MLB Thursday Info

Giants vs. Rockies: Betting the Moneyline

• The Giants have won 16 of the 32 games they were the moneyline favorite this season (50%).
• Colorado has come away with 23 wins in the 54 contests it has been listed as the underdogs in this season.
• This season San Francisco has won two of its four games when favored by at least -185 on the moneyline.
• The Rockies have a win-loss record of 8-16 when favored by +157 or worse by sportsbooks this year.
• The implied moneyline probablility for this matchup gives the Giants a 64.9% chance to win.
• The moneyline for this contest implies a 64.9% chance of a victory for the Giants.

• The Giants have combined with opponents to hit the over on the total 28 times this season for a 28-31-2 record against the over/under.
• Colorado's games have gone over the total in 27 of its 63 chances.
• The Giants have a 30-31-0 record ATS this season (covering 49.2% of the time).
• The Giants have an ATS record of 30-31-0 in 61 games with a spread this season.

• Score Prediction: Giants 5, Rockies 4
• Total Prediction: Under 11.5 runs
<

Diamondbacks vs. Nationals: Betting the Moneyline

• The Diamondbacks have won 19 of the 28 games they were listed as the moneyline favorite this season (67.9%).
• Washington has been underdogs in 57 games this season and has come away with the win 22 times (38.6%) in those contests.
• Arizona has entered nine games this season favored by -158 or more and is 8-1 in those contests.
• This season, the Nationals have been victorious 15 times in 35 chances when named as an underdog of at least +134 or worse on the moneyline.
• Based on this contest's moneyline, the Diamondbacks' implied win probability is 61.2%.
• The oddsmakers' moneyline implies a 61.2% chance of a victory for the Diamondbacks.

• The Diamondbacks have played in 62 games with set over/under, and have combined with opponents to go over the total 29 times (29-30-3).
• So far this season, Washington and its opponents have hit the over in 28 of its 60 games with a total.
• The Diamondbacks have collected a 37-25-0 record against the spread this season.
• The Diamondbacks have an ATS record of 37-25-0 in 62 games with a spread this season.

• Score Prediction: Diamondbacks 5, Nationals 4
• Total Prediction: Under 8.5 runs
<

Dodgers vs. Reds: Betting the Moneyline

• The Dodgers have won 30 of the 50 games they were favored on the moneyline this season (60%).
• Cincinnati has been victorious in 22, or 45.8%, of the 48 contests it has been chosen as underdogs in this season.
• Los Angeles has a record of 4-3 when favored by -226 or more by sportsbooks this season.
• The Reds have a win-loss record of 1-4 when favored by +188 or worse by sportsbooks this year.
• Based on this game's moneyline, the Dodgers have an implied win probability of 69.3%.
• The moneyline for this contest implies a 69.3% chance of a victory for the Dodgers.

• The Dodgers have had an over/under set by oddsmakers 62 times, and have combined with opponents to go over the total in 36 of those games (36-24-2).
• So far this season, Cincinnati and its opponents have hit the over in 35 of its 62 games with a total.
• The Dodgers have a 34-28-0 record ATS this season.
• In 62 games with a spread this season, the Dodgers are 34-28-0 ATS.

• Score Prediction: Dodgers 6, Reds 5
• Total Prediction: Over 10 runs
<

Play Against
Road teams (SAN FRANCISCO)
after 2 straight games with no home runs, with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 3.00 over his last 10 games

56-30 over the last 5 seasons.
65.1% (29.4 units)

Play On
Home teams (ATLANTA)
with a hot bullpen whose ERA is under 2.00 the last 10 games, playing on Thursday

35-15 over the last 5 seasons.
70.0% (18.6 units)

Play On
Any team (TAMPA BAY)
after 2 straight games where they stranded 5 or less runners on base, starting a pitcher who gave up 1 or less earned runs last outing

363-260 over the last 5 seasons.
58.3% (104.5 units)

Play On
Any team (HOUSTON)
after 2 straight games where they stranded 5 or less runners on base, starting a pitcher who gave up 1 or less earned runs last outing

363-260 over the last 5 seasons.
58.3% (104.5 units)

Play On
All teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (BALTIMORE)
after a game without an extra base hit against opponent after 4 straight games where they committed no errors

34-14 over the last 5 seasons.
70.8% (21.3 units)

Play On
Home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (LA ANGELS)
below average AL hitting team (AVG <=.265) against a team with a below avg bullpen (ERA >=4.50), with a starting pitcher whose winning percentage is worse than 20%

25-9 since 1997.
73.5% (17.1 units)

Play On
Road underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (CHI WHITE SOX) GM 1
AL team with a low slugging percentage (<=.410) against a team with a good bullpen (WHIP <=1.350), with a starting pitcher whose gives up 1 or more HR's/start

43-35 over the last 5 seasons.
55.1% (31.3 units)

Chicago is 6-2 in their last 8 games against Los Angeles.

Los Angeles is 3-7 in their last 10 interleague home games.

Los Angeles is 3-9 in their last 12 games after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game. BY A.Rome

Cubs vs. Angels Betting Prediction

The outcome of this game will likely hinge on the starting pitchers for each club. Chicago’s Drew Smyly has been exceptional this year. Smyly is 5-3 with a 3.56 ERA, a 1.11 WHIP, and a stellar 3.4 strikeout-to-walk ratio. Angels starter Reid Detmers hasn’t been good this season. The southpaw is 0-5 this year with a 5.15 ERA, a 1.54 WHIP, and an opponent batting average of .286. Detmers has actually been worse at home this season as his home ERA is 5.33 and his road ERA is 4.97. Reid Detmers has yet to record a win this year and I don’t believe he’ll get his first one on Thursday. I like the Cubs to win this one outright as money-line underdogs.

MLB Betting Prediction: CHICAGO CUBS +115

Red Sox vs. Guardians MLB Betting Trends

Boston is 4-1 in their last 5 Thursday games.

Boston is 9-3 in their last 12 games against the American League Central.

Cleveland is 4-12 in their last 16 games when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.

Cleveland is 2-7 in their last 9 games following a win. by A.Rome

Red Sox vs. Guardians Betting Prediction

The Red Sox have been solid on the road in a few different scenarios this year. Boston is 8-3 in their last 11 road games against a team with a losing record. Boston is also 5-1 in their last 6 road games with the total set between 7.0 and 8.5. But the most significant point in Boston’s favor is their track record against Cleveland. The Red Sox are 14-6 in their last 20 games against the Guardians, and Boston is 8-2 in their last 10 games against the Guardians in Cleveland. I like the Red Sox to take the rubber match in this series on Thursday night.

MLB Betting Prediction: BOSTON RED SOX -105

Mets vs. Braves MLB Betting Trends

Under is 5-1 in Mets last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter

Under is 6-2 in Mets last 8 overall

Under is 4-1 in Braves last 5 during game 3 of a series

Under is 5-2-1 in Braves last 8 overall by A.Rome

Mets vs. Braves MLB BETTING PREDICTION

The Mets are now 0-7 in their last seven games at Truist Park and is 1-9 in their last 10 games versus the Braves overall. They’ve also dropped six straight overall, are 0-5 in their last five road games and are 6-18 in their last 25 games versus a team with a winning record. The Braves, meanwhile, are 5-0 in their last five games, are 5-0 in their last five games versus a right-handed starter and are 39-15 in their last 55 games versus National League East opponents.

MLB BETTING PREDICTION: ATLANTA BRAVES -170

Astros vs. Blue Jays MLB Betting Trends

Astros are 1-5 in the last 6 meetings in Toronto

Astros are 36-17 in their last 53 road games

Blue Jays are 7-1 in their last 8 overall

Blue Jays are 2-4 in their last 6 games vs. a left-handed starter

Astros vs. Blue Jays MLB BETTING PREDICTION

The under is 5-1 in the last six meetings between these two teams in Toronto and is 4-1-1 in the last six meetings between these two teams overall. The under is also 11-4 in the Astros’ last 14 road games, is 12-3 in their last 15 road games versus a team starting a right-handed starter and is 21-9 in their last 30 games versus a right-handed starter. On the other side, the under is 5-1-1 in the Blue Jays’ last seven home games and is 5-1-1 in their last seven home games versus a team with a winning record.

MLB BETTING PREDICTION: ASTROS/BLUE JAYS UNDER 8.5

Tigers vs. Phillies MLB Betting Trends

Tigers are 0-5 in the last 5 meetings

Tigers are 0-5 in their last 5 overall

Phillies are 4-0 in their last 4 overall

Phillies are 4-1 in their last 5 during game 3 of a series by A.Rome

Tigers vs. Phillies MLB BETTING PREDICTION

The under is 5-1 in the Tigers’ last six games overall, is 4-1 in their last five games coming off a loss and is 4-1 in their last five road games as well. On the other side, the under is 9-2-2 in the Phillies’ last 13 home games versus a left-handed starter, is 7-2-2 in their last 11 interleague games versus a left-handed starter and is 9-3-4 in their last 16 games versus a lefty.

MLB BETTING PREDICTION: TIGERS/PHILLIES UNDER 7.5

Giants vs. Rockies MLB Betting Trends

Over is 8-1 in Giants last 9 during game 3 of a series

Over is 13-5 in Giants last 18 vs. National League West

Over is 5-1 in Rockies last 6 home games

Under is 5-2 in Rockies last 7 overall by A.Rome

Giants vs. Rockies MLB BETTING PREDICTION

The Giants are 37-15 in their last 51 games versus the Rockies and are 15-3 in their last 18 games at Coors Field. They’re also 5-1 in their last six road games and are 5-1 in their last six road games versus a right-handed starter. On the other side, the Rockies are 1-4 in their last five games during Game 3 of a series, are 4-13 in their last 17 games after losing the first two games of a series and are 15-36 in their last 51 games versus National League West.

MLB BETTING PREDICTION: SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS -190

Orioles vs. Brewers MLB Betting Trends

Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Milwaukee

Under is 6-1-1 in the last 8 meetings

Under is 4-2 in Orioles last 6 road games

Under is 6-2-1 in Brewers last 9 overall by A.Rome

Orioles vs. Brewers MLB BETTING PREDICTION

The Orioles 0-7 in their last seven games at American Family Field and are 1-9 in their last 10 games versus the Brewers overall. They’ve also dropped 11 out of their last 15 interleague road games versus a team with a winning record, are 74-152 in their last 226 road games versus a team with a winning record and are 16-38 in their last 54 interleague games versus a team with a winning record. On the other side, the Brewers are 7-1 in their last eight interleague home games, are 7-1 in their last eight interleague home games versus a right-handed starter and are 5-1 in their last six games overall.

MLB BETTING PREDICTION: MILWAUKEE BREWERS -105

Twins vs. Rays MLB Betting Trends

Twins are 1-4 in their last 5 overall

Twins are 21-44 in their last 65 road games

Rays are 44-13 in their last 57 home games

Rays are 46-19 in their last 65 overall

Twins vs. Rays MLB BETTING PREDICTION

The over is 37-16-2 in the last 55 meetings between these two teams overall and is 20-6-2 in the last 27 meetings at Tropicana Field. The over is also 9-2 in the Rays’ last 11 home games versus a team with a winning record, is 9-3 in their last 12 home games and is 6-3 in their last nine home games versus a right-handed starter.

MLB BETTING PREDICTION: TWINS/RAYS OVER 7.5

Diamondbacks vs. Nationals MLB Betting Trends

Diamondbacks are 8-2 in the last 10 meetings

Diamondbacks are 8-2 in their last 10 overall

Diamondbacks are 6-1 in their last 7 road games

Nationals are 44-96 in their last 140 home games by A.Rome

Diamondbacks vs. Nationals MLB BETTING PREDICTION

The under is 7-2 in the last nine meetings between these two teams at Nationals Park. The under is also 6-2 in the Diamondbacks’ last seven games overall and is 6-2 in the Nationals’ last eight games versus a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.

MLB BETTING PREDICTION: DIAMONDBACKS/NATIONALS UNDER 9

One of my favorite bets on the Thursday slate is the Chicago Cubs moneyline as they face the Angels in Los Angeles on Thursday night.

I’m not quite sure why the Cubs are such big underdogs here. Reid Detmers will be on the mound for the Angels. Detmers has a 5.15 ERA on the season and has allowed at least six hits in six of his past eight starts. He has also allowed at least three earned runs in five of his past six starts.

Drew Smyly will take the ball for the Cubs. Smyly is enjoying a bit of a career renaissance this year with a 3.56 ERA. The Angels have a better bullpen, but the Cubs certainly have the starting pitching advantage in this one. The Angels probably have the better lineup because of Mike Trout and Shohei Ohtani, but it’s closer than you think. Additionally, Angels outfielder Hunter Renfroe will miss this game as he’s on paternity leave.

This game is more of a toss up than the odds show and there’s serious value on the Cubs in this spot. by N.Shlain

• Atlanta Braves F5 (-170, 0.5u) at FanDuel (bet to -171)
• Atlanta Braves (-165, 0.5u) at FanDuel (bet to -169)
• ArizonaDiamondbacks / Washington Nationals, F5 Under 4.5 (+110, 0.5u) at FanDuel (bet to +100 or 5, -135)
• Arizona Diamondbacks / Washington Nationals, Under 9 (-120, 0.5u) at FanDuel (bet to -125 or 8.5, -106)
• Chicago Cubs (+120, 0.5u) at FanDuel (bet to +116)
• Cincinnati Reds (+190, 0.5u) at WynnBet (bet to +178)
• Milwaukee Brewers (+105, 0.5u) at WynnBet (bet to +102)
• Minnesota Twins (+146, 0.5u) at FanDuel (bet to +138)
• San Francisco Giants / ColoradoRockies, Over 11.5 (-110, 0.5u) at Caesars (bet to -116)
• Toronto Blue Jays F5 (+106, 0.5u) at FanDuel (bet to +102)
• Toronto Blue Jays (+115, 0.5u) at WynnBet (bet to +100)
• Toronto Blue Jays / Houston Astros, Over 8.5 (+100, 0.5u) at WynnBet (bet to -102 or 8, -120)
• BY S.ZERILLO

<

Astros vs. Blue Jays: Betting the Moneyline

• The Astros have won 56.8% of the games this season when they were the moneyline favorite (25-19).
• Toronto has been victorious in 10, or 52.6%, of the 19 contests it has been chosen as underdogs in this season.
• Houston has a record of 22-15 in games when sportsbooks favor them by at least -127 on the moneyline.
• This season, the Blue Jays have come away with a win six times in 12 chances when named as an underdog of at least +107 or longer on the moneyline.
• Based on this matchup's moneyline, the Astros have an implied win probability of 55.9%.
• The implied probability of a win from the Astros, based on the moneyline, is 55.9%.

• The Astros have played in 62 games with set over/under, and have combined with opponents to go over the total 30 times (30-31-1).
• Toronto's games have gone over the total in 29 of its 63 chances.
• The Astros have covered 53.2% of their games this season, going 33-29-0 ATS.
• The Astros are 33-29-0 against the spread this season.

• Score Prediction: Blue Jays 5, Astros 4
• Total Prediction: Over 8 runs
<

good luck today!

Thanks for the info! 

SUERTE!