.5 -112 right before those runs came in for 2 units...this baby is going to FLY over...

     
    supermanbets
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    Posted: Apr. 15, 2019 - 7:39 PM ET #224

    Yea I mean high walk rate last year.. players tend to lead to there trends .. he’s young and inconsistent.. as for darvish ... darvish is hitting 96.. so everyone freaking out saying he doesn’t have it .. well when you miss a year with injury and have an abbreviated spring.. people don’t get it takes a beat to build up arm strength and crispness on pitches.. I knew it was just a matter of time thought it would take a couple more starts.. haha ex college Pitcher here ...

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    Yea I mean high walk rate last year.. players tend to lead to there trends .. he’s young and inconsistent.. as for darvish ... darvish is hitting 96.. so everyone freaking out saying he doesn’t have it .. well when you miss a year with injury and have an abbreviated spring.. people don’t get it takes a beat to build up arm strength and crispness on pitches.. I knew it was just a matter of time thought it would take a couple more starts.. haha ex college Pitcher here ...

     
     
    smacksmiter
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    Posted: Apr. 15, 2019 - 7:41 PM ET #225

    Quote Originally Posted by supermanbets:

    Yea I mean high walk rate last year.. players tend to lead to there trends .. he’s young and inconsistent.. as for darvish ... darvish is hitting 96.. so everyone freaking out saying he doesn’t have it .. well when you miss a year with injury and have an abbreviated spring.. people don’t get it takes a beat to build up arm strength and crispness on pitches.. I knew it was just a matter of time thought it would take a couple more starts.. haha ex college Pitcher here ...


    Yeah..he is looking pretty sharp early on...we will see how he does after 50 pitches...that's where he has problems in the past...

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    Quote Originally Posted by supermanbets:

    Yea I mean high walk rate last year.. players tend to lead to there trends .. he’s young and inconsistent.. as for darvish ... darvish is hitting 96.. so everyone freaking out saying he doesn’t have it .. well when you miss a year with injury and have an abbreviated spring.. people don’t get it takes a beat to build up arm strength and crispness on pitches.. I knew it was just a matter of time thought it would take a couple more starts.. haha ex college Pitcher here ...


    Yeah..he is looking pretty sharp early on...we will see how he does after 50 pitches...that's where he has problems in the past...

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