ML UNDERDOG CHASE SYSTEM...

Here we go one series down (ATL) and three to go...

Game 2's: Balt ...Tex...Hou...Double Up!!..GL LET'S GO!!!!

Here we go....THREE GAME 3's....

TEX ML (small fav)
HOU ML
BALT ML.....LET's GO!!!!!!

what up bun? i have been on the bench with no bank roll but cant wait to jump in after payday. bol until then

Sounds good Boss..Saku these are my plays and have not heard from Semper since the massive letdown..I'm assuming not so much from his part,but the other dude..

They had a great concept and just didn't follow through with the way they started. Too bad because we/they had some good peeps involved.

THX FOR DOING THIS QBUN,

 

  PETE

 GL today BUN

Sounds like fun. In a long run you make small pelvic but thruout the year u make bank

I'm a little confused...

So you find a series where the dog is likely to be be the dog in EVERY game of the series.

Hypothetical:

game 1 you put a unit on the dog

You lose.

Move on to game 2.  You put roughly 2 units on the dog.

You lose.

Game 3 you put 3 units. 

This way if the dog wins any of the games you're profitable.  Right?

But a lot of these series dogs do get swept, so in that instance you'd be down roughly 6 units.  This happens infrequently enough to make this is a +EV system?

Also, how can you call the KC series a push?  They lost two games and were then rained out, so you were technically down 3 units on that, right?

If your unit is $20:

Dog is +160 in game 1.

Risk 12.50 to win 20

You lose.

Game 2:  Dog is +160 again. You want to finish the series up a unit, correct?  So you risk 20.31 to win 32.50?

And if they lose, then you do it again in game 3, risking enough to cover both losses AND return a full unit profit?

Seems really risky... or am I not getting it?

Thanks for posting this and I look forward to discussing!

most positive dude on here ! Go get em Q $$$$

i would  have rolled with the heat today. also would have bet the house on wisconsin where i also would have won getting 1 and a half at bovada. If you are taking dogs i definitly would get signed up with bovada because they are so scared of the favorites

Great system. I made a killing with Semperfi and McShady 2 years back with this. But without having the proper trend statistics it's much less successful. Hence, a game 3 chase loss is a lot of -units.

BOOOM!!! YTD to avoid the sweep 7-1..the loss was actually a game 3 rain out w/ kc ,but either way i'll count it as a loss. Hope everyone has been able to follow the system and make a few bucks..POSITIVE VIBES=POSITIVE $$$..enjoy the rest of the day and see you guys tomorrow:)

oh yea Mr.Illz i am not a huge # guy so if you are looking for my exact units,$, etc its not gonna happen. the reason being after some time here @ Covers whether your winning, losing or just trying to help out, someone will always question if what you are posting is true, legit,blah blah blah...life is too short for that nonsense so i will post what i am playing and people would like to follow so be it. just trying to make a little pocket change:) hope that helps and enjoy the ride to the promise land...

That's fine! I'm just trying to understand the logic is all. Are we always trying to take out a unit per series? If we go to game 3 are we still trying to make that unit or just break even?

Always want to come out ahead regardless. That's why I try and jump on a juicey ML dog for the series to for the most part guarantee they will be dogs for every game. Today tTexas was slight fav, but I took it anyways. This is more $ management and discipline more than anything else. The idea is to win the first or second game and wait for the next series. Not that easy for most gamblers..LoL

This system doesn't make much sense to me especially the third game of the series, Astros for example last year went 6-17 for game 1 of a srs vs teams that made the playoffs(which they would be underdogs for) and are 4-19 after a lost and 1-11 gm 3 to prevent the sweep. I'm just saying why constrict all bets to the same series..I give kudos to the idea of continuing with increasing amount for underdogs, I tried it with favorites and it sorta gave me good fortune but was so scary to do cuz the amounts increased so quickly and after losing the second you would be down a lot and the third would be practically impossible to make up for the first two combined would be an exorbitant bet, but underdogs it might just work doing an increase for 4-5 consecutive bets and to literally go "all in" figuratively cause if you lose 5 straight your taking a trip to your bookie haha. But I submit you scratch the part of the system demanding all three games be in the same series and everyone instead submit their ideas of how to choose what they should be for example should they be all the same team for the first game of a series(does home/away matter or only gm 1 home)etc...any thoughts?

chasing the right dogs is key plus strict money managment always

in MLB history teams that lost 3 straight games will lose the 4th game 65% of the time

i killed my bookie one year when the O's lost 23 straight games out of the gate i started after 2nd loss

100$ each game taking chalks he even tried to get me off the winners by upping the price 10 cents more

i said ok i'll just bet more to win more - 175 now right i said he says yes hmmmmmm risk me $350 to win $200 ok?

fooking locals i hate them...

now got two huge locals that can handle large bets so i only go for $200 - $300 per game  2 - 4 games daily

yeaterday two big puppies +140 +148

Braves and Twinkies $200 each $576 won thats a weeks salary for me

Well to use the 2013 Astros as an example is extreme, they lost 111 games. There's obviously a filter to this system and I'm quite sure betting a team as bad as last years Astros would be avoided.

It also feels good to hear other people speak on how hard it is to be patient when you have only yourself to rely on, it's a big mental hurdle and dividing up time to figure out what to bet could be much more manageable and prevent hasty poorly thought out picks. There can always be multiple continuation bets I think that may be the best course if action going on at the same time but starting low and increasing separately.

Well what's the filter then? Cuz the brewers just swept boston it's not like you can predict who and when a team is going to get swept any easier than picking three other bets and continuously raising them after a loss

this system is fishy without record.........I ask Qbun a few days ago and not answered.

Series prices aren't out yet, but just looking at pitching matchups it looks like:

Definites:

Baltimore
Texas

Maybe:

Cincinnati
TB
San Diego

Most likely not:

CHW



Thoughts QBUN?