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    All Forums | MLB Betting Forum

    ONE...BET...A...DAY...

    «First Previous 123 ... 8910 Next Last»
    smacksmiter
    averagebettor
    Wizz_KIDD35
    tinfoils
    Pipeville
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    Views: 23842
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    «First Previous 123 ... 8910 Next Last»
     
    smacksmiter
    smacksmiter
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    Posted: Apr. 13, 2019 - 1:32 AM ET #176

    Well...it appears we will have a 5 UNIT loser in Seattle +137 tonight...shame they left that kid in relief to give up that grand slam...

    But..as Ron Washington has so famously said...

    "Dat's de way bazeball go..."...

    As Steve Harvey has also famously said...

    "Still a good night!"...

    Will tally up in a bit once the games finish...but I went ahead and put in another 10 unit wager tonight for the Saturday card..

    Oakland/Texas OVER 10.5... -110...10 units...

    This entire series is going to POP...the kid for Texas is going to get shelled hard tomorrow...Marco Estrada for Oakland could slow down the Texas bats for a bit but I think they will get their team total as well...may have team total plays on this game as well tomorrow...

    PM for the skinny on the down low
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    Well...it appears we will have a 5 UNIT loser in Seattle +137 tonight...shame they left that kid in relief to give up that grand slam...

    But..as Ron Washington has so famously said...

    "Dat's de way bazeball go..."...

    As Steve Harvey has also famously said...

    "Still a good night!"...

    Will tally up in a bit once the games finish...but I went ahead and put in another 10 unit wager tonight for the Saturday card..

    Oakland/Texas OVER 10.5... -110...10 units...

    This entire series is going to POP...the kid for Texas is going to get shelled hard tomorrow...Marco Estrada for Oakland could slow down the Texas bats for a bit but I think they will get their team total as well...may have team total plays on this game as well tomorrow...

     
    smacksmiter
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    Posted: Apr. 13, 2019 - 2:09 AM ET #177

    The Brew Crew take care of business as a +147 underdog wrapping up a 4.41 unit WINNER!!!

    7-2 on the day with Colorado/S.F. in extra innings...the last game for tonight...

    Let's goooooo GIANTS!!!

    PM for the skinny on the down low
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    The Brew Crew take care of business as a +147 underdog wrapping up a 4.41 unit WINNER!!!

    7-2 on the day with Colorado/S.F. in extra innings...the last game for tonight...

    Let's goooooo GIANTS!!!

     
    smacksmiter
    smacksmiter
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    Posted: Apr. 13, 2019 - 3:55 AM ET #178

    Wow...in the 18th inning the Giants win it!!!

    Add another 3.72 unit WINNER~~~~~~~!!!!!...

    Today!!!...8-2.....+29.48 units!!!

    Overall... 31-13..... +82.29 units!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

    More loaded for tomorrow already and more on the way!!

    Nite all!!

    PM for the skinny on the down low
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    Wow...in the 18th inning the Giants win it!!!

    Add another 3.72 unit WINNER~~~~~~~!!!!!...

    Today!!!...8-2.....+29.48 units!!!

    Overall... 31-13..... +82.29 units!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

    More loaded for tomorrow already and more on the way!!

    Nite all!!

     
    averagebettor
    averagebettor
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    Posted: Apr. 13, 2019 - 4:07 AM ET #179

    an_cheers

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    an_cheers

     
    Wizz_KIDD35
    Wizz_KIDD35
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    Posted: Apr. 13, 2019 - 6:22 AM ET #180

    GOOD JOB!! STAY HOTTTT
    STAY HUNGRY MY FRIENDS!!!!!
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    GOOD JOB!! STAY HOTTTT
     
    tinfoils
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    Posted: Apr. 13, 2019 - 6:52 AM ET #181

    Excellent run! Good luck smack !

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    Excellent run! Good luck smack !

     
    Pipeville
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    Posted: Apr. 13, 2019 - 9:15 AM ET #182

    The Seattle offense train rolls on and now have topped 5 runs in 15 of 16  

    My book had team total of 3.5 for Seattle!!! with heavy juice but had to grab it and also played game total over 9. I’ve been watching these games and outside of Jay Bruce who just waves at the ball, these Seattle hitters are very disciplined and have power up and down the lineup.  Felix scares me tonight but let’s score more runs!

    stay hot!

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    The Seattle offense train rolls on and now have topped 5 runs in 15 of 16  

    My book had team total of 3.5 for Seattle!!! with heavy juice but had to grab it and also played game total over 9. I’ve been watching these games and outside of Jay Bruce who just waves at the ball, these Seattle hitters are very disciplined and have power up and down the lineup.  Felix scares me tonight but let’s score more runs!

    stay hot!

     
    smacksmiter
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    Posted: Apr. 13, 2019 - 9:18 AM ET #183

    Had a lot of time last night to review the entire card thoroughly...so I am posting my list of LEANS...to be clear once again, these are LEANS and NOT locked in plays..

    Thought it might be helpful as you look at your card for today...

    There is a very high probability that several of these become locked in plays for today....

    Phillies F5
    Houston/Seattle OVER 8
    Seattle +167
    Baltimore/Boston OVER 10.5
    Cubs/NYY OVER 9.5
    T.B. Devil Rays -177 and RLine -110
    S.F. -134
    St. Louis/Cincy U 10.5
    AZ -107

    Several team totals I am looking at as well...will list later as I work on them...

    Only 3 plays locked in so far for today...but they are all 10 unit

    Phillies RLine +110
    Cleveland/K.C. OVER 9... -105
    Oakland/Texas OVER 10.5... -110

    PM for the skinny on the down low
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    Had a lot of time last night to review the entire card thoroughly...so I am posting my list of LEANS...to be clear once again, these are LEANS and NOT locked in plays..

    Thought it might be helpful as you look at your card for today...

    There is a very high probability that several of these become locked in plays for today....

    Phillies F5
    Houston/Seattle OVER 8
    Seattle +167
    Baltimore/Boston OVER 10.5
    Cubs/NYY OVER 9.5
    T.B. Devil Rays -177 and RLine -110
    S.F. -134
    St. Louis/Cincy U 10.5
    AZ -107

    Several team totals I am looking at as well...will list later as I work on them...

    Only 3 plays locked in so far for today...but they are all 10 unit

    Phillies RLine +110
    Cleveland/K.C. OVER 9... -105
    Oakland/Texas OVER 10.5... -110

     
    smacksmiter
    smacksmiter
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    Posted: Apr. 13, 2019 - 9:21 AM ET #184

    Quote Originally Posted by Pipeville:

    The Seattle offense train rolls on and now have topped 5 runs in 15 of 16  

    My book had team total of 3.5 for Seattle!!! with heavy juice but had to grab it and also played game total over 9. I’ve been watching these games and outside of Jay Bruce who just waves at the ball, these Seattle hitters are very disciplined and have power up and down the lineup.  Felix scares me tonight but let’s score more runs!

    stay hot!


    Felix is why I like the OVER in the game tonight...but I also like Seattle at that nice +172 number as I do believe they can hit Verlander...

    Team total number just keeps marching on...until it start to show signs of slowing down, got to keep hitting it ...

    PM for the skinny on the down low
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    Quote Originally Posted by Pipeville:

    The Seattle offense train rolls on and now have topped 5 runs in 15 of 16  

    My book had team total of 3.5 for Seattle!!! with heavy juice but had to grab it and also played game total over 9. I’ve been watching these games and outside of Jay Bruce who just waves at the ball, these Seattle hitters are very disciplined and have power up and down the lineup.  Felix scares me tonight but let’s score more runs!

    stay hot!


    Felix is why I like the OVER in the game tonight...but I also like Seattle at that nice +172 number as I do believe they can hit Verlander...

    Team total number just keeps marching on...until it start to show signs of slowing down, got to keep hitting it ...

     
    smacksmiter
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    Posted: Apr. 13, 2019 - 9:26 AM ET #185

    Why am I talking about it and not putting the bet in...lol...??

    Call me crazy but I am going to HAMMER the team totals in this game again...plus money on a Seattle Team Total?? 101

    Seattle OVER 3.5... +101...10 units...

    Houston OVER 4.5... -140....10 units...

    Man...this day today is looking like some kind of SMASH THE BOOKS day...or...SMASH ME day...

    I can't stop the 10 unit plays...

    *takes a deeeeeep breath*....

    Ok...got to tap the brakes...

    PM for the skinny on the down low
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    Why am I talking about it and not putting the bet in...lol...??

    Call me crazy but I am going to HAMMER the team totals in this game again...plus money on a Seattle Team Total?? 101

    Seattle OVER 3.5... +101...10 units...

    Houston OVER 4.5... -140....10 units...

    Man...this day today is looking like some kind of SMASH THE BOOKS day...or...SMASH ME day...

    I can't stop the 10 unit plays...

    *takes a deeeeeep breath*....

    Ok...got to tap the brakes...

     
    LoafOfBread
    LoafOfBread
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    Posted: Apr. 13, 2019 - 9:30 AM ET #186

    ay !! love the picks!! going to the yankee game today and wanna wager some nice nice on it . was thinking of parlaying the over 10 w yanks ML ancd Rays ML thooughts???

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    ay !! love the picks!! going to the yankee game today and wanna wager some nice nice on it . was thinking of parlaying the over 10 w yanks ML ancd Rays ML thooughts???

     
    smacksmiter
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    Posted: Apr. 13, 2019 - 9:34 AM ET #187

    Quote Originally Posted by LoafOfBread:

    ay !! love the picks!! going to the yankee game today and wanna wager some nice nice on it . was thinking of parlaying the over 10 w yanks ML ancd Rays ML thooughts???


    The Yankees should be pretty pissed off about that game last night...as a general rule, its a +EV situation to bet against the White Sox...The OVER looks good as well...

    I will never use the word "lock" in reference to a play....The Tampa Bay Devils Rays are a very strong ML selection for your parlay, imo...

    Best of luck brutha!

    PM for the skinny on the down low
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    Quote Originally Posted by LoafOfBread:

    ay !! love the picks!! going to the yankee game today and wanna wager some nice nice on it . was thinking of parlaying the over 10 w yanks ML ancd Rays ML thooughts???


    The Yankees should be pretty pissed off about that game last night...as a general rule, its a +EV situation to bet against the White Sox...The OVER looks good as well...

    I will never use the word "lock" in reference to a play....The Tampa Bay Devils Rays are a very strong ML selection for your parlay, imo...

    Best of luck brutha!

     
    LoafOfBread
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    Posted: Apr. 13, 2019 - 9:36 AM ET #188

    i wann add cubs as the 4th but am i getting greedy?? or maybe a nets/76ers over 230.5 or to greedy set those aside from the parlay? and thanks man should be a fun one!! 

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    i wann add cubs as the 4th but am i getting greedy?? or maybe a nets/76ers over 230.5 or to greedy set those aside from the parlay? and thanks man should be a fun one!! 

     
    smacksmiter
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    Posted: Apr. 13, 2019 - 9:38 AM ET #189

    Last night....I was pretty sure I was going to be adding the Oakland and Texas team totals...

    For now, though...just adding the Oakland play...

    Oakland Team Total OVER 5.5...-103.....5 units...

    Love the game over, obviously, and I still lean strongly to Texas getting the OVER 4.5...but Marco Estrada concerns me just a bit...he might hold them just under that number...

    Whew...only 5 units on this one...feels good man...

    PM for the skinny on the down low
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    Last night....I was pretty sure I was going to be adding the Oakland and Texas team totals...

    For now, though...just adding the Oakland play...

    Oakland Team Total OVER 5.5...-103.....5 units...

    Love the game over, obviously, and I still lean strongly to Texas getting the OVER 4.5...but Marco Estrada concerns me just a bit...he might hold them just under that number...

    Whew...only 5 units on this one...feels good man...

     
    smacksmiter
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    Posted: Apr. 13, 2019 - 9:40 AM ET #190

    Quote Originally Posted by LoafOfBread:

    i wann add cubs as the 4th but am i getting greedy?? or maybe a nets/76ers over 230.5 or to greedy set those aside from the parlay? and thanks man should be a fun one!! 


    Remember...pigs get fat...but hogs get slaughtered...very good old saying to keep in mind as it does apply to sports wagering...

    That being said...Cubs are a strong ML contender today imo...The Angels without Trout are looking pretty weak...

    PM for the skinny on the down low
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    Quote Originally Posted by LoafOfBread:

    i wann add cubs as the 4th but am i getting greedy?? or maybe a nets/76ers over 230.5 or to greedy set those aside from the parlay? and thanks man should be a fun one!! 


    Remember...pigs get fat...but hogs get slaughtered...very good old saying to keep in mind as it does apply to sports wagering...

    That being said...Cubs are a strong ML contender today imo...The Angels without Trout are looking pretty weak...

     
    smacksmiter
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    Posted: Apr. 13, 2019 - 9:52 AM ET #191

    Just a few words on "balancing"...

    You might have seen me reference a bet as a "balancing" wager...

    Of course, any wager I put in I want to win and expect to win it...however..in select cases, I add a bet in that same game as a type of insurance against a loss...

    For example, I might love the OVER in a game...very typical of me to hit both or one of the team totals to balance the large wager on the OVER...

    There are other examples but it's a great strategy to use if you aren't totally convinced about your wager...

    Win 2...lose 1...still profitable...

    Win 1...lose 2...not the worst of worlds...

    If you get lucky and win all 3...BINGO...

    And if you capped everything correctly and STILL lose all 3...

    Welp...that's called "variance"...it happens...if you look again at the wagers and wouldn't have changed a thing...would have made the same bet again...just move on to the next one...

    Can't win em all,pardner...

    You just want to win more than you lose...

    PM for the skinny on the down low
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    Just a few words on "balancing"...

    You might have seen me reference a bet as a "balancing" wager...

    Of course, any wager I put in I want to win and expect to win it...however..in select cases, I add a bet in that same game as a type of insurance against a loss...

    For example, I might love the OVER in a game...very typical of me to hit both or one of the team totals to balance the large wager on the OVER...

    There are other examples but it's a great strategy to use if you aren't totally convinced about your wager...

    Win 2...lose 1...still profitable...

    Win 1...lose 2...not the worst of worlds...

    If you get lucky and win all 3...BINGO...

    And if you capped everything correctly and STILL lose all 3...

    Welp...that's called "variance"...it happens...if you look again at the wagers and wouldn't have changed a thing...would have made the same bet again...just move on to the next one...

    Can't win em all,pardner...

    You just want to win more than you lose...

     
    smacksmiter
    smacksmiter
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    Posted: Apr. 13, 2019 - 10:04 AM ET #192

    Today's lottery ticket!!!

    Remember...for entertainment purposes ONLY...

    1 unit pays... 15.4 units...

    Philly -1.5... +110...
    Baltimore/Boston OVER 11...EVEN...
    Cleveland/K.C. OVER 9...EVEN...
    Oakland/Texas OVER 10.5... -105...

    PM for the skinny on the down low
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    Today's lottery ticket!!!

    Remember...for entertainment purposes ONLY...

    1 unit pays... 15.4 units...

    Philly -1.5... +110...
    Baltimore/Boston OVER 11...EVEN...
    Cleveland/K.C. OVER 9...EVEN...
    Oakland/Texas OVER 10.5... -105...

     
    smacksmiter
    smacksmiter
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    Posted: Apr. 13, 2019 - 10:07 AM ET #193

    Of course, I usually play all selections in a parlay as separate straight wagers...so...

    Adding...

    Baltimore/Boston OVER 11... EVEN...5 units...

    PM for the skinny on the down low
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    Of course, I usually play all selections in a parlay as separate straight wagers...so...

    Adding...

    Baltimore/Boston OVER 11... EVEN...5 units...

     
    smacksmiter
    smacksmiter
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    Posted: Apr. 13, 2019 - 10:33 AM ET #194

    Adding some F5 plays...

    Philly -.5... -110...
    T.B. -.5... -130...
    Boston -.5... -140...

    All for 5 units each...

    PM for the skinny on the down low
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    Adding some F5 plays...

    Philly -.5... -110...
    T.B. -.5... -130...
    Boston -.5... -140...

    All for 5 units each...

     
    khmerandone
    khmerandone
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    Posted: Apr. 13, 2019 - 11:48 AM ET #195

    ride with you on the F5!!!!!! $2 eachnew_praise

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    ride with you on the F5!!!!!! $2 eachnew_praise

     
    tinfoils
    tinfoils
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    Posted: Apr. 13, 2019 - 1:21 PM ET #196

    Quote Originally Posted by smacksmiter:

    Why am I talking about it and not putting the bet in...lol...??

    Call me crazy but I am going to HAMMER the team totals in this game again...plus money on a Seattle Team Total?? 101

    Seattle OVER 3.5... +101...10 units...

    Houston OVER 4.5... -140....10 units...

    Man...this day today is looking like some kind of SMASH THE BOOKS day...or...SMASH ME day...

    I can't stop the 10 unit plays...

    *takes a deeeeeep breath*....

    Ok...got to tap the brakes...

    I agree with you. I originally had 7 plays on my card while waiting for the Milwaukee line, F5 and props to be released  Pared it down to the four I posted and ............ disaster could be waiting for me at the end of the night.

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    Quote Originally Posted by smacksmiter:

    Why am I talking about it and not putting the bet in...lol...??

    Call me crazy but I am going to HAMMER the team totals in this game again...plus money on a Seattle Team Total?? 101

    Seattle OVER 3.5... +101...10 units...

    Houston OVER 4.5... -140....10 units...

    Man...this day today is looking like some kind of SMASH THE BOOKS day...or...SMASH ME day...

    I can't stop the 10 unit plays...

    *takes a deeeeeep breath*....

    Ok...got to tap the brakes...

    I agree with you. I originally had 7 plays on my card while waiting for the Milwaukee line, F5 and props to be released  Pared it down to the four I posted and ............ disaster could be waiting for me at the end of the night.

     
    smacksmiter
    smacksmiter
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    Posted: Apr. 13, 2019 - 1:44 PM ET #197

    Porecello for Boston today...

    Looks like he is really off his game...

    Chris Davis got his first hit of the season off of him...if that tells you something... a 2 run single...

    This might be a very bad day to be betting on Boston...

    PM for the skinny on the down low
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    Porecello for Boston today...

    Looks like he is really off his game...

    Chris Davis got his first hit of the season off of him...if that tells you something... a 2 run single...

    This might be a very bad day to be betting on Boston...

     
    smacksmiter
    smacksmiter
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    Posted: Apr. 13, 2019 - 2:13 PM ET #198

    Quote Originally Posted by khmerandone:

    ride with you on the F5!!!!!! $2 eachnew_praise


    I had no idea there was a book that allowed a $2 wager on sports...

    Congrats, brutha!...

    PM for the skinny on the down low
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    Quote Originally Posted by khmerandone:

    ride with you on the F5!!!!!! $2 eachnew_praise


    I had no idea there was a book that allowed a $2 wager on sports...

    Congrats, brutha!...

     
    smacksmiter
    smacksmiter
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    Posted: Apr. 13, 2019 - 2:24 PM ET #199

    Quote Originally Posted by smacksmiter:

    Porecello for Boston today...

    Looks like he is really off his game...

    Chris Davis got his first hit of the season off of him...if that tells you something... a 2 run single...

    This might be a very bad day to be betting on Boston...


    Only the second time in Porcello's career that he has walked 5 or more batters....already up to 80 pitches here in the 4th inning...

    He won't make it past 5 at this rate...

    PM for the skinny on the down low
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    Quote Originally Posted by smacksmiter:

    Porecello for Boston today...

    Looks like he is really off his game...

    Chris Davis got his first hit of the season off of him...if that tells you something... a 2 run single...

    This might be a very bad day to be betting on Boston...


    Only the second time in Porcello's career that he has walked 5 or more batters....already up to 80 pitches here in the 4th inning...

    He won't make it past 5 at this rate...

     
     
    barneybeans
    barneybeans
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    Posts: 9980
    Posted: Apr. 13, 2019 - 2:35 PM ET #200

    Quote Originally Posted by smacksmiter:

    Quote Originally Posted by LoafOfBread:

    i wann add cubs as the 4th but am i getting greedy?? or maybe a nets/76ers over 230.5 or to greedy set those aside from the parlay? and thanks man should be a fun one!! 
    Remember...pigs get fat...but hogs get slaughtered...very good old saying to keep in mind as it does apply to sports wagering...That being said...Cubs are a strong ML contender today imo...The Angels without Trout are looking pretty weak...
    In a reference to Wall Street (a different type of gambling) I always heard, "The bulls and the bears make money, the pigs get slaughtered".

     

    Nice run bro.

    The pen is mightier than the pigs
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    Quote Originally Posted by smacksmiter:

    Quote Originally Posted by LoafOfBread:

    i wann add cubs as the 4th but am i getting greedy?? or maybe a nets/76ers over 230.5 or to greedy set those aside from the parlay? and thanks man should be a fun one!! 
    Remember...pigs get fat...but hogs get slaughtered...very good old saying to keep in mind as it does apply to sports wagering...That being said...Cubs are a strong ML contender today imo...The Angels without Trout are looking pretty weak...
    In a reference to Wall Street (a different type of gambling) I always heard, "The bulls and the bears make money, the pigs get slaughtered".

     

    Nice run bro.

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