YTD (MLB): 2-12 (BIG PLAY!!!: 0-2)
I'm not sure how I can make this up, but I'm also not sure what I've been missing with all of these games. The frustration on my side is real because the games that I don't post and I end up playing win and there's no superstition that you can connect with that. So I just need to keep plowing along because I know the system and analytics that I utilize to handicap the games actually works. One thing that it does not take into account are the crazy amount of errors and fielding gaffs that I've witnessed this season. One reason for this that nobody is talking about is because we don't have the extreme shifts anymore. That has led to higher scoring and obviously hitters that have applauded the rule change.
Still, that's no excuse for the plight that I've had. There are a lot of games and Fridays seem to be very challenging given the fanfare for weekend games and in many cases the starting of a new series. Nevertheless, I'm hoping for a monster evening.
ARIZONA (-110)...BIG PLAY!!!: the diamondbacks are a team that I follow and for that reason, I feel comfortable, backing them here. They have made a habit of looking lifeless on a home stand and then hitting the road and catching fire. I think the day off has done them quite a bit of good and the trade of Naylor will potentially serve as a wake up call to those who still wanna fight for the playoffs. Ryne Nelson has been solid of late and I think Burrows is very hittable. The Pirates have been playing great baseball, but in this case I think the off day doesn't serve them as well and Arizona takes the first game in the series.
UNDER 4.5 FH (CLE/KC): both pitchers here have been decent in the situations they find themselves in tonight. Michael Wacha has slightly over a two ERA when pitching at home and Gavin Williams has been pretty solid on the road. The Indians commit an incredible amount of errors which lead to runs and so that has me slightly worried, which is why I decided not to take the full game. Though it's tough to predict when errors occur I do think this game is tightly fought, and the Indians tend to score less on the road than at home.
SAN DIEGO (-130): NICK PIVETTA IS THE BETTER PITCHER AND HE HAS BEEN VERY GOOD IN HIS CAREER AGAINST THE CARDINALS. THE WEATHER IS VERY MUCH THE SAME AS IT WAS YESTERDAY WHICH LED TO MASSIVE AMOUNTS OF SCORING AND HOME RUNS. THAT DOES WORRY ME A BIT, WHICH TOOK THIS FROM BEING A BIG PLAY but I think the Padres end up getting the second game in the series.
I'm gonna end the post here and come back a bit later as this voice dictation is driving me up a wall as you can tell from some of the capitalized prose above. The early game is super interesting because Freddy Peralta has been the hottest pitcher and is unbeatable at home and almost just as good during the day. But the Marlins are pesky and Cal Quantrill has done pretty well against them in his career. I'm very tempted to go under in this game, but I'm still mulling it over. As always, tail or fade, good luck to all.
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